| 研究課題/領域番号 |
20K20030
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| 研究種目 |
若手研究
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| 配分区分 | 基金 |
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| 審査区分 |
小区分64060:環境政策および環境配慮型社会関連
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| 研究機関 | 総合地球環境学研究所 |
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研究代表者 |
Farabi Hadi 総合地球環境学研究所, 研究部, 外来研究員 (30822697)
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| 研究期間 (年度) |
2020-04-01 – 2024-03-31
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| 研究課題ステータス |
中途終了 (2023年度)
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| 配分額 *注記 |
3,900千円 (直接経費: 3,000千円、間接経費: 900千円)
2021年度: 1,820千円 (直接経費: 1,400千円、間接経費: 420千円)
2020年度: 2,080千円 (直接経費: 1,600千円、間接経費: 480千円)
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| キーワード | Low-carbon / Heating and Cooling / Energy Policy / Modeling / Consumer Choice |
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| 研究開始時の研究の概要 |
This study aims to develop a novel tool to analyze the effect of market-based and regulatory policies on residential low-carbon heating and cooling technology deployment in Japan. A quantitative model of Japanese residential heating and cooling (RHC) will be developed. The model will calculate the fuel consumption, emissions, costs, RHC technology market shares, and policy financial burdens on households. There will be an attempt to bring the household preferences into the calculation using Diffusion Theory in order to provide a more realistic technology transition to low-carbon RHC in Japan.
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| 研究実績の概要 |
The model's development encompassing heating and cooling functionalities has been completed. Challenges related to acquiring missing parameters for the database have been resolved, leading to the successful integration of the database into the model.
The model has been utilized to compute the intangible costs associated with both heating and cooling modalities. This metric is derived through model calibration against historical data pertaining to the deployment rates of diverse heating and cooling technologies. Following the establishment of a baseline scenario, I explored 16 additional scenarios encompassing various permutations of market-based and regulatory policies within the model. Analysis of the model outcomes aimed to discern the most efficacious policy combinations for satisfying demand while concurrently fostering the adoption of low-carbon technologies within this sector. Furthermore, I assessed the financial implications of policy adoption on Japanese households over the forthcoming decades. In the ensuing weeks, I intend to finalize a manuscript for submission to a publication, representing a principal deliverable of this endeavor.
The developed model exhibits considerable potential for adaptation to other nations and regions contingent upon the availability of reliable data regarding technology deployment rates. Plans are underway to initiate collaborative efforts with researchers focusing on analogous datasets from select countries.
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