| 研究実績の概要 |
This is a three-year research project. It aims to examine the pattern of matching between manufacturers and intermediaries before and after export regulation for automobile industry in China. It also tries to investigate how the policy affects the profit sharing and total well-being of the industry by using an economic model.
For the first year, I began with collecting and examining the data from three sources: Government Registration Lists, Industrial Enterprises Survey datasets and Customs Records. After compiling the data, I proceed with examining patterns related to policy changes and matching behaviors. There are a few stylized facts which cannot be explained by existing theories and require further investigation. Based on the preliminary findings, I wrote a draft and presented it at the 2019 Japanese Economic Association Autumn Meeting.
For the next two year, I will continue investigating matching patterns related with automakers and intermediaries and behavior changes due to the regulation.
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| 現在までの達成度 (区分) |
現在までの達成度 (区分)
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理由
During the first year of this project, I mainly focused on collecting and cleaning the original data. In addition, I examined the structure of auto exporting industry in China and how automakers and intermediaries reacted to the implementation of the auto export regulation.
In general, this project went smoothly as planned and I will continue the research according to the schedule.
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| 今後の研究の推進方策 |
Based on the current progress, I decide to further explore the matching patterns between automakers and export intermediaries in China, paying particular attention to the behavior changes before and after the registration requirement.
The potential perspectives include but not limited to the following. First, describe the distribution of matching patterns and calculate the hazard rate of relationship break-ups. Second, examine whether it is positive or negative assortative matching between manufacturers and intermediaries. Third, investigate price changes before and after the policy to provide evidence on matching efficiencies.
Next, based on the above stylized facts of the automobile export industry and firm responses to the policy, I plan to build an economic model of export through intermediaries to rationalize policy incentives and analyze its consequences. Finally, I will try to simulate the model and obtain welfare implications.
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