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The Diversity of Expectation Index and Inequality

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26380336
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionKyoto Sangyo University

Principal Investigator

TERAI Akira  京都産業大学, 経済学部, 教授 (20387989)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Keywords日本経済 / 経済政策 / 経済事情 / 経済統計学 / マクロ経済学 / 期待インフレ率 / DSGEモデル / ケインズ経済学 / 経済理論 / 動学的一般均衡モデル
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this study, I developed a theory and conducted an empirical analysis of inflation expectations. First, I developed a method that converts qualitative data into numerical data. This means that we can estimate the inflation expectation rates with the help of the survey results. I employed not only the mean and variance, but also skewness and kurtosis, to estimate the distribution of inflation expectations. Doing so enables the removal of the upward bias of inflation expectation rate series, which is simply estimated by weighted average. Second, I calculated the DSGE model using a software code and clarified the structure of the model. Third, I surveyed Keynes' attitudes of inflation expectations, and indicated the positioning of the role of inflation expectations in the 1930s.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report

Research Products

(2 results)

All 2015 Other

All Journal Article Remarks

  • [Journal Article] DSGEモデルとMATLAB2015

    • Author(s)
      寺井晃
    • Journal Title

      京都産業大学経済学レビュー

      Volume: 2 Pages: 1-18

    • NAID

      120005574597

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.cc.kyoto-su.ac.jp/~aterai/

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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