研究課題/領域番号 |
20K01457
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研究種目 |
基盤研究(C)
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配分区分 | 基金 |
応募区分 | 一般 |
審査区分 |
小区分06010:政治学関連
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研究機関 | 早稲田大学 |
研究代表者 |
Kellam Marisa.A 早稲田大学, 政治経済学術院, 准教授 (30711866)
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研究期間 (年度) |
2020-04-01 – 2025-03-31
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研究課題ステータス |
交付 (2022年度)
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配分額 *注記 |
4,290千円 (直接経費: 3,300千円、間接経費: 990千円)
2024年度: 780千円 (直接経費: 600千円、間接経費: 180千円)
2023年度: 780千円 (直接経費: 600千円、間接経費: 180千円)
2022年度: 910千円 (直接経費: 700千円、間接経費: 210千円)
2021年度: 1,040千円 (直接経費: 800千円、間接経費: 240千円)
2020年度: 780千円 (直接経費: 600千円、間接経費: 180千円)
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キーワード | Comparative Politics / Democracy / Democratic Backsliding / Populism / Political Institutions / Democratic Rebound / Regime Transitions / Social Exclusion / Political accountability / Institutions / democratic backsliding |
研究開始時の研究の概要 |
This project will improve understanding of democratic backsliding by considering the full range of intra-regime changes that occur within democracies, only some of which entail decline. The project explains (1) how different configurations of inclusive and exclusive institutions, vertical and horizontal accountability environments, and social and economic interests create distinct types of democratic regimes, (2) when within-democracy transitions occur from one democratic regime type to another, and (3) the distinct vulnerabilities of different democratic regimes to democratic backsliding.
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研究実績の概要 |
I completed one important component of this research project which is a global analysis of the causes of democratic backsliding in 98 democratic countries between 1970 and 2020. The analysis is based on matching methods to infer the causal effects of several ideological and institutional factors related to executives. The findings demonstrate that populist orientations of executives increase, on average, the amount of democratic backsliding. While case studies and regional analyses have previously pointed to populism’s determinantal effect on democracy, this is the first global analysis to support these claims with rigorous empirical evidence.
Based on this research, I co-authored a research paper titled “Who’s to blame for democratic backsliding: populists, presidents or dominant executives?” with my research collaborator, Antonio Benasaglio Berlucchi (Graduate School of Political Science, Waseda University). I presented this paper at the Midwest Political Science Association meeting in April 2022 and at Stanford University’s Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law in May 2022. We submitted the paper for review in August 2022 to the journal Democratization and it was accepted for publication in March 2023. Democratization has an impact factor of 3.339 and is known among scholars and practitioners as a leading outlet for current research on democratic backsliding.
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現在までの達成度 (区分) |
現在までの達成度 (区分)
2: おおむね順調に進展している
理由
Although I canceled the initial field work component of this project due to the coronavirus pandemic, the remainder of the work is proceeding as expected.
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今後の研究の推進方策 |
Having completed the global analysis of democratic backsliding, this research project will now focus on explaining changes within democracies that do not entail declines in democracy but do alter the nature of representation and accountability. To do so, I will continue with data collection on 31 third-wave democracies (transition between 1978 and 2000) from Asia, Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa. I will proceed with qualitative comparisons and quantitative analysis based on cluster analysis techniques. I will complete a paper draft this year and apply to present this paper at international conferences next year.
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