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2016 年度 実施状況報告書

Disparities, dynamic changes, and controls of burden of cardiovascular diseases and cancer in Japan, China, and Taiwan

研究課題

研究課題/領域番号 15K08800
研究機関筑波大学

研究代表者

馬 恩博  筑波大学, 医学医療系, 助教 (00590770)

研究期間 (年度) 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
キーワードyears of life lost / Japan / trends / stroke / ischemic heart disease
研究実績の概要

The trends of the burden of ischemic heart disease, stroke,and cancer, comparing with diabetes, unintentional accidents and all-cause mortality, were conducted for Japanese population. Age-standardized Years of Life Lost per 1000 population (YLL) were estimated by using vital statistical data and life-tables in each year. Trends of segments and average annual percent change (AAPC) were identified and analyzed by Joinpoint regression models.
Between 1950 and 2014, YLLs due to cancer were increased from 29.1 in 1950 to 49.6 in 1996 (AAPC = 1.2%), then declined to 42.3 in 2014 (AAPC=-0.9%). YLLs of stroke increased from 43.0 in 1950 to 59.7 in 1967 (AAPC=2.0%), then declined to 9.8 in 2014 (AAPC=-3.8%). For ischemic heart disease, YLLs was 23.2 in 1950 and 30.0 in 1984 (AAPC=0.8%), then 16.0 in 2014 (AAPC=-1.9%). YLLs of diabetes increased from 0.8 in 1950 to 2.6 in 1974 (AAPC=4.7%), then declined to 1.5 (AAPC=-1.4%).
The decline of YLLs due to cancer mortality was started late and slowly comparing with declines of other causes. Currently, YLLs of death of cancer and ischemic heart disease were higher than those of stroke and diabetes.

An oral presentation about gastric cancer research was done at an international conference, which was related to the risk of burden of cancer study.

現在までの達成度 (区分)
現在までの達成度 (区分)

2: おおむね順調に進展している

理由

Due to the unavailability of data from Taiwan on mortality in two planned cities, the comparison between Tokyo/Osaka and Taipei/Kaohsiung was pending. However, we have conducted the trends analysis for Japanese data about burden of cardiovascular diseases for the past 50 years.
In addition, as a coauthor, the Chinese investigators have submitted an article on the trend of mortality from ischemic heart disease in Chinese population.

今後の研究の推進方策

The analysis of trends of years of life lost from all-cause and main chronic diseases in Japan will be completed and submitted to a scientific journal for publication. Meanwhile, the study on comparison of mortality from stroke in Japan and China will be considered for publishing in a journal.

次年度使用額が生じた理由

Since data from Taiwan were not available for analysis, the plan of attending a scientific conference for the section study was postponed.Therefore, the incurring amount (about 170k) will be used in 2017 fiscal year.

次年度使用額の使用計画

The incurring amount will be used to attend another similar international conference.

  • 研究成果

    (1件)

すべて 2016

すべて 学会発表 (1件) (うち国際学会 1件)

  • [学会発表] Excessive Reactive Oxygen Species and the Gastric Cancer Risk: the JPHC Study.2016

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Ma E, Sasazuki S, Shimazu T, Sawada N, Yamagi T, Iwasaki M, Inoue M, Tsugane S
    • 学会等名
      The BIT’s 9th World Cancer Congress 2016
    • 発表場所
      Shanghai, China
    • 年月日
      2016-05-14 – 2016-05-16
    • 国際学会

URL: 

公開日: 2018-01-16  

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