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Development of new generation's harvest control rule with management strategy evaluation

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26520313
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section特設分野
Research Field Food Cycle Research
Research InstitutionFisheries Research and Education Agency

Principal Investigator

Ichinokawa Momoko  国立研究開発法人水産研究・教育機構, 中央水産研究所, 主任研究員 (30470131)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 由上 龍嗣  国立研究開発法人水産研究・教育機構, 中央水産研究所, グループ長 (20392904)
黒田 啓行  国立研究開発法人水産研究・教育機構, 西海区水産研究所, 主任研究員 (30416036)
岡村 寛  国立研究開発法人水産研究・教育機構, 中央水産研究所, グループ長 (40371942)
Project Period (FY) 2014-07-18 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywords管理戦略評価 / 最大持続生産量 / 漁獲制御ルール / シミュレーション / 再生産関係 / 我が国漁業資源
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study project presents the first quantitative review of the stock status relative to the stock biomass and the exploitation rate that achieved the maximum sustainable yield (MSY) for 37 Japanese stocks contributing 61% of the total marine capture production in Japan. Base on the findings, we constructed simulation frameworks that mimic characteristics of Japanese fisheries stocks and explored new-generation’s harvest control rules based on MSY reference points.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

持続可能な開発目標(SDGs)において2030年までに水産資源をMSY水準にまで回復させることが掲げられている一方、日本の水産資源の管理は近年までMSY水準を目標とした管理が行われてこなかった。MSY管理が行われてこなかった一つの原因は、親が増えると子がどのように増えるかを表す再生産関係の不確実性であった。本研究は、再生産関係において不確実性が高い場合でも、いくつかの仮定をもとにすれば頑健なMSY水準を推定できることを示し、MSYを目標とした新しい世代の管理方策を提案した。

Report

(7 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (26 results)

All 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (21 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results,  Invited: 1 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Drivers of recruitment dynamics in Japanese major fisheries resources: Effects of environmental conditions and spawner abundance2020

    • Author(s)
      Kurota Hiroyuki、Szuwalski Cody S.、Ichinokawa Momoko
    • Journal Title

      Fisheries Research

      Volume: 221 Pages: 105353-105353

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.fishres.2019.105353

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Comparison of the performance of age-structured models with few survey indices2018

    • Author(s)
      Okamura Hiroshi、Yamashita Yuuho、Ichinokawa Momoko、Nishijima Shota、Handling editor: Ernesto Jardim
    • Journal Title

      ICES Journal of Marine Science

      Volume: 75 Issue: 6 Pages: 2016-2024

    • DOI

      10.1093/icesjms/fsy126

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The status of Japanese fisheries relative to fisheries around the world2017

    • Author(s)
      Momoko Ichinokawa, Hiroshi Okamura, and Hiroyuki Kurota
    • Journal Title

      ICES Journal of Marine Science

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 5 Pages: 1277-1287

    • DOI

      10.1093/icesjms/fsx002

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Searching for optimum management procedures by quantifying management objectives for Japanese domestic fishery stocks without stock biomass estimation2015

    • Author(s)
      市野川 桃子, 岡村 寛, 黒田 啓行, 由上 龍嗣, 田中 寛繁, 柴田 泰宙, 大下 誠二
    • Journal Title

      NIPPON SUISAN GAKKAISHI

      Volume: 81 Issue: 2 Pages: 206-218

    • DOI

      10.2331/suisan.81.206

    • NAID

      130004780820

    • ISSN
      0021-5392, 1349-998X
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Stock assessment model in Japan: past to present2019

    • Author(s)
      Momoko Ichinokawa,Shota Nishijima, Hiroshi Okamura
    • Organizer
      CAPAM workshop on the creation of frameworks for the next generation general stock assessment models
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Case studies of the local stock assessment in the Northwwest Pacific: application of robust regression in estimating stock-recruitment relationship2019

    • Author(s)
      Shin Fukui, Momoko Ichinokawa, and Hiroshi Okamura
    • Organizer
      CAPAM workshop on the creation of frameworks for the next generation general stock assessment models
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 我が国の水産資源に対する新旧漁獲量決定方式の比較2019

    • Author(s)
      岡村寛,市野川桃子
    • Organizer
      日本水産学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 我が国の主要水産資源の管理手法に関する懐古的解析2019

    • Author(s)
      市野川 桃子,岡村 寛
    • Organizer
      日本水産学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Comparison of the estimation performance of ridge-VPA and SAM for the simulation with few abundance indices2018

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Okamura,Yuho Yamashita,Momoko Ichinokawa,Shota Nishijima
    • Organizer
      米国水産学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Visualizing future: Facilitating decision-making among stakeholders: a case study toward rebuilding Japanese fisheries stocks2018

    • Author(s)
      Momoko Ichinokawa,Shota Nishijima, Hiroshi Okamura
    • Organizer
      米国水産学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] MSYを目指した順応的管理にむけて:我が国資源への適用可能性2018

    • Author(s)
      市野川 桃子,岡村 寛
    • Organizer
      水産海洋学会研究大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] MSY基準にもとづく日本資源の現状と合意形成にむけて2018

    • Author(s)
      市野川 桃子
    • Organizer
      シンポジウム「管理目標を見据えた我が国の新しい資源評価と管理」
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Review of stock status of Japanese domestic fisheries and new harvest control rule in Japanese domestic fisheries management2018

    • Author(s)
      Momoko Ichinokawa, Hiroshi Okamura
    • Organizer
      PICES annual meeting
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Management rule of Japanese fisheries resources based on maximum sustainable yield (MSY)2018

    • Author(s)
      Momoko Ichinokawa, Hiroshi Okamura
    • Organizer
      個体群生態学会研究大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Searching robust management strategy under large uncertainty of stock-recruitment2018

    • Author(s)
      Momoko Ichinokawa
    • Organizer
      Future of statistical Fisheries Science and Ecology
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 密度効果と水産資源管理‐MSY概念の変遷‐2018

    • Author(s)
      市野川桃子
    • Organizer
      第65回日本生態学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 再生産関係の不確実性が管理に与える影響評価:MSEを用いて2018

    • Author(s)
      市野川桃子
    • Organizer
      日本水産学会春季大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The status of Japanese fisheries relative to fisheries around the world2017

    • Author(s)
      Hiroyuki Kurota
    • Organizer
      International Fisheries Innovation Network (I-FIN) meeting
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] TAC非対象種における小型魚保護と種苗放流の影響評価2017

    • Author(s)
      市野川桃子、岡村寛
    • Organizer
      日本水産学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京海洋大学
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 乱獲の現状―世界から見た日本の姿―2016

    • Author(s)
      市野川桃子
    • Organizer
      水産学会ミニシンポジウム「漁業資源の今とこれから」
    • Place of Presentation
      東京海洋大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-30
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] なぜこの魚は乱獲されるのか?―乱獲資源の特徴抽出-2016

    • Author(s)
      市野川桃子,岡村寛
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第63回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台国際センター
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-24
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Hockey-Stick再生産関係を用いたMSY推定:我が国資源への適用2015

    • Author(s)
      市野川桃子,岡村 寛,黒田啓行
    • Organizer
      日本水産学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京海洋大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] データ不足下における漁業管理方式2015

    • Author(s)
      岡村 寛,市野川桃子
    • Organizer
      日本水産学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京海洋大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 世界から見た我が国漁業資源の現況2015

    • Author(s)
      市野川桃子,岡村 寛
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 世界基準から見た我が国資源の現況,我が国基準から見た世界資源の現況2014

    • Author(s)
      市野川桃子,岡村 寛
    • Organizer
      水産海洋学会
    • Place of Presentation
      中央水産研究所
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-16
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 乱獲―漁業資源の今とこれから2015

    • Author(s)
      レイ・ヒルボーン,ウルライク・ヒルボーン(著),市野川桃子,岡村寛(訳)
    • Total Pages
      154
    • Publisher
      東海大学出版部
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-09-09   Modified: 2021-02-19  

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