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2023 年度 実施状況報告書

An integrated approach for modeling hillslope ecohydroclimatology: a new path to predict landslides in a changing climate

研究課題

研究課題/領域番号 22K04331
研究機関京都大学

研究代表者

WU YINGHSIN  京都大学, 防災研究所, 特定准教授 (40747143)

研究期間 (年度) 2022-04-01 – 2025-03-31
キーワードlandslide / climate change / hydrometeorology / hillslope ecohydrology / groundwater
研究実績の概要

The research aims to propose a refined methodology for landslide prediction by modeling the responses of the eco-hydroclimatic environment of hillslope in a changing climate. The methodology consists of two components: 1) Utilization of UAV LiDAR technology to detect microtopography and assess geomorphological and vegetation conditions on hillslopes at a high resolution. 2) Application of measured field data to evaluate soil wetness and mechanical equilibrium conditions in the surface soil layer of hillslopes for predicting shallow landslide occurrence. Currently, a new numerical approach for water table evolution in unconfined aquifers has been developed to better simulate the landslide trigger of groundwater. Also, UAV LiDAR has undergone testing and is now ready for field measurement.

現在までの達成度 (区分)
現在までの達成度 (区分)

3: やや遅れている

理由

This research aims to develop a new methodology that integrates refined field measurements of microtopography and vegetation conditions on hillslope using UAV-mounted LiDAR with a numerical model for eco-hydromechanical assessment of hillslopes to predict landslide occurrence. So far, a new numerical model for simulating the shallow water table is being developed and integrated into a mechanical landslide model. Concurrently, UAV LiDAR is being employed for several field tests. In the current stage, the task is to integrate refined measurements and the developing assessment model with plans to calibrate the landslide model at a field site. Currently, the field measurement is under preparation and will be performed soon. The progress of the measurement plan is slightly behind the schedule.

今後の研究の推進方策

The future work will focus on completing the proposed methodology that integrates refined field measurement techniques with a developing mechanical landslide model. The main tasks include testifying the reliability of the field measurement technique and calibrating the numerical assessment model. To achieve this, field measurement using UAV LiDAR will undergo several tests in the field. Concurrently, techniques for processing and analyzing field-measured datum will be developed. These trials will validate the accuracy of the field measurement method and the precision of the numerical model. Finally, the developed model will be applied to assess landslide occurrence in a landslide-prone watershed using newly measured high-resolution geomorphological data and other hydrometeorological data.

次年度使用額が生じた理由

The research tasks are to complete the integration of the developing assessment model with refined field measurement using UAV LiDAR and to conduct analysis using the developed model. Field measurements will be performed to collect data. Research findings are planned to be presented at both domestic and international conferences and submitted for publication in scientific journals.

  • 研究成果

    (5件)

すべて 2024 2023

すべて 雑誌論文 (1件) (うち査読あり 1件) 学会発表 (4件) (うち国際学会 2件)

  • [雑誌論文] APPLICATION OF RADIAL-BASIS FUNCTION NETWORK TO CHARACTERIZE FUTURE RAINFALL PRONE TO SEDIMENT HAZARDS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE2024

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Wu, Y.-H., Yamaji, A., & Nakakita, E.
    • 雑誌名

      Journal of JSCE

      巻: 12 ページ: n/a~n/a

    • DOI

      10.2208/journalofjsce.23-16153

    • 査読あり
  • [学会発表] A Numerical Approach to Model Hillslope Soil Moisture for Predicting Shallow Landslides2023

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Wu, Y.-H., Hung, C.-Y., & Nakakita, E.
    • 学会等名
      AGU Fall Meeting 2023
    • 国際学会
  • [学会発表] Assessing Landslide Hazards in a Changing Climate Considering Atmospheric Influences: A Case Study of Rokko Mountain2023

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Wu, Y.-H., Yamaji, A., Naka, Y., & Nakakita, E.
    • 学会等名
      AOGS 2023
    • 国際学会
  • [学会発表] Application of radial-basis function network to characterize future rainfall prone to sediment hazards in a change climate2023

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Wu, Y.-H., Yamaji, A., & Nakakita, E.
    • 学会等名
      68th Annual Conference of JSCE Journal of Hydraulic Engineering
  • [学会発表] Assessing Landslide Hazards in a Changing Climate Considering Atmospheric Influences: A Case Study of Rokko Mountain2023

    • 著者名/発表者名
      Wu, Y.-H., Yamaji, A., Naka, Y., & Nakakita, E.
    • 学会等名
      2023 Annual Conference, Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources

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公開日: 2024-12-25  

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