2011 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
Research on extreme weather and the related natural hazards using CMIP3 Global warming data archive
| Project/Area Number |
20310111
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
Natural disaster science
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| Research Institution | Kyoto University |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
TAKEMI Tetsuya 京都大学, 防災研究所, 准教授 (10314361)
NAKAKITA Eiichi 京都大学, 防災研究所, 教授 (70183506)
MARUYAMA Takashi 京都大学, 防災研究所, 准教授 (00190570)
YASUDA Tomohiro 京都大学, 防災研究所, 助教 (60378916)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2008 – 2011
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| Keywords | 気象災害 / 極端現象 / 地球温暖化 / 海象災害 / IPCC |
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| Research Abstract |
It is required to evaluate the magnitude of disasters in addition to the meteorological and climatological evaluation of global warming itself toward IPCC 5. Using data archive of IPCC4 pseudo-warming experiments are conducted with dynamic downscaling approach. In evaluating typhoon induced hazards "possible maximum hazard" is searched by considering a variety of typhoon track. This is applied to the pseudo-warming experiment for existing typhoon and for the dynamic downscaling for a severe typhoon case. For derived severer cases river discharge, storm surge and high-wind disaster are evaluated.
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