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2008 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

Econometric Analysis of Securities Markets in Japan Using High-frequency Data

Research Project

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Project/Area Number 18203901
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionHitotsubashi University

Principal Investigator

WATANABE Toshiaki  Hitotsubashi University, 経済研究所, 教授 (90254135)

Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha) OMORI Yasuhiro  東京大学, 大学院・経済学研究科, 准教授 (60251188)
OYA Kousuke  大阪大学, 大学院・経済学研究科, 教授 (20233281)
SATOYOSHI Kiyotaka  東洋大学, 経営学部, 准教授 (10366510)
KOBAYASHI Masato  横浜国立大学, 経済学部, 教授 (60170354)
Project Period (FY) 2006 – 2008
Keywordsオプション / 高頻度データ / 長期記憶性 / 非同期取引 / マイクロストラクチャ・ノイズ / ARFIMA / Realized Volatility / Realized Covariance
Research Abstract

Realized Volatility(RV)とRealized Covariance(RCOV)に関して、以下の研究を行った。(1) RVをARFIMAXモデルで定式化すると、ボラティリティの予測やオプション価格の導出で高いパフォーマンスが得られることを示した。(2) 日次リターンと同時に定式化するモデルやARFIMA-GARCHモデルなどRVの新たなモデルを提案。(3) マイクロストラクチャ・ノイズの推定・検定方法を提案

  • Research Products

    (34 results)

All 2009 2008 2007 2006

All Journal Article (14 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 6 results) Presentation (20 results)

  • [Journal Article] GARCH型モデルとRealized Volatilityを用いたTOPIX日次リターンの非線形性の検証2009

    • Author(s)
      渡部敏明, 長倉大輔
    • Journal Title

      日本統計学会誌 第39巻・シリーズJ・第1号(掲載予定)

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Statistical Properties of Covariance Estimator of Microstructure Noise : Dependence, Rare Jumps and Endogeneity2009

    • Author(s)
      Masato Ubukata and Kosuke Oya
    • Journal Title

      forthcoming in Recent Advance in Financial Engineering, World Scientific

      Pages: 1-28

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models Using Daily Returns and Realized Volatility Simultaneously2009

    • Author(s)
      Makoto Takahashi, Yasuhiro Omori and Toshiaki Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      Computational Statistics and Data Analysis Volume 53, Issue 6

      Pages: 2404-2426

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] State-space Approach to Estimating the Integrated Variance and Microstructure Noise Component2009

    • Author(s)
      Daisuke Nagakura and Toshiaki Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      IMES Discussion Paper(Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan) 2009-E-11

      Pages: 1-41

  • [Journal Article] Realized Volatilityを用いた日経225オプション価格の導出2009

    • Author(s)
      渡部敏明
    • Journal Title

      大阪証券取引所『先物オプションレポート』 Vol.21, No.3

      Pages: 1-6

  • [Journal Article] Estimation and Testing for Dependence in Market Microstructure Noise2009

    • Author(s)
      Masato Ubukata and Kosuke Oya
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Financial Econometrics vol.7

      Pages: 106-151

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Modeling and forecasting the volatility of the Nikkei 225 realized volatility using the ARFIMA-GARCH model2009

    • Author(s)
      Isao Ishida and Toshiaki Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series 032, Hitotsubashi University

      Pages: 1-27

  • [Journal Article] マーケット・マイクロストラクチャー・ノイズの系列相関の推定2008

    • Author(s)
      大屋幸輔
    • Journal Title

      大阪大学経済学 第57巻, 第4号

      Pages: 229-241

  • [Journal Article] Realized Volatility-サーベイと日本の株式市場への応用-2008

    • Author(s)
      渡部敏明
    • Journal Title

      経済研究一橋大学 58

      Pages: 352-373

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] モデル・フリー・インプライド・ボラティリティ2007

    • Author(s)
      渡部敏明
    • Journal Title

      先物オプションレポート 19・12

      Pages: 1-6

  • [Journal Article] マルコフ・スイッチングGARCHモデルによるボラティリティの予測2007

    • Author(s)
      里吉清隆
    • Journal Title

      経済研究 58・4

      Pages: 323-334

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Test of Unbiasedness of the Integrated Covariance Estimation in the Presence of Noise2007

    • Author(s)
      Masato Ubukata, Kosuke Oya
    • Journal Title

      Discussion Papers Graduate School of Economics and Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP), Osaka University 07-03

      Pages: 1-24

  • [Journal Article] 日経225の"Realized Volatility"とインプライド・ボラティリティ2006

    • Author(s)
      渡部敏明
    • Journal Title

      先物オプションレポート 18・12

      Pages: 25

  • [Journal Article] ARCH型モデルと"Realized Volatility"によるボラティリティ予測とバリュー・アット・リスク2006

    • Author(s)
      渡部敏明, 佐々木浩二
    • Journal Title

      金融研究 25・別冊第2号

      Pages: 39-74

  • [Presentation] Bayesian Analysis of Max-stable Processes with Application to High Frequency Stock Returns2009

    • Author(s)
      国浜剛, 大森裕浩
    • Organizer
      Bayesian Analysis of Max-stable Processes with Application to High Frequency Stock Returns
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-23
  • [Presentation] Recent Developments in the Studies on Financial Volatility2009

    • Author(s)
      渡部敏明
    • Organizer
      APF7 & Tokyo Tech-Hitotsubashi Interdisci-plinery Conference "New Approaches to the Analysis of Large-Scale Business and Economic Data
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-05
  • [Presentation] Option Pricing Using Realized Volatility and ARCH Type Models2009

    • Author(s)
      生方雅人, 渡部敏明
    • Organizer
      ファイナンスと計量経済学の最近の発展(Recent Develop-ments in Finance and Econometrics)
    • Place of Presentation
      琉球大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-02-15
  • [Presentation] Bayesian Analysis of Max-stable Processes with Application to High Frequency Stock Returns2009

    • Author(s)
      国浜剛, 大森裕浩
    • Organizer
      ファイナンスと計量経済学の最近の発展(Recent Developments in Finance and Econometrics)
    • Place of Presentation
      琉球大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-02-15
  • [Presentation] Generalized Extreme Value Distribution with Time-dependence using the Auto- regressive Model in State Space Form2009

    • Author(s)
      中島上智, 国浜剛, 大森裕浩
    • Organizer
      ファイナンスと計量経済学の最近の発展(Recent Developments in Finance and Econometrics)
    • Place of Presentation
      琉球大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-02-14
  • [Presentation] Bayesian Analysis of Structural Changes in ARFIMA Models with an Application to Realized Volatility2008

    • Author(s)
      渡部敏明
    • Organizer
      Joint Meeting of 4^<th> World Conference of the IASA and 6^<th> Conference of the Asian Regional Section of the IASC on Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, International Statistical Computing
    • Place of Presentation
      パシフィコ横浜
    • Year and Date
      2008-12-08
  • [Presentation] Asymmetric Markov Switching Stochastic Volatility Model with Realized Volatility2008

    • Author(s)
      石原庸博, 大森裕浩
    • Organizer
      Joint Meeting of 4^<th> World Conference of the IASA and 6^<th> Conference of the Asian Regional Section of the IASC on Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, International Statistical Computing
    • Place of Presentation
      パシフィコ横浜
    • Year and Date
      2008-12-08
  • [Presentation] Bayesian Analysis of Structural Changes in ARFIMA Models with an Application to Realized Volatility2008

    • Author(s)
      渡部敏明
    • Organizer
      Inter-national Conference "High-Frequency Data Analysis in Financial Markets
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-10-25
  • [Presentation] Gene-ralized Extreme Value Distribution with Time-dependence using the Auto- regressive Model in State Space Form2008

    • Author(s)
      中島上智, 国浜剛, 大森裕浩
    • Organizer
      International Conference "High-Frequency Data Analysis in Financial Markets
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-10-25
  • [Presentation] マルコフ・スイッチングEGARCHモデルによるTOPIXの分析2008

    • Author(s)
      里吉清隆
    • Organizer
      日本統計学会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-09-09
  • [Presentation] A Test for Cross-sectional Dependence of Micro-structure Noises and their Cross-Covariance Estimator2008

    • Author(s)
      生方雅人, 大屋幸輔
    • Organizer
      Daiwa Lecture Series and International Workshop on Financial Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      大手町サンケイプラザ
    • Year and Date
      2008-08-04
  • [Presentation] Bias Corrected Realized Volatility with Dependent Microstructure Noise2008

    • Author(s)
      大屋幸輔
    • Organizer
      2^<nd> International Workshop on Computational and Financial Econometrics(CFE'08)
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Neuchatel, Switzer-land
    • Year and Date
      2008-06-20
  • [Presentation] Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models Using Daily Returns and Realized Volatility Simultaneously2008

    • Author(s)
      高橋慎, 大森裕浩, 渡部敏明
    • Organizer
      複雑現象のモデル化と統計理論的発展
    • Place of Presentation
      金沢大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-03-02
  • [Presentation] Bayesian Analysis of Structural Changes in ARFIMA Models with an Application to Realized Volatility2007

    • Author(s)
      渡部敏明
    • Organizer
      2007年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-09-08
  • [Presentation] Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models Using Daily Returns and Realized Volatility Simultaneously2007

    • Author(s)
      高橋慎, 大森裕浩, 渡部敏明
    • Organizer
      2007年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-09-07
  • [Presentation] 株価収益率間の共分散推定とそのバイアス検定2007

    • Author(s)
      大屋幸輔
    • Organizer
      2007年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-09-07
  • [Presentation] Bayesian Analysis of Structural Changes in ARFIMA Models with an Application to Realized Volatility2007

    • Author(s)
      渡部敏明
    • Organizer
      2^<nd> Japanese-European Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      The National Bank of Hungary
    • Year and Date
      2007-08-27
  • [Presentation] Test of Unbiasedness of the Integrated Covariance Estimation in the Presence of Noise2007

    • Author(s)
      生方雅人, 大屋幸輔
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2007年度春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-06-03
  • [Presentation] Test of Unbiasedness of the Integrated Covariance Estimation in the Presence of Noise2007

    • Author(s)
      生方雅人, 大屋幸輔
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on Computational and Financial Econometrics
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Geneva
    • Year and Date
      2007-04-21
  • [Presentation] Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models Using Daily Returns and Realized Volatility Simultaneously2007

    • Author(s)
      高橋慎, 大森裕浩, 渡部敏明
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on Computational and Financial Econometrics
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Geneva
    • Year and Date
      2007-04-21

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Published: 2010-06-10   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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