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2017 年度 実績報告書

Fertility, Marriage and Female Labor Supply: Implications for Public Policy in Aging Societies

研究課題

研究課題/領域番号 17H02537
研究機関政策研究大学院大学

研究代表者

Hsu Minchung  政策研究大学院大学, 政策研究科, 准教授 (20467062)

研究分担者 藤本 淳一  政策研究大学院大学, 政策研究科, 准教授 (00507907)
Chen Stacey  政策研究大学院大学, 政策研究科, 准教授 (40785680)
研究期間 (年度) 2017-04-01 – 2021-03-31
キーワードFertility / Female labor supply / child care
研究実績の概要

This research project aims to develop a comprehensive framework in order to provide a number of constructive policy implications for aging societies. We particularly emphasize the effective design of population, education, and labor policies such that the negative effects of population aging on economic growth/fiscal balance can be mitigated. In FY2017, we have studied
1)Literature of theoretical analysis - we have studied the literature to develop an equilibrium overlapping generations model that characterizes households’ consumption, saving fertility, education and labor supply decisions over their life cycle and the interaction with labor market. Potential policy analysis is also studied.
2)Child care, fertility and aging - we have studied the fertility and aging in china and investigate the role of children’s support for parents in China.
3)Tax system, child-care and female labor supply in Japan - we have investigated potential reforms on spouse tax deduction and child-care subsidy and their effects on female labor supply.
4)Data collection - we have collected data from Thailand and Vietnam for understanding the education, fertility, labor supply and long-term care behaviors in developing countries

現在までの達成度 (区分)
現在までの達成度 (区分)

3: やや遅れている

理由

Although we have worked on several sub-projects focusing on different countries, it is still challenging to develop a unified theoretical framework for every target country. We are still working on the model development and try to identify the main mechanisms. Data collection from developing countries also takes longer than expected.

今後の研究の推進方策

We will keep working on the theoretical model and data analysis.
We aim to provide theoretical explanations to observed demographic/labor patterns, quantitative analysis, and policy investigation.
Once a benchmark is set up, we will perform a series of policy experiments for each country we have studied and study the policy implications.

  • 研究成果

    (5件)

すべて 2019 2018 2017 その他

すべて 雑誌論文 (2件) (うち国際共著 2件、 査読あり 2件) 学会発表 (2件) (うち国際学会 1件、 招待講演 1件) 備考 (1件)

  • [雑誌論文] Population Aging, Health Care, and Fiscal Policy Reform: The Challenges for Japan2019

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Hsu Minchung、Yamada Tomoaki
    • 雑誌名

      The Scandinavian Journal of Economics

      巻: 121 ページ: 547~577

    • DOI

      10.1111/sjoe.12280

    • 査読あり / 国際共著
  • [雑誌論文] Demographic Change and Long-term Growth in China: Past Developments and the Future Challenge of Aging2018

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Minchung Hsu, Pei-Ju Liao and Min Zhao
    • 雑誌名

      Review of Development Economics

      巻: 22 ページ: 928~952

    • DOI

      doi.org/10.1111/rode.12405

    • 査読あり / 国際共著
  • [学会発表] Reforming Medicaid long-term care insurance2017

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Gary Hansen, Minchung Hsu and Elena Kapatina
    • 学会等名
      Society for Economic Dynamics Annual Meeting, Edinburgh
    • 国際学会
  • [学会発表] Reform of long-term care insurance2017

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Minchung Hsu
    • 学会等名
      NTU macroeconomics workshop
    • 招待講演
  • [備考] Minchung Hsu

    • URL

      http://www3.grips.ac.jp/~minchunghsu/

URL: 

公開日: 2018-12-17  

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