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2011 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

Studies on the Effects of the Stratosphere on Climate Change and its Dynamical Role

Research Project

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Project/Area Number 20244076
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Meteorology/Physical oceanography/Hydrology
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

YODEN Shigeo  京都大学, 大学院・理学研究科, 教授 (30167027)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) ISHIOKA Keiichi  京都大学, 大学院・理学研究科, 准教授 (90292804)
NAITO Yoko  京都大学, 大学院・理学研究科, 助教 (50324603)
MUKOUGAWA Hitoshi  京都大学, 防災研究所, 教授 (20261349)
HORINOUCHI Takeshi  北海道大学, 地球環境科学研究院, 准教授 (50314266)
KODERA Kunihiko  名古屋大学, 太陽地球環境研究所, 客員教授 (70343887)
HIROOKA Toshihiko  九州大学, 大学院・理学研究院, 教授 (90253393)
TAGUCHI Masakazu  愛知教育大学, 教育学部, 准教授 (50397527)
SHIBATA Kiyotaka  気象庁気象研究所, 環境応用気象研究部, 室長 (50354494)
Project Period (FY) 2008 – 2011
Keywords気候変動 / 成層圏 / 対流圏 / 子午面循環 / 大気波動
Research Abstract

Effects of the stratospheric change on the main dynamical processes of the general circulation of the atmosphere and their dynamical role were clarified with data analyses of global observations and numerical studies with a hierarchy of numerical models from a dynamical core to the JMA operational model of one-month ensemble numerical weather prediction. Some specific findings associated with a stratospheric sudden warming event are large-scale frontal structure at the edge of circumpolar vortex and systematic predictability variation of the annular mode before and after the event. A chemistry-climate model was also used in addition to the above data and models, and the dynamical influences of external forcings, such as the stratospheric cooling and variations of the solar activity, on the intra-seasonal and inter-annual variations of the atmosphere were elucidated.

  • Research Products

    (53 results)

All 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008

All Journal Article (29 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 28 results) Presentation (22 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] The nature of Arctic polarvortices in chemistry. climate models2012

    • Author(s)
      Y. Yamazaki, K. Yumoto, D. McNamara, T. Hirooka, T. Uozumi, K. Kitamura, S. Abe and A. Ikeda
    • Journal Title

      Q. J. R. Meteor. Soc

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1002/qj.1909

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Moist Hadleycirculation : possible role ofwave-convection coupling inaqua-planet experiment2012

    • Author(s)
      Horinouchi, T
    • Journal Title

      J. Atmos. Sci

      Volume: 69(3) Pages: 891-907

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1175/JAS-D-11-0149.1

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Role of medium-scale waves on the Southern Annular Mode2011

    • Author(s)
      Y. Kuroda and H. Mukougawa
    • Journal Title

      J. Geophys. Res

      Volume: 116

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1029/2011JD016293

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A general circulation model study of the impact of a stratospheric sudden warming event on tropical convection2011

    • Author(s)
      K. Kodera, H. Mukougawa and Y. Kuroda
    • Journal Title

      SOLA

      Volume: Vol.7 Pages: 197-200

    • DOI

      DOI:10.2151/sola.2011-050

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Inertia-gravity wave radiation from an unstable Bickley jet in rotating two-layer shallow water2011

    • Author(s)
      M. Harada and K. Ishioka
    • Journal Title

      SOLA

      Volume: Vol.7 Pages: 113-116

    • DOI

      DOI:10.2151/sola.2011-029

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Interaction between thermal convection and mean flow in a rotating system with a tilted axis2011

    • Author(s)
      N. Saito and K. Ishioka
    • Journal Title

      Fluid Dynamics Research

      Volume: 43

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1088/0169-5983/43/6/065503

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Evaluation of dynamical contribution to lower stratospheric ozone trends in northern mid-latitudes over the last three decades(1980-2006) using achemical transport model2011

    • Author(s)
      Kobayashi, C. and K. Shibata
    • Journal Title

      J. Meteor. Soc. Japan

      Volume: 89 Pages: 363-376

    • DOI

      DOI:10.2151/jmsj.2011-405

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Impacts of increases in greenhouse gases and ozone recovery on lower stratospheric circulation and the age of air : Chemistry-climate model simulations up to 21002011

    • Author(s)
      Deushi, M. and K. Shibata
    • Journal Title

      J. Geophys. Res

      Volume: 116

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1029/2010JD015361

  • [Journal Article] On the Approximation of Local and Linear Radiative Damping in the Middle Atmosphere2010

    • Author(s)
      Hitchcock P, Shepard TG, and Yoden S
    • Journal Title

      J. Atmos. Sci

      Volume: 67(6) Pages: 2070-2085

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1175/2009JAS3286.1

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Jet formation in decaying two-dimensional turbulence on a rotating sphere2010

    • Author(s)
      Yoden. S, Ishioka. K, et al
    • Journal Title

      IUTAM Symposium on Turbulence in the Atmosphere and Oceans

      Volume: 28

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1007/978-94-0,07-0360-5_210

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Jet formation in decaying two-dimensional turbulence on a rotating sphere2010

    • Author(s)
      Y. Chikamoto, Y. Tanimotom, H. Mukougawa, and M. Kimoto
    • Journal Title

      J. Meteor. Soc. Japan

      Volume: 88-2 Pages: 183-202

    • DOI

      DOI:10.2151/jmsj.2010-205

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Predictability during the onset period of a Euro-Atlantic blocking event during2010

    • Author(s)
      K. Takemura and H. Mukougawa
    • Journal Title

      SOLA

      Volume: Vol.6 Pages: 109-112

    • DOI

      DOI:10.2151/sola.2010-028

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Chang in the ENSO teleconnection characteristics in the boreal winter2010

    • Author(s)
      Kodera K
    • Journal Title

      SOLA

      Volume: Vol.6 Pages: 021-024

    • DOI

      DOI:10.2151/sola.6A-006

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Forecast study of the cold December of 2005 in Japan : Role of Ross by waves and tropical convection2010

    • Author(s)
      Inaba, M and K. Kodera
    • Journal Title

      J. Meteor. Soc. Japan

      Volume: Vol.88 Pages: 719-735

    • DOI

      DOI:10.2151/jmsj.2010-405

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Impacts of stratospheric sudden warming event on tropical clouds and moisture fields in the TTL : A Case Study2010

    • Author(s)
      Eguchi, N., and K. Kodera
    • Journal Title

      SOLA

      Volume: Vol.6 Pages: 137-140

    • DOI

      DOI:10.2151/sola.2010-035

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Evidence for Changes in Stratospheric Transport and Mixing Over the Past Three Decades Based on Multiple Datasets and Tropical Leaky Pipe Analysis2010

    • Author(s)
      Ray, E. A., K. Shibata, et al
    • Journal Title

      J. Geophys. Res

      Volume: 115 Pages: D21304

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1029/2010JD014206

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Chemistry-climate model simulations of 21st century stratospheric climate and circulation changes2010

    • Author(s)
      Butchart, N., I. Cionni, V. Eyring, K. Shibata, et al
    • Journal Title

      J. Clim

      Volume: 23 Pages: 5349-5374

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Observed connection of the stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation with EL Nino~Southern Oscillation in radiosonde data~2010

    • Author(s)
      Taguchi, M.
    • Journal Title

      J. Geophys. Res

      Volume: 115 Pages: 18120

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1029/2010JD014325

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Classification of Polar-night Jet Oscillations and Their Relationship to Fast and Slow Variations in a Global Mechanistic Circulation Model of the Stratosphere and Troposphere2010

    • Author(s)
      M. Kohoma, S. Nishizawa and S. Yoden
    • Journal Title

      J. Clim

      Volume: Vol.23

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1175/2010JCL13458.1

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Combined effects of QBO and 11-yearsolar cycle on the winter hemisphere in systems2009

    • Author(s)
      Ito. K., Y. Naito., and S. Yoden
    • Journal Title

      Geophys. Res. Lett

      Volume: Vol.36

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1029/2008GL037117

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An update of observed stratospheric temperature trends2009

    • Author(s)
      Randel, W. J, Shine K. P, Austin J, and S. Yoden, et al
    • Journal Title

      J. Geophys. Res

      Volume: Vol.114

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1029/2008JD010421

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Influence of stratospheric circulation on the predictability of the tropospheric Northern Annular Mode2009

    • Author(s)
      Mukougawa H, Hirooka T, and Kuroda Y
    • Journal Title

      J. Res. Lett

      Volume: Vol.36

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1029/2008GL037127

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Spaticalstructures and statistics of using aheuristic vertical cross-section extraction from COSMIC GPS atmospheric gravity waves derived radio occultation date2009

    • Author(s)
      Horinouchi, T. and T. Tsuda
    • Journal Title

      J. Geophys. Res

      Volume: Vol.114

    • DOI

      doi:10.1029/2008JD011068

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Northern winter stratospheric temperature and ozone responses to ENSO inferred from an ensemble of Chemistry Climate Models2009

    • Author(s)
      Cagnazzo, C., Manzini, E., Calvo, N. and Shibata, K., et al
    • Journal Title

      Atmos. Chem. Phys

      Volume: Vol.9 Pages: 8935-8948

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An update of observed stratospheric emperature trends2009

    • Author(s)
      William J. Randel, Keith P. Shine, and Yoden. S, et al
    • Journal Title

      J. Geophys. Res

      Volume: Vol.114 Pages: D02107

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1029/2008JD010421

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Characteristics of the meso-scaleenvironments of storms associated with typhoon-spawned tornadoes in Miyazaki2009

    • Author(s)
      S. Keita and Mukougawa H
    • Journal Title

      SOLA

      Volume: 5 Pages: 5-8

    • DOI

      DOI:10.2151/sola.2009-002

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Influence of stratospheric circulation on the predictability of the tropospheric Northern annular mode2009

    • Author(s)
      H. Mukougawa, T. Hirooka and Y. Kuroda
    • Journal Title

      J. Geophys. Res

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1029/2008JD011068

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A numerical study of upward-propagating gravity waves in two different MJO phases2008

    • Author(s)
      T. Horinouchi
    • Journal Title

      Geophys. Res. Lett

      Volume: 35 Pages: 17802

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1029/2008JD011068

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Tropospheric impact of reflected planetary waves from the stratosphere2008

    • Author(s)
      Kodera K., H. Mukougawa and S. Itoh
    • Journal Title

      J. Res. Let

    • DOI

      DOI:10.129/2008GL034575

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Development of a sphericalharmonics transform library forseveral architectures2012

    • Author(s)
      K. Ishioka
    • Organizer
      2nd AICS International Sympo
    • Place of Presentation
      理化学研究所計算科学研究所(神戸市)
    • Year and Date
      2012-03-01
  • [Presentation] Impacts of Global Warming and Ozone Recovery on Stratospheric Sudden Warming in Transient Simulations of a Chemistry-Climate Model2012

    • Author(s)
      Shibata, K. and M. Deushi
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Stratospheric Sudden Warming and its Role in Weather and Climate Variations
    • Place of Presentation
      芝蘭会館(京都市)
    • Year and Date
      2012-02-24
  • [Presentation] Impact of stratospheric sudden warming event on tropical circulation and convection2012

    • Author(s)
      Kodera. K., H. Mukougawa., Y. Kuroda., and Eguchi. N
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Stratospheric Sudden Warming and its Role in Weather and Climate Variations
    • Place of Presentation
      芝蘭会館(京都市)
    • Year and Date
      2012-02-23
  • [Presentation] StratosphericSudden Warming and its Role in Weatherand Climate Variations2012

    • Author(s)
      S. YODEN
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Stratospheric Sudden Warming and its Role in Weather and Climate Variations
    • Place of Presentation
      芝蘭会館(京都市)
    • Year and Date
      2012-02-22
  • [Presentation] Solar influence on the Earth' ssurface through stratospheric dynamical processes2012

    • Author(s)
      K. Kodera, K. Matthes
    • Organizer
      The 2nd Nagoya Workshop on the Relationship between Solar Activity and Climate Changes
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学(名古屋市)
    • Year and Date
      2012-01-17
  • [Presentation] Predictability of Northern winter stratospheric conditions using JMA one-month ensemble predictions for 2001/02-2009/102011

    • Author(s)
      Taguchi, M., H. Mukougawa, T. Hirooka, S. Noguchi and Yoden S
    • Organizer
      WCRP OSC:Climate Research in Service to Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Denver(USA)
    • Year and Date
      2011-10-24
  • [Presentation] Mesoscale-model study on anextratroprical tropopause inversion layer2011

    • Author(s)
      Yoden, S
    • Organizer
      WCRP OSC:Climate Research in Service to Society
    • Year and Date
      2011-10-24
  • [Presentation] Effects of greenhouse gas increase and ozone recovery on lower stratospheric circulation and the age of air as revealed by chemistry-climate model simulations up to 21002011

    • Author(s)
      Shibata, K. and M. Deushi
    • Organizer
      11th EMS(European Meteorological Society) Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Berlin(Germany)
    • Year and Date
      2011-09-12
  • [Presentation] Influence of Stratospheric Sudden Warmings on the Predictability of the Northern Hemisphere Annular Mode2011

    • Author(s)
      Mukougawa, H., S. Nagata, T. Hirooka, Y. Kuroda
    • Organizer
      International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics(IUGG) General Assembly
    • Place of Presentation
      Melbourne Australia)
    • Year and Date
      2011-07-05
  • [Presentation] Non-Linear interaction of the solar forcing in the boreal winter2011

    • Author(s)
      K. Kodera
    • Organizer
      IUGG
    • Place of Presentation
      Melbourne(Australia)
    • Year and Date
      2011-06-29
  • [Presentation] Connection of the stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation with EL Nino-Southern Oscillation2011

    • Author(s)
      Taguchi. M.
    • Organizer
      AGU Chapman Conference on Atmospheric
    • Place of Presentation
      Honolulu(USA)
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-11
  • [Presentation] Analysis of spatial structure of gravity waves using GPS occultation data2011

    • Author(s)
      T. Horinouchi
    • Organizer
      AGUC hapman Conference on Atmospheric Gravity Waves and Their Effects on General Circulation and Climate
    • Place of Presentation
      Honolulu(Hawaii)
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-03
  • [Presentation] Numerical experiments on formation processes of thin moist layers in the tropical mid-troposphere over eastern Pacific2011

    • Author(s)
      Otsuka, S., Yoden, S., and Takeshita, M.
    • Organizer
      AMS 91st Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Seattle(USA)
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-26
  • [Presentation] Global distribution of minor constituents observed by SMILES and its dynamical background2011

    • Author(s)
      Y. Naito and N. Nishi, et al
    • Organizer
      91^<st> Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Seattle(USA)
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-25
  • [Presentation] Current status of MRI models for the CMIP5 simulation2010

    • Author(s)
      K. Shibata and S. Yukimoto
    • Organizer
      SPARC Dyn Var Workshop
    • Place of Presentation
      Boulder(USA)
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-04
  • [Presentation] Stratosphere-troposphere dynamical coupling through blocking phenomena during recent major stratospheric sudden warmings2010

    • Author(s)
      T. Hirooka, T. Ichimaru, Y. Harada, H Naoe and H. Mukougawa
    • Organizer
      Dyn Var Workshop 2
    • Place of Presentation
      Boulder(USA)
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-03
  • [Presentation] Numerical studies on international and external variations of the winter polar vortex with a mechanistic circulation model2010

    • Author(s)
      S. YODEN
    • Organizer
      WCRP Workshop on Seasonal to Multi-Decadal Predictability of Polar Climate
    • Place of Presentation
      Bergen(Norway)
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-26
  • [Presentation] Effect of sea surface temperature on the solar signal in the stratosphere and troposphere as revealed by chemistry climate model simulations from 1960 to 20062010

    • Author(s)
      Shibata. K. and M. Deushi
    • Organizer
      SCOSTER Symposium
    • Place of Presentation
      Berlin(Germany)
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-22
  • [Presentation] Classification of Polar-Night Jet Oscillations and Their Relationship to Fast and Slow Variations in a Global Mechanistic2010

    • Author(s)
      S. YODEN
    • Organizer
      7th Annual Meeting AOGS
    • Place of Presentation
      Hyderabad International
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-05
  • [Presentation] Comparison of the 11-year solar signal incoordinated SPARC/SOLARIS experiments using filtered forcings2010

    • Author(s)
      A. Kubin, K. Matthes, K. Shibata, , K. Kodera, and U. Langematz
    • Organizer
      SCOSTEP Scientific Committee on Solar Terrestrial Physics
    • Place of Presentation
      Berlin(Germany)
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-22
  • [Presentation] Vortex splitting of the major stratospheric sudden warming in January 2009 and its predictability2009

    • Author(s)
      Hirooka. T
    • Organizer
      AGU 2009 Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco(USA)
    • Year and Date
      2009-12-18
  • [Presentation] Relationship among SSW, VI, PJO and AO in an Idealized Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupled model2009

    • Author(s)
      Yoden. S., M. Kohma. and S. Nishizawa
    • Organizer
      EGU 2009 General Assembly and Congress European Geosciences Union
    • Place of Presentation
      Vienna(Austria)
    • Year and Date
      2009-04-20
  • [Book] 「総説宇宙天気」第13章2011

    • Author(s)
      余田成男
    • Total Pages
      659
    • Publisher
      太陽活動変動の地球気候への影響京都大学学術出版会
  • [Book] Stratospheric changes and climate. Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion : 20102011

    • Author(s)
      Forster, P. M., S. Yoden., et al
    • Total Pages
      516
    • Publisher
      World Meteorological Organization

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Published: 2013-07-31   Modified: 2018-02-02  

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