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1997 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary

A study on panel survey and panel analysis for transportation planning

Research Project

Project/Area Number 08305019
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field 交通工学・国土計画
Research InstitutionKYOTO UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

KITAMURA Ryuichi  Kyoto University, Department of Civil Engineering Systems, Professor, 工学研究科, 教授 (60252467)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) UNO Fumitaka  Kyoto University, Department of Civil Engineering Systems, Research Associate, 工学研究科, 助手 (10263104)
YAMAMOTO Toshiyuki  Kyoto University, Department of Civil Engineering Systems, Research Associate, 工学研究科, 助手 (80273465)
FUJII Satoshi  Kyoto University, Department of Civil Engineering Systems, Research Associate, 工学研究科, 助手 (80252469)
UNO Nobuhiro  Kyoto University, Department of Civil Engineering Systems, Research Associate, 工学研究科, 助手 (80232883)
IIDA Yasunori  Kyoto University, Department of Civil Engineering Systems, Professor, 工学研究科, 教授 (10026114)
Project Period (FY) 1996 – 1997
KeywordsPanel Analysis / Panel Survey / Transportation Planning / Travel Behavior / 交通調査
Research Abstract

Models of attitude change or behavioral change require repeated measurements obtainable only in panels. If accurate measurements of travel behavior are required for the analysis, such data cannot be obtained from retrospective questions asked of a cross section, but must be obtained by repeated measurements from a panel survey. Analytically, "Longitudinal data often provide more statistical leverage in sorting out causal patterns because they enable the analyst to separate effects of persistent interpersonal differences from real inter-temporal relationships" (Duncan, et al., 1987). In particular, it is well established that consistent model estimation is not possible with cross-sectional data when unobserved heterogeneity is present which tends to be in variant over time (e.g., Davies & Pickles, 1985).
With this recognition, our research group has developed several dynamic models for an individual's travel and activity behavior, household vehicle ownership and aggregated indicator for vehicle ownership. Travel behavior models that account for unobserved heterogeneity across individuals or bias of panel attrition are developed using panel data.
Our research group held two special sessions for panel analysis and panel survey in annual meeting on infrastructure planning in 1996 and 1997. In these special sessions, models of individuals' dynamic behavior using panel data or methodology for dealing with biases generated with panel attrition, conditioning or fatigue are reported. And advantages and availability in actual transportation planning of panel are discussed.

  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All Other

All Publications (13 results)

  • [Publications] 西井 和夫: "これからの交通需要分析・予測のための交通調査手法の課題" 土木計画学研究・講演集. No.20(1). 529-534 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 北村 隆一: "交通計画におけるパネル調査の方法論およびパネルデータ解析手法に関する研究" 土木計画学研究・講演集. No.19. 617-624 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 佐々木 邦明: "パネルサンプルの初期摩耗を考慮した動的な買物目的選択モデル" 土木計画学研究・論文集. No.13. 595-602 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 藤井 聡: "阪神・淡路大震災が交通行動に及ぼした影響に関するパネル分析" 土木計画学研究・論文集. No.14. 327-332 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 西井 和夫: "多時点パネルのアトリションバイアスとその修正法に関する研究" 土木計画学研究・論文集. No.14. 653-662 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 藤原 章正: "Mass Point手法による交通機関選好モデルの消耗及び回答バイアスの修正" 土木計画学研究・論文集. No.13. 587-594 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] Kitamura, R., Y.Iida, Y.Sugie, H.Ishida, K.Nishii, T.Yai, T.Hyodo, T.Uchida, J.Zhang, N.Uno, K.Sasaki, T.Itoh, H.Furuya, S.Fujii, T.Shimizu, F.Kurauchi and T.Yamamoto: "A study on panel survey and panel analysis for transportation planning, (in Japanease)" Proceedings of Infrastructure Planning. No.19. 617-624 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] Nishii, K., Kitamura, R., Y.Iida, Y.Sugie, H.Ishida, T.Yai, T.Morikawa, T.Uchida, A.Fujiwara, J.Zhang, N.Uno, K.Sasaki, T.Itoh, S.Fujii, T.Shimizu, F.Kurauchi and T.Yamamoto: "Issues for survey method for travel demand analysis and forecasting (in Japanease)" Proceedings of Infrastructure Planning. No.20(1). 529-534 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] Nishii, K., K.Kondo, H.Furuya and H.Tochigi: "Panel attrition and the correcting method for the its biases : using Multi-Wave Kofu Shopper Panels (in Japanease)" Infrastructure Planning Reviews. No.14. 653-662 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] Itoh, T.and H.Ishida: "Regional and Temporal Analysis for Car Ownership in Japan" Journal of Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies. Vol.2, No.3. 973-992 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] Yamamoto, T.and Kitamura, R.: "An Analysis of Household Vehicle Holding Durations Considering Intended Holding Durations" Presented at the 8th Meeting of the International Association for Travel Behavior Research, Texas.(1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] Sugie, Y., A.Fujiwara and T.Ogasa: "Prediction accuracy of mode choice models based on SP pane data (in Japanease)" Journal of Infrastructure Planning and Management. No.576/IV-37. 11-22 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] Kurauchi, Y.Iida, H.Tsukaguchi, N.Uno and M.Kato: "The Empirical Anaylsis on the Evaluation of Parking Guidance and Information System" Proceedings of Third Annual World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems. CD-ROM. (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より

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Published: 1999-03-16  

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