2006 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary
Community survey on infectious disease crisis management and the development of prediction and prevention measures
| Project/Area Number |
16590423
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
Medical sociology
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| Research Institution | Hiroshima University |
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Principal Investigator |
KAKEHASHI Masayuki Hiroshima University, Graduate School of Health Sciences, Professor, 大学院保健学研究科, 教授 (80177344)
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| Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
EBOSHIDA Akira Hiroshima University, Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Professor, 大学院医歯薬学総合研究科, 教授 (50168811)
NISHIYAMA Mika Hiroshima Bunkyo Women's University, Faculty of Human Science, Associate Professor, 人間科学部, 助教授 (00363052)
YAMAGUCHI Fumi Hiroshima Prefectural University, Faculty of Health and Welfare, Associate Professor, 保健福祉学部, 助教授 (60352051)
INABA Hisashi University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Mathematical Sciences, Associate Professor, 大学院数理科学研究科, 助教授 (80282531)
NAKAZAWA Minato Gunma University, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Associate Professor, 大学院医学系研究科, 助教授 (40251227)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2004 – 2006
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| Keywords | infectious diseases / prevention / simulation / agent model / individual based model |
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| Research Abstract |
The purpose of this research was to provide useful information on infectious disease crisis management based on community survey on infectious diseases prevention by developing mathematical models to predict the spread of infectious diseases and to evaluate the effect of proposed preventive policies. This research was carried out in three years. In the first year (2004), a community survey on the knowledge on and the preventive attitude against infectious diseases was performed. In the next year (2005), the model for simulating the spread of infectious disease was developed based on the collected information by the survey. In the last year (2006), further simulation was carried out to evaluate the effect of several proposed preventive policies.
As a result of community survey, the knowledge on infectious disease and its prevention among young people (adolescents) seemed less sufficient in comparison with adults. The data obtained by the survey was used to specify the parameter values used in the mathematical models. In the simulation model, population consisted of households are used. Each individual has risk of infection in his/her household, at his/her school or work place and during transit by train. By the simulation, the effect of vaccination and reduction of outing, and so on, were analyzed quantitatively. Further analyses are still in process.
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Research Products
(22 results)
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[Book] 理論生物学入門2007
Author(s)
梯 正之 ほか
Total Pages
319
Publisher
現代図書
Description
「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
