| 研究課題/領域番号 |
22K20119
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| 研究種目 |
研究活動スタート支援
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| 配分区分 | 基金 |
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| 審査区分 |
0106:政治学およびその関連分野
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| 研究機関 | 早稲田大学 |
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研究代表者 |
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| 研究期間 (年度) |
2022-08-31 – 2024-03-31
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| 研究課題ステータス |
交付 (2022年度)
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| 配分額 *注記 |
2,860千円 (直接経費: 2,200千円、間接経費: 660千円)
2023年度: 1,430千円 (直接経費: 1,100千円、間接経費: 330千円)
2022年度: 1,430千円 (直接経費: 1,100千円、間接経費: 330千円)
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| キーワード | Party convergence / European integration / Challenger parties / Voter perceptions / Elections / Ideology / Values |
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| 研究開始時の研究の概要 |
My research builds on previous literature on European integration and party convergence and argues that the mainstream parties in the EU face signficant constraints in their strategic positioning, thereby favoring the rise of challenger parties. In contrast, in the absence of such constraints, non-EU mainstream parties have more room for strategic positioning, which allow them to reduce the space for competitors. Combining demand and supply perspectives, my research evaluates parties and voters' issue positions and value orientations.
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| 研究実績の概要 |
This research explores the relationship between the ideological positioning of traditional mainstream parties and the electoral fortunes of challenger parties across liberal democracies in and outside the European Union. It applies a wide range of empirical techniques to demonstrate that when the mainstream parties converge, voters are more likely to switch to challenger parties. The empirical analyses focus on both party ideology using manifesto data and voter perceptions using survey data. The findings are organized into two papers. A first paper examines the effects of European integration on actual and perceived mainstream party convergence using regressions and matching methods. A second paper tests the effects of party convergence on the electoral performance of challenger parties.
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| 現在までの達成度 (区分) |
現在までの達成度 (区分)
2: おおむね順調に進展している
理由
The research is progressing rather smoothly. The key findings, obtained using the available data from the Comparative Manifesto Project and the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems, are in the expected direction.
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| 今後の研究の推進方策 |
In 2023, I will conduct a survey experiment in Italy to test the effects of European integration on perceived mainstream party convergence. Other surveys on the ideology and values of voters may be conducted in Japan, New Zealand, Germany and Italy.
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