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An Analysis of the Effects of Tax Policy using DSGE Model

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26380367
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Public economy
Research InstitutionThe University of Kitakyushu

Principal Investigator

Hayashida Minoru  北九州市立大学, 経済学部, 教授 (20198873)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 大野 裕之  東洋大学, 経済学部, 教授 (50285459)
安岡 匡也  関西学院大学, 経済学部, 教授 (90437434)
Research Collaborator NANBA RYOICHI  
Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords財政学 / 消費税 / 法人税 / DSGE
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Using a DSGE model estimated by Bayesian inference methods, we investigated the short-to-mid term effects of tax reform policies, including the one increasing the consumption tax rate. For that purpose, we formulated a model with two types of workers, high-skilled and low-skilled ones, and estimated it with Bayesian methods. The main collusions are the following. (1) A consumption tax increase yielded a rise in the price level, but a decline in the consumption and production. (2) It increases the average wage rate and decreases the real interest rate. (3) The wage gap between the high-skilled and low-skilled workers shrinks in the short term, but (4) widens in the mid term. (5) As for the capital/labor income ratio , the labor’s share increases and the capital’s share declines in the short-to-mid term.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (22 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (10 results) (of which Open Access: 6 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (12 results) (of which Invited: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 予備的貯蓄と介護保険制度2017

    • Author(s)
      安岡匡也
    • Journal Title

      経済学論究

      Volume: 70(4) Pages: 63-81

    • NAID

      120006309585

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] DSGEモデルによる租税帰着の分析2016

    • Author(s)
      林田 実、難波 了一、安岡 匡也、大野 裕之
    • Journal Title

      The University of Kitakyushu, Working Paper Series

      Volume: 6 Pages: 1-24

    • NAID

      40021877555

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Tax Incidence in DSGE Model2016

    • Author(s)
      M. Hayashida, R. Nanba, M. Yasuoka, and H. Ono
    • Journal Title

      The University of Kitakyushu, Working Paper Series

      Volume: 8 Pages: 1-19

    • NAID

      40021877555

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Money and Pay-As-you-Go Pension2016

    • Author(s)
      Masaya Yasuoka
    • Journal Title

      MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany

      Volume: 75578 Pages: 1-19

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Subsidy Policy and Elderly Labor2016

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Miyake and Masaya Yasuoka
    • Journal Title

      MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany

      Volume: 75704 Pages: 1-20

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] アベノミクスは雇用を増大させうるか-DSGEモデルによるアベノミクスの解釈ー2016

    • Author(s)
      林田実,安岡匡也,難波了一,大野裕之
    • Journal Title

      The Society for Economic Studies, The University of Kitakyushu, Working Paper Series

      Volume: No.2015-10 Pages: 1-24

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] How should a goverment finance redistribution policies?2015

    • Author(s)
      安岡匡也,林田実
    • Journal Title

      関西学院大学ワーキングペーパー

      Volume: kgdp136 Pages: 1-22

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 新証券税制が家計の株式投資行動に与えた影響の研究: ~基幹統計『家計調査』の個票データを用いて~2014

    • Author(s)
      林田実, 大野裕之
    • Journal Title

      証券経済研究

      Volume: 86 Pages: 121-135

    • NAID

      40020149414

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 税制と不動産投資信託― 平成21 年度税制改正の計量経済学的分析―2014

    • Author(s)
      林田実, 大野裕之
    • Journal Title

      The Society for Economic Studies, The University of Kitakyushu, Working Paper Series

      Volume: 2014-7 Pages: 19-19

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Financing Elderly Care Service Subsidies2014

    • Author(s)
      Masaya Yasuoka
    • Journal Title

      Discussion Paper Series, School of Economics, Kwansei Gakuin University

      Volume: 122 Pages: 1-16

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] DSGEモデルによる租税帰着の分析2016

    • Author(s)
      林田実, 難波了一,安岡匡也, 大野裕之
    • Organizer
      2016年度日本応用経済学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学(東京)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Fertility and Education Investment Incentive in Pay-As-You-Go Pension2015

    • Author(s)
      Yasuoka M.
    • Organizer
      The 14th International Conference of Japan Economic Policy Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Toyo University (Tokyo, Japan)
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-07
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Which Should the Government Subsidize: Child Care or Elderly Care?2015

    • Author(s)
      Yasuoka M. and Miyake A.
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      上智大学(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-10
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] アベノミクスは雇用を増大させうるか-DSGEモデルによるアベノミクスの解釈ー2015

    • Author(s)
      林田実,大野裕之,安岡匡也, 難波了一
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山大学(岡山県岡山市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-08
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] How should the government finance the redistribution policy?2015

    • Author(s)
      安岡匡也,林田実
    • Organizer
      IIPF
    • Place of Presentation
      Dublin, Ireland
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-20
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] アベノミクスは雇用を増大させうるか-DSGEモデルによるアベノミクスの解釈ー2015

    • Author(s)
      林田実,大野裕之,安岡匡也, 難波了一
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      九州産業大学(福岡県福岡市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-14
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 財源調達に関する年金改革と労働市場2015

    • Author(s)
      安岡 匡也
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      九州産業大学(福岡県福岡市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-14
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 株式税制の計量経済分析2014

    • Author(s)
      林田実
    • Organizer
      日本OR学会九州支部平成26年度第3回講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      西南学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Taxation and Household Portfolio Selection in Japan: MCMC Estimation of the SUR with TOBIT model2014

    • Author(s)
      Minoru Hayashida
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      西南学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-12
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] DSGEモデルを用いた、 消費税増税がわが国の経済に与える影響の分析2014

    • Author(s)
      林田実
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-15
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] DSGEモデルを用いた、 消費税増税がわが国の経済に与える影響の分析2014

    • Author(s)
      林田実
    • Organizer
      経済統計学会全国研究大会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-11
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] DSGEモデルを用いた、 消費税増税がわが国の経済に与える影響の分析2014

    • Author(s)
      林田実
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      徳島大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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