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2009 Fiscal Year Annual Research Report

代替投資を含むポートフォリオの金融リスク管理に関する研究

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21241040
Research InstitutionTokyo Metropolitan University

Principal Investigator

木島 正明  Tokyo Metropolitan University, 社会科学研究科・経営学專攻, 教授 (00186222)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 中岡 英隆  首都大学東京, 社会科学研究科・経営学專攻, 教授 (20516025)
山下 英明  首都大学東京, 社会科学研究科・経営学專攻, 教授 (30200687)
渡辺 隆裕  首都大学東京, 社会科学研究科・経営学專攻, 教授 (70220895)
田中 敬一  首都大学東京, 社会科学研究科・経営学專攻, 教授 (00381442)
芝田 隆志  首都大学東京, 社会科学研究科・経営学專攻, 准教授 (70372597)
Keywordsシステム工学 / 確率論 / リスク管理 / 金融工学
Research Abstract

木島は,CDOの市場標準モデルの経済学的意義を明らかにし,リスク回避係数を導入して市場価格と整合的な新モデルを提案した.木島・田中は,信用リスクや流動性リスクを表すイールドスプレッドのオプションの実務的な価格付けを行った.室町は,期待ショートフォールの高精度推定方法を提案し,また,金融危機と証券化商品について解説した.中岡は,不確実性下のキャッシュフローとマネジメント能力を状態変数として企業価値をモデル化し,企業の経営価値創造力やM&Aによる統合効果につき理論的考察と実証的検証を行った.小方は,幅広い金融データ分析に適用できるCHARNモデルに対して,推定関数法・経験尤度法を用いたパラメータ推定方法を提案した.山下は,市場価格の確率的変動を待ち行列を用いて分析するマーケットマイクロストラクチャーモデルの最新の成果をサーベイした.芝田は,株主と経営者間の情報の非対称性を考慮した投資プロジェクト評価法と,複数銀行による戦略的債権回収を考慮した企業の負債価値評価式を提示した.渡辺は,マーケット・マイクロストラクチャ分析に応用可能性が高い優モジュラマルコフゲームについて研究し,均衡点が存在する十分条件を明らかにした.野口は,英住宅金融組合における内部統制の企業行動への影響を考察し,特に中小住宅金融組合では内部統制の確立が融資方針に大きく影響したことを示した.飯星は,日本の代表的マクロ経済変数120系列の主成分を用いると経済予測精度が向上し,金融政策決定にも有益であることを検証した.
なお,2009年8月3日-4日に研究者18名による国際会議を開催し,リスク管理を含む様々な最新の研究成果について議論した(詳細は「13.備考」のホームページを参照〉.この予稿集は2010年6月に洋書として刊行予定である.

  • Research Products

    (43 results)

All 2010 2009 Other

All Journal Article (20 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 15 results) Presentation (18 results) Book (4 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Equilibrium pricing of contingent claims in tradable permit markets2010

    • Author(s)
      Kijima, M., Maeda, A., Nishide, K.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Futures Markets 30

      Pages: 559-589

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Pricing of CDOs based on the multivariate Wang transform2010

    • Author(s)
      Kijima, M., Motomiya, S., Suzuki, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (forthcoming)(未定)

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Economic models for the environmental Kuznets curve : A survey2010

    • Author(s)
      Kijima, M., Nishide, K., Ohyama, A.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (forthcoming)(未定)

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Black-Scholes Formula and Applications in Finance2010

    • Author(s)
      Kijima, M., Muromachi, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Methods and Applications of Statistics in Business, Finance, and Management Science (forthcoming)(未定)

  • [Journal Article] Alternatives to Black-Scholes Formulation in Finance2010

    • Author(s)
      Kijima, M., Tanaka, K.
    • Journal Title

      Methods and Applications of Statistics in Business, Finance, and Management Science (forthcoming)(未定)

  • [Journal Article] Applications of Gram-Charlier expansion and bond moments for pricing of interest rates and credit risk2010

    • Author(s)
      Tanaka, K, Yamada, T, Watanabe, T.
    • Journal Title

      Quantitative Finance (forthcoming)(未定)

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Dynamic investment and capital structure under manager-shareholder conflict2010

    • Author(s)
      Shibats, T., Nishihara, M.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 34

      Pages: 158-178

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Strategic investment with debt financing2010

    • Author(s)
      Nishihara, M., Shibata, T.
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Management Science and Engineering Management 5

      Pages: 3-14

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Reorganization strategies and securities valuation under asymmetric information2010

    • Author(s)
      Shibata, T., Tian, Y.
    • Journal Title

      International Review of Economics and Finance 19

      Pages: 412-426

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Reforming the form of the Auditors' Report : The case of building societies, 1956-19602010

    • Author(s)
      Noguchi, M., Batiz-Lazo, B.
    • Journal Title

      Accounting Business and Financial History 20

      Pages: 41-66

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A latent process model for the pricing of corporate securities2009

    • Author(s)
      Kijima, M., Suzuki, T., Tanaka, K.
    • Journal Title

      Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 69

      Pages: 439-455

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 資金運用を伴う多期間生産計画問題の共進化GAによる解法2009

    • Author(s)
      篠原章宏, 山下英明
    • Journal Title

      日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会和文論文誌 52

      Pages: 82-102

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Stochastic Facility Layout Problem with Search Range Grouping for AGV delivery demand2009

    • Author(s)
      Irohara, T., Yamashita, H.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Industrial Management Association 59

      Pages: 457-463

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Yield Spread Options under the DLG model2009

    • Author(s)
      Kijima, K, Tanaka, K., Wong, T.
    • Journal Title

      Modelling Interest Rates

      Pages: 43-71

  • [Journal Article] Investment timing, asymmetric information, and audit structure : A real options framework2009

    • Author(s)
      Shibata, T.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 33

      Pages: 903-921

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Dynamic model of credit risk in relationship lending : A game-theoretic real options approach2009

    • Author(s)
      Shibata, T., Yamada, T.
    • Journal Title

      Monetary and Economic Studies 27

      Pages: 1-46

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 証券化商品とサブプライムローン問題2009

    • Author(s)
      室町幸雄
    • Journal Title

      オペレーションズ・リサーチ 54

      Pages: 619-624

  • [Journal Article] Application of empirical likelihood method to time series model2009

    • Author(s)
      小方浩明
    • Journal Title

      京都大学数理解析研究所講究録 1621

      Pages: 88-103

  • [Journal Article] Preliminary test estimation for regression models with long-memory disturbance2009

    • Author(s)
      Taniguchi, M., Ogata, H., Shiraishi, H.
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Statistics -Theory and Methods- (S.Zacks festschrift issues) 36

      Pages: 3213-3224

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Cressie-Read power-divergence statistics for non Gaussian vector stationary processes2009

    • Author(s)
      Ogata, H., Taniguchi, M.
    • Journal Title

      Scandinavian Journal of Statistics 36

      Pages: 141-156

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Empirical likelihood estimation for multivariate stable distribution.(招待講演)2010

    • Author(s)
      Ogata, H.
    • Organizer
      Conference on Latest Developments in Heavy-Tailed Distributions
    • Place of Presentation
      Hotel Le Chatelain, (ベルギー)
    • Year and Date
      2010-03-27
  • [Presentation] Equilibrium pricing of contingent claims in tradable permit markets (招待講演)2010

    • Author(s)
      Kijima, M.
    • Organizer
      The Third Bachelier Colloquium
    • Place of Presentation
      Metabief, France
    • Year and Date
      2010-01-25
  • [Presentation] Corporate Governance and Auditing : The Experience of UK Building Societies2009

    • Author(s)
      Batiz-Lazo, B., Noguchi, M.
    • Organizer
      2^<nd> Iranian Accounting Association International Meeting (Tehran)
    • Place of Presentation
      Tehran, Iran
    • Year and Date
      20091208-20091209
  • [Presentation] Investment under uncertainty with manager-shareholder conflict2009

    • Author(s)
      Shibata, T.
    • Organizer
      7th International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics
    • Place of Presentation
      ギリシャ・レティムノ
    • Year and Date
      20090918-20090922
  • [Presentation] Investment timing and capital structure under hard and soft budget constraints2009

    • Author(s)
      Shibata, T.
    • Organizer
      15th International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      オーストラリア・シドニー
    • Year and Date
      20090715-20090717
  • [Presentation] Dynamic investment and capital structure under manager-shareholder conflict2009

    • Author(s)
      Shibata, T.
    • Organizer
      13th Annual International Real Options Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      ポルトガル・ブラガ,スペイン・サンティアゴ
    • Year and Date
      20090617-20090620
  • [Presentation] 企業の価値創造力とERM2009

    • Author(s)
      中岡英隆
    • Organizer
      日本リアルオプション学会
    • Place of Presentation
      信州大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-12-13
  • [Presentation] Empirical likelihood ratio test of the change-point problem for stationary processes.2009

    • Author(s)
      小方浩明
    • Organizer
      シンポジウム「多変量モデル・時系列モデルにおける統計的推測の理論と応用」
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-12-03
  • [Presentation] Estimating function approach for CHARN models.2009

    • Author(s)
      小方浩明
    • Organizer
      シンポジウム数理統計学における最近の展開とその周辺」
    • Place of Presentation
      高崎アーバンホテル
    • Year and Date
      2009-11-14
  • [Presentation] Existence of a pure strategy equilibrium in Markov games with strategic complementarities for finite actions and finite states2009

    • Author(s)
      Watanabe, T.
    • Organizer
      The 1st Annual UECE LISBON MEETINGS - GAME THEORY AND APPLICATIONS
    • Place of Presentation
      リスボン,ポルトガル
    • Year and Date
      2009-11-09
  • [Presentation] 主成分分析によるマクロ経済パネルデータの共通ファクターの抽出とその利用2009

    • Author(s)
      飯星博邦
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      専修大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-10
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Asset Allocation under Stochastic Interest Rate and Market Price of Risk2009

    • Author(s)
      Tanaka, K.
    • Organizer
      7th International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics
    • Place of Presentation
      Crete, Greece
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-21
  • [Presentation] Existence of an equilibrium in Markov games with strategic complementarities and its application2009

    • Author(s)
      渡辺隆裕
    • Organizer
      日本OR学会2009年秋季発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      長崎,日本
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-09
  • [Presentation] On the Environmental Kuznets Curve : A Real Options Approach (招待講演)2009

    • Author(s)
      Kijima, M.
    • Organizer
      15th International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      Sydney, Australia
    • Year and Date
      2009-07-17
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Asset Allocation under Stochastic Interest Rate and Market Price of Risk2009

    • Author(s)
      Tanaka, K.
    • Organizer
      15th International Conference Computing in Economics and Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      Sydney, Australia
    • Year and Date
      2009-07-17
  • [Presentation] Existence of equilibria in Markov games with strategic complementarities for finite actions2009

    • Author(s)
      Watanabe, T.
    • Organizer
      2009 the 5th Spain, Italy, Netherlands Meeting on Game Theory (SING5)
    • Place of Presentation
      アムステルダム,オランダ
    • Year and Date
      2009-07-03
  • [Presentation] Pricing of CDO's Based on the Multivariate Wang Transform2009

    • Author(s)
      Kijima, M.
    • Organizer
      39th ASTIN Colloquium
    • Place of Presentation
      Helsinki, Finland
    • Year and Date
      2009-06-02
  • [Presentation] Decomposing total risk of a portfolio into the contributions of individual assets2009

    • Author(s)
      Muromachi, Y.
    • Organizer
      39th ASTIN Colloquium
    • Place of Presentation
      Helsinki, Finland
    • Year and Date
      2009-06-02
  • [Book] 金融工学ハンドブック(翻訳)2009

    • Author(s)
      木島正明監訳
    • Total Pages
      1028
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
  • [Book] 金融工学ハンドブック(翻訳)(分担:第15章 金融資産の価格変動に対する待ち行列理論を用いた分析)2009

    • Author(s)
      山下英明, 西出勝正訳(木島正明監訳)
    • Total Pages
      1028(分担40)
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
  • [Book] 金融工学ハンドブック(翻訳)(分担:第1章 金融資産価格付けの基礎)2009

    • Author(s)
      芝田隆志, 室町幸雄訳(木島正明監訳)
    • Total Pages
      1028(分担55)
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
  • [Book] 金融工学ハンドブック(翻訳)(分担:第10章 ポートフォリオの信用リスク計測)2009

    • Author(s)
      室町幸雄訳(木島正明監訳)
    • Total Pages
      1028(分担36)
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
  • [Remarks] ワークショップ

    • URL

      http://www.comp.tmu.ac.jp/finance/workshop/2009/index.html

URL: 

Published: 2011-06-16   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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