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2021 年度 実績報告書

気候変動に伴う河川生態系のリスク評価:統計モデルとメソコスム実験の融合

研究課題

研究課題/領域番号 19H04314
研究機関北海道大学

研究代表者

G・MOLINOS JORGE  北海道大学, 北極域研究センター, 准教授 (30767281)

研究分担者 石山 信雄  地方独立行政法人北海道立総合研究機構, 森林研究本部 林業試験場, 研究主任 (50780821)
末吉 正尚  国立研究開発法人土木研究所, 土木研究所(つくば中央研究所), 専門研究員 (70792927)
研究期間 (年度) 2019-04-01 – 2024-03-31
キーワード気候変動 / 河川生態系 / 水温予測 / 種間関係 / メソコスム実験
研究実績の概要

Data collected over the three first years of the project was used to investigate the role of temporal and spatial scale in driving relationships between stream temperatures and environmental and landscape predictors. These results were then applied to examine the role of spring-fed streams supported by volcanic geology as cold refugia for invertebrate and fish species under contemporary and future conditions.
Two papers were prepared and submitted to international peer review journals from this work during the year. This work was presented at the annual meeting of the Ecology and Civil Engineering Society.
Results from the experiment conducted at the Hokkaido University Tomakomai Experimental Forest during 2020 were published in the international, peer-reviewed journal Global Change Biology (impact factor 13.21). This research, conducted in collaboration with researchers from Trinity College (Ireland), showed that effects of heatwaves on stream algae and invertebrates are dependent on the presence of predators (fish). These results highlight the potential role of species extinctions in amplifying the ecological impacts of climate change.
Two more collaborative papers lead by the Institute of Hydrobiology of the Chinese Academy of Sciences were published this year: an experiment to test the effects of warming and nutrient pollution on trophic interactions of freshwater zooplankton (Global Change Biology, IF 13.21); and (2) a meta-analysis of the effectiveness of ecosystem restoration projects in central China (Water Research, IF 13.4).

現在までの達成度 (区分)
現在までの達成度 (区分)

2: おおむね順調に進展している

理由

Despite COVID-19 restrictions have conditioned the development of the project activities and field work during the last two years, requiring adjustments to the original schedule, the objectives have been met successfully.
Monitored catchments were visited for site maintenance and collection of physical (water and air temperature) and biological (fish/benthic invertebrate and algae) sampling. All the planned biological sampling was completed.
Statistical models for prediction of water temperatures were updated with the newly collected data.
Visit to the Hiji River (Ehime, Shikoku), which was not possible during FY2020 due to COVID-19 restrictions, was conducted this year. Unfortunately, a high proportion of the monitored sites were lost because of typhoons and heavy rainfall that affected the area during the two previous years. Therefore, we decided to use the recovered data but otherwise discontinue work in this catchment. This does not affect the development or deliverables of the project, which continues operating as planned on the other three study catchments.

今後の研究の推進方策

FY2022 will carry on with the collection of temperature data and processing of the biological samples collected during FY2021 (taxonomic identification of macroinvertebrates). Analysis will build on results from previous years with a focus on assessing relationships between thermal habitats in rivers and the distribution and composition of aquatic species. Results will be disseminated through presentations at conferences and publications. We will continue to complement our work with ongoing collaborations with our international partners.

備考

Hokkaido University press release

  • 研究成果

    (7件)

すべて 2021 その他

すべて 国際共同研究 (2件) 雑誌論文 (3件) (うち国際共著 3件、 査読あり 3件) 学会発表 (1件) 備考 (1件)

  • [国際共同研究] Institute of Hydrobiology - CAS(中国)

    • 国名
      中国
    • 外国機関名
      Institute of Hydrobiology - CAS
  • [国際共同研究] Trinity College University of Dublin(アイルランド)

    • 国名
      アイルランド
    • 外国機関名
      Trinity College University of Dublin
  • [雑誌論文] Synergistic effects of warming and eutrophication alert zooplankton predator-prey interactions along the benthic-pelagic interface2021

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Zhang Huan、Zhang Peiyu、Wang Huan、Garcia Molinos Jorge、Hansson Lars‐Anders、He Liang、Zhang Min、Xu Jun
    • 雑誌名

      Global Change Biology

      巻: 27 ページ: 5907~5919

    • DOI

      10.1111/gcb.15838

    • 査読あり / 国際共著
  • [雑誌論文] Mitigation of urbanization effects on aquatic ecosystems by synchronous ecological restoration2021

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Fu Hong、Gauzere Pierre、Garcia Molinos Jorge、Zhang Peiyu、Zhang Huan、Zhang Min、Niu Yuan、Yu Hui、Brown Lee E.、Xu Jun
    • 雑誌名

      Water Research

      巻: 204 ページ: 117587~117587

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.watres.2021.117587

    • 査読あり / 国際共著
  • [雑誌論文] Predators mitigate the destabilising effects of heatwaves on multitrophic stream communities2021

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Ross Samuel R. P.‐J.、Garcia Molinos Jorge、Okuda Atsushi、Johnstone Jackson、Atsumi Keisuke、Futamura Ryo、Williams Maureen A.、Matsuoka Yuichi、Uchida Jiro、Kumikawa Shoji、Sugiyama Hiroshi、Kishida Osamu、Donohue Ian
    • 雑誌名

      Global Change Biology

      巻: 28 ページ: 403~416

    • DOI

      10.1111/gcb.15956

    • 査読あり / 国際共著
  • [学会発表] 木曽三川流域における水温レジームと魚類の分布パターン2021

    • 著者名/発表者名
      石山信雄, 石山信雄, Jorge Garcia Molinos, 中村圭吾
    • 学会等名
      応用生態工学会 第 24 回札幌大会
  • [備考] Predator buffers warming impacts biodiversity

    • URL

      https://www.global.hokudai.ac.jp/blog/predator-species-help-to-buffer-climate-change-impacts-on-biodiversity/

URL: 

公開日: 2023-12-25  

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