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2012 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

Real Options Function for Survival of Biotech Start-ups in Commercializing Life Science Findings

Research Project

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Project/Area Number 21330090
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Business administration
Research InstitutionToyohashi University of Technology

Principal Investigator

FUJIWARA Takao  豊橋技術科学大学, 大学院・工学研究科, 教授 (70173490)

Project Period (FY) 2009 – 2012
Keywordsバイオベンチャー / リアルオプション / 生命科学の事業化
Research Abstract

I studied decision-making models on the real options for biotech start-ups to survive in the death-valley(deficit-valley) and on the option-games for them to deal the strategic partnerships with large pharmaceutical companies, in the context of capital market after Lehman Shock in biotech industry, where science linkage is strong and start-ups are suitable for commercializing the life science findings. Especially I made proof of conceptual effectiveness in the timing option with jump-diffusion process at R&D, sequential compound switching option and stochastic optimization of license fee composite at strategic partnerships.

  • Research Products

    (64 results)

All 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Other

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results) Presentation (52 results) Book (3 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Real Options Analysis on Strategic Partnership Dealing of Biotech Start-ups2013

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Journal Title

      Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management

      Volume: 14(1)(in printing)

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1007/s40171-013-0029 -6

  • [Journal Article] 金融危機でのバイオベンチャーの研究開発継続2013

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Journal Title

      日本ベンチャー学会誌

      Volume: Vol.21 Pages: 11-20

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] On Growth Option for R&D Continuity of BiotechStart-up under Uncertainty2012

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Journal Title

      Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management

      Volume: 13(3) Pages: 129-139

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1007/s40171-012-0013-6

  • [Journal Article] Application of Timing Option to Founding Investment Decision of Biotech Start-ups2011

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Business Chemistry

      Volume: 8(3) Pages: 133-146

  • [Journal Article] 生命科学の基礎研究の事業化へのタイミングオプションの応用可能性について、中小企業政策の再検討2010

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Journal Title

      日本中小企業学会論集

      Volume: Vol.29 Pages: 63-76

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] バイオ産業の課題と展望、研究技術計画2009

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Journal Title

      生命化学の事業化、研究・技術計画学会誌

      Volume: 23(4) Pages: 299-306

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 生命科学の事業化へのタイミングオプションの応用2009

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Journal Title

      研究技術計画

      Volume: 23(4) Pages: 351-362

  • [Journal Article] サブテーマ1.技術のイノベーション(全国大会統一論題での討論者としての論評)2009

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Journal Title

      経営学論集:日本企業のイノベーション(日本経営学会編:千倉書房)

      Volume: 79 Pages: 44-45

  • [Presentation] バーチャルバイオベンチャーのオプションゲーム分析2013

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      中小企業学会中部部会
    • Year and Date
      2013-05-25
  • [Presentation] Virtual Biotech Start-up Model under Uncertainty and Competition2013

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of IAMOT 2013
    • Place of Presentation
      Porto Alegre, Brazil
    • Year and Date
      2013-04-14
  • [Presentation] バイオベンチャーの不確実性下の意思決定と競争構造:オプションゲームを基に、研究2012

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第27回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-10-27
  • [Presentation] 食品製造業の需要変動に対するリアル・オプションの応用、研究2012

    • Author(s)
      久米克典、藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第27回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-10-27
  • [Presentation] Business Development of the Irreversible Investment for a New Energy Industry in Myanmer2012

    • Author(s)
      Nyein Nyein Aye & FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      Focusted on Potential of SAMRT HOUSE、研究・技術計画学会第27回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-10-27
  • [Presentation] Using option-games to describe strategy selection of technology investment in the green supply chain、研究2012

    • Author(s)
      Nur Budi Mulyono & FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第27回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-10-27
  • [Presentation] バイオベンチャーの戦略的提携のリアルオプション分析2012

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      日本経営学会第86回大会:報告集
    • Place of Presentation
      日本大学商学部
    • Year and Date
      2012-09-07
  • [Presentation] Real Options Analysis on Strategic Partnership Dealing of Biotech Start-up Proceedings2012

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      of Glogift2012, Jul.30-Aug.1, Univ
    • Place of Presentation
      Vienna, Vienna, Austria
    • Year and Date
      2012-07-30
  • [Presentation] Flexibility & Agility with Competitive Structure: based on Option-Games Analysis on Smart Community Project2012

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      Glogift2012, Jul.30-Aug.1, Univ
    • Place of Presentation
      Vienna, Vienna, Austria
    • Year and Date
      2012-07-30
  • [Presentation] Application of RealOptions Analysis to Dealing Model of Biotech Start-ups2012

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      ICTM2012
    • Place of Presentation
      IISc, Bangalore, India,Oral
    • Year and Date
      2012-07-18
  • [Presentation] Growth Option for R&D Durability of Biotech Start-up under Financial Uncertainty2012

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      SGBED 4th Research Symposium
    • Place of Presentation
      IIMB, Bangalore, India,Oral
    • Year and Date
      2012-07-09
  • [Presentation] On the Growth Option for R&D Continuity of Biotech Start-ups under Uncertainty2012

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      2012 IEEE International Technology Management Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Dallas, TX, USA
    • Year and Date
      2012-06-24
  • [Presentation] A Study on Foreign Investment and Development of Water Business in China: Based on Agency Approach2012

    • Author(s)
      Yanyan Feng &FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of 2012 IEEE International Technology Management Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Dallas, TX, USA
    • Year and Date
      2012-06-24
  • [Presentation] バイオベンチャーの戦略的提携事業モデルのリアルオプション分析2012

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      日本経営学会第262回中部部会
    • Place of Presentation
      中京大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-03-17
  • [Presentation] Flexible Decision of Irreversible Investment under Uncertainty2011

    • Author(s)
      UJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      Glogift2011
    • Place of Presentation
      Kozhikode, India, Plenary Session, Oral
    • Year and Date
      2011-12-11
  • [Presentation] Rare Metal Mining and EnvironmentalIssues: A Real-Options Application Case of China's SMEs2011

    • Author(s)
      Gaowa & FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of AIB Southeast Asia Regional Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Taipei, Taiwan
    • Year and Date
      2011-12-01
  • [Presentation] 不確実性下のバイオベンチャーの研究開発継続について2011

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      日本ベンチャー学会第14回全国大会報告要旨集
    • Year and Date
      2011-11-26
  • [Presentation] ON GROWTH OPTION FOR R&D CONTINUITY OF BIOTECH START-UP2011

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      Proceedings ofGLOGIFT
    • Place of Presentation
      IIMK, Kozhikode, India
    • Year and Date
      2011-09-09
  • [Presentation]2011

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      PICMET 2011
    • Place of Presentation
      Portland,OR,USA
    • Year and Date
      2011-07-31
  • [Presentation] On Biotech Start-ups' R&D Continuity in Financial Crisis:Application of Sequential Compound Chooser Options2011

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      12thICGBED
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore
    • Year and Date
      2011-07-21
  • [Presentation] Seoul National University, GraduateSchool of Engineering2011

    • Author(s)
      Prof.Jeong-Dong Lee's Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Invited Speech
    • Year and Date
      2011-07-16
  • [Presentation] R&D Continuous Possibility of Biotech Start-ups under Global Financial Crisis2011

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      IEEE-ITMC
    • Place of Presentation
      San Jose, CA,USA
    • Year and Date
      2011-06-27
  • [Presentation] Option-Games Analysis on SoftwareClusters in China2011

    • Author(s)
      Yuhua Hu & FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      IEEE-ITMC
    • Place of Presentation
      San Jose, CA, USA
    • Year and Date
      2011-06-27
  • [Presentation] Option-games Approach to the Strategic Alliance of Biotech Start-ups2011

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-08
  • [Presentation] Application of Option-games to Biotech Start-ups2010

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      Seminar at Imperial College of Engineering & Research
    • Place of Presentation
      Pune, India
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-10
  • [Presentation] Application of Option-games to Biotech Start-ups2010

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      Seminar at IITR
    • Place of Presentation
      Roorkee, India
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-06
  • [Presentation] Application of Option-games to Biotech Start-ups2010

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      Seminar at IISc
    • Place of Presentation
      Bangalore,India
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-03
  • [Presentation] Application of Option-games to Biotech Start-ups2010

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      Seminar atNational Institute of Industrial Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Mumbai,India
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-30
  • [Presentation] Application of Option-games to Biotech Start-ups2010

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      Seminar atSeminar IITB
    • Place of Presentation
      Bombay, India
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-30
  • [Presentation] 生命基礎研究のベンチャーによる事業化へのリアルオプション応用について、研究2010

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第25回年次学術大会講演要旨
    • Place of Presentation
      亜細亜大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-09
  • [Presentation] Foreign Investment and Development of Water business in China: Based on Option-Game Approach、研究 business in China: Based on Option-Game Approach、研究2010

    • Author(s)
      Feng Yan Yan & FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第25回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      亜細亜大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-09
  • [Presentation] The Application of Real Options Method in New Energy Vehicle R&D Investment Project: A Case Study of BYD Auto in China、研究2010

    • Author(s)
      Jie Hao & FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第25回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      亜細亜大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-09
  • [Presentation] 中国のレアメタル採掘・開発に伴う環境問題へのリアル・オプション応用:中小企業の観点から、研究2010

    • Author(s)
      高娃、藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第25回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      亜細亜大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-09
  • [Presentation] Application of Timing Option to Founding Investment of biotech Start-ups2010

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      Glogift2010
    • Place of Presentation
      Keio University, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-26
  • [Presentation] Option-Games Analysis on Software Industry2010

    • Author(s)
      Yuhua Hu & FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      Glogift2010
    • Place of Presentation
      Keio University, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-26
  • [Presentation] Intellectual Asset Management in Manufacturing SMEs in China: Potential and challenges in the Mold Industry2010

    • Author(s)
      Ge Gen & FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      Glogift2010
    • Place of Presentation
      Keio University, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-26
  • [Presentation] A Research on Development Strategy on New Energy Vehicle Business in China2010

    • Author(s)
      Jie Hao & FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      Glogift2010
    • Place of Presentation
      Keio University, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-26
  • [Presentation] Option-Games Approach to the Strategic Alliance of Biotech Start-ups2010

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      PICMET
    • Place of Presentation
      Phuket, Thailand
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-18
  • [Presentation] Option-Games Approach for the Strategic Partnership of Biotech Start-ups2010

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      IFSAM
    • Place of Presentation
      Paris, France
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-08
  • [Presentation] Option-Games Analysis on the Strategic Partnership of Biotech Start-ups2010

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      SGBED 3rd Research Symposium
    • Place of Presentation
      EADA, Barcelona, Spain, Oral
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-17
  • [Presentation] コンティンジェンシーアプローチとリアルオプション:バイオベンチャー投資の観点から2010

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      組織学会中部支部
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-03-20
  • [Presentation] Application of the Option-Game to the Strategic Alliance of the Biotech Start-ups2010

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      IAMOT 2010
    • Place of Presentation
      Cairo, Egypt
    • Year and Date
      2010-03-08
  • [Presentation] 不確実性下のバイオベンチャーの研究開発継続について、研究2009

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第24回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      成城大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-24
  • [Presentation] 中国バイオベンチャーの革新のための事業評価モデルの構築について:オプションゲームの視点から、研究2009

    • Author(s)
      丁穎、藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第24回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      成城大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-24
  • [Presentation] 中国製造中小企業の知的資産マネジメント:金型産業での可能性と課題、研究2009

    • Author(s)
      格根、藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第24回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      成城大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-24
  • [Presentation] レアメタル事業開発へのリアル・オプション分析の応用、研究2009

    • Author(s)
      高娃、藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第24回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      成城大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-24
  • [Presentation] A Study on Green Technology in Automotive Industry、研究2009

    • Author(s)
      Jie Hao &FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第24回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      成城大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-24
  • [Presentation] Game Theoretical Analysis on High-tech Clustering in Information Age: Dilemma between open innovation and clustering in software industry in China、研究2009

    • Author(s)
      Yuhua Hu &FUJIWARA,Takao
    • Organizer
      技術計画学会第24回年次学術大会講演要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      成城大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-24
  • [Presentation] 生命科学の基礎研究の事業化へのタイミングオプションの応用可能性について2009

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      日本中小企業学会第29回全国大会報告要旨
    • Place of Presentation
      熊本学園大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-03
  • [Presentation] 生命科学の基礎研究の事業化へのタイミングオプションの応用可能性について2009

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男
    • Organizer
      日本中小企業学会2009年度第1回中部部会
    • Place of Presentation
      中京大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-06-20
  • [Presentation] Application of Timing Option to Founding Biotech Start-ups in Japan2009

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      IAMOT 2009
    • Place of Presentation
      FL,USA
    • Year and Date
      2009-05-09
  • [Presentation] Optimal Timing of Irreversible Investment on Risky Start-up based on Life Science2009

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao
    • Organizer
      the 11th ICGBED
    • Place of Presentation
      Bratislava, Slovak
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-27
  • [Book] 朝倉書店2013

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男 他、
    • Total Pages
      213
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店、都市・地域・環境概論
  • [Book] 中小企業のマネジメント2011

    • Author(s)
      藤原孝男 他、
    • Total Pages
      277
    • Publisher
      中央経済社
  • [Book] Business Clusters2010

    • Author(s)
      FUJIWARA, Takao, et al.,
    • Total Pages
      392
    • Publisher
      Routledge India
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.tut.ac.jp/teach/main.php?mode=detail&article=411

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Published: 2014-08-29  

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