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Risk Assessment of Lifeline Disruption using the Comprehensive Database of Earthquake Occurrence Models in and around Japan

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26350486
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Natural disaster / Disaster prevention science
Research InstitutionGifu University

Principal Investigator

NOJIMA Nobuoto  岐阜大学, 工学部, 教授 (20222200)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 久世 益充  岐阜大学, 流域圏科学研究センター, 准教授 (30397319)
杉戸 真太  岐阜大学, 流域圏科学研究センター, 教授 (60115863)
Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Keywordsライフライン / 機能的被害 / 機能的復旧 / 地震リスク評価 / リスクカーブ / 地震活動モデル / 地震発生確率 / 地震動予測
Outline of Final Research Achievements

For probabilistic seismic hazard maps produced by the Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion,the comprehensive database of earthquake occurrence models in and around Japan is compiled and provided via the website of the Japan Seismic Hazard Information Station (J-SHIS). Taking advantage of the database, this study evaluates the relationship between population exposure to five ranks of JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency) seismic intensity scale and the probability of occurrence of earthquakes within 30 years ("P-PEX relation") for all the potential events of earthquake. On this basis, seismic risk curves and expected population exposure are assesses for the period of 30 years. Finally, risk assessment of disruption of utility lifelines are performed for electric power, water and city gas supply focusing on four kinds of duration of disruption: immediately, three days, one week and one month after the earthquake.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report

Research Products

(51 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 Other

All Journal Article (16 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 15 results,  Open Access: 8 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (33 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 7 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] わが国の全地震活動モデルを用いた震度曝露人口による地震リスク評価2018

    • Author(s)
      能島暢呂・加古涼介・加藤宏紀
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集A1

      Volume: 74

    • NAID

      130007489993

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF EMERGENCY SHUTOFF SYSTEM OF CITY GAS SUPPLY SYSTEM IN EARTHQUAKE DISASTER2017

    • Author(s)
      森山達哉・能島暢呂
    • Journal Title

      A1

      Volume: 73 Issue: 4 Pages: I_187-I_196

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejseee.73.i_187

      10.2208/jscejseee.73.I_187

    • NAID

      130006088707

    • ISSN
      2185-4653
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] SIMULATION METHOD FOR SEISMIC DAMAGE AND RESTORATION OF LARGE-SCALE LIFELINE NETWORK2017

    • Author(s)
      LE QUANG DUC・能島暢呂・加藤宏紀
    • Journal Title

      A1

      Volume: 73 Issue: 4 Pages: I_97-I_106

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejseee.73.i_97

      10.2208/jscejseee.73.I_97

    • NAID

      130006088760

    • ISSN
      2185-4653
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] APPLICATION OF THE SELF-ORGANIZING MAPS FOR DURATION CHARACTERISTICS OF EARTHQUAKE MOTION2017

    • Author(s)
      久世益充・能島暢呂・髙島拓也
    • Journal Title

      A1

      Volume: 73 Issue: 4 Pages: I_558-I_567

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejseee.73.i_558

      10.2208/jscejseee.73.I_558

    • NAID

      130006088645

    • ISSN
      2185-4653
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Feature Extraction and Classification of Temporal Characteristics of Earthquake Motions2017

    • Author(s)
      能島暢呂・久世益充・高島拓也
    • Journal Title

      J. of JAEE

      Volume: 17 Issue: 2 Pages: 2_128-2_141

    • DOI

      10.5610/jaee.17.2_128

    • NAID

      130005683536

    • ISSN
      1884-6246
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Exposure of Population and Energy-Related Base Facilities to Shaking Intensity Predicted for Nankai Megathrust Earthquakes2017

    • Author(s)
      Nojima Nobuoto, Kato Hiroki
    • Journal Title

      J. Disaster Res.

      Volume: 12 Issue: 1 Pages: 106-117

    • DOI

      10.20965/jdr.2017.p0106

    • NAID

      130008128076

    • ISSN
      1881-2473, 1883-8030
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 熊本地震における供給系ライフラインの被害と復旧 ~震災から得られた教訓と残された課題~2017

    • Author(s)
      能島暢呂
    • Journal Title

      消防防災の科学,特集 平成28年熊本地震(2),一般財団法人 消防防災科学センター

      Volume: No.127,2017冬季号 Pages: 30-34

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] An Overview of Functional Damage and Restoration Processes of Utility Lifelines in the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake, Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Nojima, N. and Maruyama, Y.
    • Journal Title

      JSCE Journal of Disaster FactSheets

      Volume: FS2016

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Comparison of Functional Damage and Restoration Processes of Utility Lifelines in the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake, Japan with Two Great Earthquake Dis-asters in 1995 and 20112016

    • Author(s)
      Nojima, N. and Maruyama, Y.
    • Journal Title

      JSCE Journal of Disaster FactSheets

      Volume: FS2016

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] APPLICATION AND VALIDATION OF THE CONSISTENT SCHEME FOR PREDICTION OF JMA SEISMIC INTENSITY AND ITS DURATION2016

    • Author(s)
      能島暢呂・久世益充
    • Journal Title

      A1

      Volume: Vol.72,No.4 Issue: 4 Pages: I_44-I_54

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejseee.72.i_44

      10.2208/jscejseee.72.I_44

    • NAID

      130005152686

    • ISSN
      2185-4653
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Equivalent Amplitude Level of Significant Duration of Strong Motion2016

    • Author(s)
      能島暢呂・高島拓也
    • Journal Title

      J. of JAEE

      Volume: 第16巻,第6号 Issue: 6 Pages: 6_1-6_15

    • DOI

      10.5610/jaee.16.6_1

    • NAID

      130005153784

    • ISSN
      1884-6246
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Assessment Model for Post-Earthquake Lifeline Serviceability2015

    • Author(s)
      加藤宏紀・能島暢呂
    • Journal Title

      J. of JAEE

      Volume: 15 Issue: 7 Pages: 7_354-7_367

    • DOI

      10.5610/jaee.15.7_354

    • NAID

      130005117824

    • ISSN
      1884-6246
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 東日本大震災における鉄道運休と震度分布との関係の確率・統計的分析,2015

    • Author(s)
      能島暢呂・加藤宏紀
    • Journal Title

      JCOSSAR2015論文集(第8回構造物の安全性・信頼性に関する国内シンポジウム),

      Volume: 15 Pages: 162-168

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Proposal of a Consistent Scheme for Empirical Prediction of JMA Seismic Intensity and Its Duration2015

    • Author(s)
      能島暢呂
    • Journal Title

      J. of JAEE

      Volume: 15 Issue: 2 Pages: 2_59-2_76

    • DOI

      10.5610/jaee.15.2_59

    • NAID

      130005073562

    • ISSN
      1884-6246
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 機能的フラジリティ関数による都市ガスの地震時供給停止人口の推計2014

    • Author(s)
      能島暢呂・加藤宏紀
    • Journal Title

      地域安全学会論文集

      Volume: No.23 Pages: 1-10

    • NAID

      130005893236

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] On the Precursors to the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake: Crustal Movements and Electromagnetic Signatures2014

    • Author(s)
      Makoto Kamiyama, Masata Sugito, Masumitsu Kuse, Alexander Schekotov & Masashi Hayakawa
    • Journal Title

      Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk

      Volume: 5 Pages: 1-22

    • DOI

      10.1080/19475705.2014.937773

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Functional Damage to Utility Lifelines and Their Restoration Processes in the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake, Japan2017

    • Author(s)
      Maruyama, Y.
    • Organizer
      The 16th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Santiago, Chili
    • Year and Date
      2017-01-13
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Functional Damage and Restoration Processes of Utility Lifelines in the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake in Comparative Perspective2017

    • Author(s)
      Nojima, N.
    • Organizer
      The 16th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Santiago, Chili
    • Year and Date
      2017-01-13
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Modeling Post-Earthquake Serviceability of Railway Systems Based on the Database of the Great East Japan Earthquake Disaster2017

    • Author(s)
      Nojima, N.
    • Organizer
      The 16th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Santiago, Chili
    • Year and Date
      2017-01-11
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Estimation of Strong Motion Generation Area based on Acceleration Records during the 2011 off the Pacific Coast of Tohoku Earthquake2017

    • Author(s)
      Kuse, M.
    • Organizer
      The 16th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Santiago, Chili
    • Year and Date
      2017-01-10
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] わが国の全地震活動モデルを用いた震度曝露人口による地震リスク評価2017

    • Author(s)
      能島暢呂・加古涼介
    • Organizer
      第37回地震工学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2016年熊本地震における避難者の発生・解消過程に関する基礎的考察2017

    • Author(s)
      繁田健嗣・能島暢呂・永井小雪里・加藤宏紀
    • Organizer
      第37回地震工学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2016年熊本地震における高速道路網の機能的被害・復旧の時空間的分析2017

    • Author(s)
      加藤宏紀・能島暢呂・佐藤多恵
    • Organizer
      第37回地震工学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] カーネル密度推定と混合正規分布モデルによる地震動波形の包絡線近似と地震動特性の考察2017

    • Author(s)
      久世益充・能島暢呂
    • Organizer
      第37回地震工学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大規模停電とその影響波及に関する考察 -2006年首都圏大規模停電と2016年東京大規模停電の事例間比較-2017

    • Author(s)
      加藤宏紀・能島暢呂
    • Organizer
      第72回土木学会年次学術講演会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2016年熊本地震における高速道路の機能的被害・復旧の時空間的分析2017

    • Author(s)
      佐藤多恵・能島暢呂・加藤宏紀
    • Organizer
      第72回土木学会年次学術講演会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 都市ガス供給システムにおける第1次緊急停止判断のシステム分析2017

    • Author(s)
      森山達哉・能島暢呂
    • Organizer
      第72回土木学会年次学術講演会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2016年熊本地震における避難者数推移への影響要因に関する考察2017

    • Author(s)
      永井小雪里・能島暢呂・繁田健嗣
    • Organizer
      第72回土木学会年次学術講演会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2016年熊本地震の被災事例に基づく避難者人口推定式の検討2017

    • Author(s)
      繁田健嗣・能島暢呂・永井小雪里
    • Organizer
      第72回土木学会年次学術講演会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] カーネル密度推定と混合正規分布モデルによる地震動波形の包絡線近似2017

    • Author(s)
      久世益充・能島暢呂
    • Organizer
      第72回土木学会年次学術講演会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] カーネル密度推定と混合正規分布モデルによる2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震の走時分析2017

    • Author(s)
      久世益充・能島暢呂
    • Organizer
      地域安全学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Duration Spectra for Long-Period Earthquake Ground Motion2016

    • Author(s)
      Nojima, N.
    • Organizer
      The 6th Asian Conference on Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Cebu, Phillipines
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-24
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 広域ライフラインの地震リスク評価のためのシナリオ地震選定2016

    • Author(s)
      加古涼介
    • Organizer
      第71回土木学会年次学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台市(東北大学)
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-07
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 自己組織化マップを用いた地震動の経時特性の考察2016

    • Author(s)
      久世益充
    • Organizer
      第71回土木学会年次学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台市(東北大学)
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-07
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] サポートベクトル回帰に基づく被害関数の機械学習2016

    • Author(s)
      能島暢呂
    • Organizer
      第71回土木学会年次学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台市(東北大学)
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-07
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 広域水道システムの地震時送水信頼性評価のシミュレーション2016

    • Author(s)
      Le Quang Duc
    • Organizer
      第71回土木学会年次学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台市(東北大学)
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-07
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Assessment of Tsunami Inundation Exposure of Energy-related Base Facilities Caused by Anticipated Nankai Megathrust Earthquakes2016

    • Author(s)
      Nojima, N.
    • Organizer
      The Seventh China-Japan-US Trilateral Symposium on Lifeline Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Shanghai, China
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-03
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Estimation of the strong motion generation area based on the acceleration envelope of records from the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake2015

    • Author(s)
      久世益充
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of the Tenth Pacific Conference on Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      シドニー
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-08
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 東京湾周辺における周期数秒レベルの長周期地震動特性の評価と地震動算定2015

    • Author(s)
      久世益充
    • Organizer
      第35回地震工学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京都目黒区
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-06
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 東京湾周辺における長周期地震動特性評価と地震動算定2015

    • Author(s)
      久世益充
    • Organizer
      土木学会第70回年次学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山市
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-18
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 供給系ライフラインの地震時機能的被害・復旧評価モデル ―地点別簡易評価法のツール開発―2015

    • Author(s)
      加藤宏紀
    • Organizer
      土木学会第70回年次学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山市
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-15
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 南海トラフ巨大地震によるエネルギー拠点施設の津波曝露評価2015

    • Author(s)
      能島暢呂
    • Organizer
      地域安全学会梗概集,No.36
    • Place of Presentation
      大島町
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-29
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 深部地盤増幅特性を考慮した新しい距離減衰式の基本特性2015

    • Author(s)
      王 棟・能島暢呂
    • Organizer
      土木学会中部支部平成25年度研究発表会講演概要集
    • Place of Presentation
      豊橋市(豊橋技術科学大学)
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 南海トラフ巨大地震におけるエネルギー関連施設の津波曝露評価2015

    • Author(s)
      大倉唱太郎・能島暢呂
    • Organizer
      土木学会中部支部平成25年度研究発表会講演概要集
    • Place of Presentation
      豊橋市(豊橋技術科学大学)
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 地震活動モデルに基づくライフライン機能停止リスク評価2015

    • Author(s)
      野田智也・能島暢呂
    • Organizer
      土木学会中部支部平成25年度研究発表会講演概要集
    • Place of Presentation
      豊橋市(豊橋技術科学大学)
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 南海トラフ巨大地震によるエネルギー関連施設の曝露評価2014

    • Author(s)
      能島暢呂・加藤宏紀
    • Organizer
      第14回日本地震工学シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      千葉市(幕張メッセ)
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-04 – 2014-12-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 供給系ライフラインの地震時機能的被害・復旧評価モデル ―市区町村別簡易評価法のシステム構築―2014

    • Author(s)
      加藤宏紀・能島暢呂
    • Organizer
      第14回日本地震工学シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      千葉市(幕張メッセ)
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-04 – 2014-12-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 人口データを考慮した確率論的地震ハザードの分析2014

    • Author(s)
      藤川智・石川裕・奥村俊彦・能島暢呂・藤原広行・森川信之
    • Organizer
      第14回日本地震工学シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      千葉市(幕張メッセ)
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-04 – 2014-12-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Simulation of Earthquake Ground Motion Focusing on Deeper Subsurface Structure of Local Region2014

    • Author(s)
      Kuse, M. and Sugito, M.
    • Organizer
      10th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Anchorage, Alaska
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-21 – 2014-07-25
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] ライフライン復旧概況

    • URL

      http://www1.gifu-u.ac.jp/~nojima/take_out_LLEQreport.htm

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 供給系ライフラインの地震時機能的被害・復旧評価モデル

    • URL

      http://www1.gifu-u.ac.jp/~nojima/take_out_LLEQ.htm

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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