| 研究課題/領域番号 |
19K19461
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| 研究機関 | 長崎大学 |
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研究代表者 |
マダニヤズ リナ 長崎大学, 熱帯医学研究所, 助教 (30835195)
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| 研究期間 (年度) |
2019-04-01 – 2022-03-31
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| キーワード | seasonality / mortality / temperature / climate change / multi countries / time series study |
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| 研究実績の概要 |
The aim of this research is to assess seasonality of mortality systematically and to explore how it may be impacted by ambient temperature under a changing climate, by using sophisticated statistical models to analyse time series daily data from multiple countries.
In 2019, I collected daily data on temperature and mortality for 704 cities from 34 countries. Then I used data from Japan to develop models to assess seasonality of mortality and to investigate the effect of temperature in the context of a changing climate. The results were presented to colleagues at conferences and seminars, which will be submitted to journal. I have also started descriptive analysis of data for other countries.
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| 現在までの達成度 (区分) |
現在までの達成度 (区分)
2: おおむね順調に進展している
理由
1. Data collection was finished successfully on time.
2. I've been attending conferences and seminars to present my preliminary findings in 2019. I am able to discuss with my colleagues smoothly and get feedbacks and suggestions. It helps me to improve my data analysis and model development. Therefore, it is generally progressing.
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| 今後の研究の推進方策 |
1. Finish and submit two manuscripts from current findings in FY2019 to academic journals in FY2020.
2. Finish the analysis for the remaining data.
3. Draft the manuscript for multi-cities from multi-countries.
4. Attend conferences and seminars to present and discuss ongoing progress.
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| 次年度使用額が生じた理由 |
Due to the pandemic of COVID19, the planned business trips in FY2019 were canceled. Therefore, I was not able to attend conferences and seminars because of COVID19.
For FY2020, (1) I plan to submit several papers to academic journals, which may need publishing charge and cost for language editing; (2) I will join conferences and seminars to present research findings; (3) I will buy items for data storage and analysis (e.g., USB drives and books).
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