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2012 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

Dynamic Prediction of Traffic Situations and Travel Time on Winter Road Surface

Research Project

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Project/Area Number 22560524
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
Research InstitutionHokkaido University

Principal Investigator

NAKATSUJI Takashi  北海道大学, 大学院・工学研究院, 教授 (60123949)

Project Period (FY) 2010 – 2012
Keywords旅行時間予測 / フィードバック / 冬期路面 / 交通シミュレーション / API
Research Abstract

In order to clarify the characteristics of traffic flow on winter road surfaces,1)some features of reaction time, potential collision, and shockwave were compared with those on summer roads using the car-following data on actual roads. 2) An inverse method of estimating traffic situation and traffic demand on real time was developed by integrating the API module into unscented Kalman filtering. 3) A dynamic travel time prediction model that implemented the above achievements based on feedback concept was developped and justified with the precision.

  • Research Products

    (17 results)

All 2013 2012 2011 2010

All Journal Article (13 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 10 results) Presentation (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Development of Various Artificial Neural Network Car-Following Models with Converted Data Sets by A Self-Organization Neural Network2013

    • Author(s)
      M. Tanaka and T. Nakatsuji
    • Journal Title

      Proc.Transportation Research Board 92th Annual Meeting

      Volume: Vol.92

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 交通流シミュレータのAPI機能を用いたモデルパラメータの同定と動的OD推定2012

    • Author(s)
      近藤健祐、中辻隆
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3特集号

      Volume: Vol.68,No.5

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Neural Network Kalman Smoother for Filling up Missing Probe Vehicle Data2012

    • Author(s)
      K. C. Choy and T. Nakatsuji
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: Vol.45

  • [Journal Article] 交通シミュレーターを用いた商用車プローブカーデータによる旅行時間の予測性について2012

    • Author(s)
      吉田雄介、中辻隆
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: Vol.46

  • [Journal Article] Shock Waves and Speed Peak Propagation in Stop-and-Go Car-Following Conditions Within Short Distance, Proc2011

    • Author(s)
      Tanaka M. and Nakatsuji T
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Board 90th Annual Meeting

      Volume: Vol.90

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Dynamic Travel Time Estimation using On-line Microsimulationon Expressway for Advance Traveler Information System2011

    • Author(s)
      Rotwannasin P., Wajanasathienkul W.Narupiti S. and Nakatsuji, T
    • Journal Title

      Journal of 9th East Asia Society for Transportation Study Conference

      Volume: Vol.9

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Impact of Road Surface Conditions on Human Driving Behavior2011

    • Author(s)
      P. Ranjitkar and T. Nakatsuji
    • Journal Title

      Journal of 9th East Asia Society for Transportation Study Conference

      Volume: Vol.9

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Assignment-Matrix-Free Dynamic Estimation of Origin-Destination Matrices2011

    • Author(s)
      Pueboobpaphan R., and Nakatsuji T
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集

      Volume: Vol.67,No.3 Pages: 327-338

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Comprehensive Approach for Data Scarcity Problem in Real-Time OD Matrix Estimation2011

    • Author(s)
      A. Anburuvel and T. Nakatsuji
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3特集号

      Volume: Vol.67,No.5

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Dynamic Travel Time Estimation using On-lineMicrosimulation Model Integrated Short- Term Prediction for ATIS2011

    • Author(s)
      Rotwannasin P., Narupiti S. and Nakatsuji T
    • Journal Title

      Proc. 11th Asia-Pacific ITS Forum and Exhibition

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Comparison of Driving Behavior and Safety in Car-Following Platoons Under Icy and Dry Surface Conditions2010

    • Author(s)
      T. Mitsuru, R. Prakash, Nakatsuji T
    • Journal Title

      Proc.Transportation Research Board 89t Annual Meeting

      Volume: Vol.89

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Trajectory-Based Analysis of Drivers'Response in Car-Following Situations2010

    • Author(s)
      R. Prakash, T. Mitsuru, Nakatsuji T
    • Journal Title

      Proc. Transportation Research Board 89th Annual Meeting

      Volume: Vol.89

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] モデルパラメータのオンライン推計のための交通流シミュレーターAPIとパーティクルフィルタの統合環境について2010

    • Author(s)
      藤井涼、中辻隆
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: Vol.42

  • [Presentation] Development of Various Artificial Neural Network Car-Following Models with Converted Data Sets by A Self-Organization Neural Network2013

    • Author(s)
      M. Tanaka and T.Nakatsuji
    • Organizer
      92nd Annual Meeting of Transportation Research Board
    • Place of Presentation
      Hilton Hotel, Washington D.C., USA
    • Year and Date
      2013-01-16
  • [Presentation] 交通流シミュレーターのAPI機能を用いたモデルパラメータの較正と動的OD推定に関する研究2011

    • Author(s)
      近藤健祐, A. ANBURUVEL,中辻隆
    • Organizer
      第44回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      岐阜大学、岐阜
    • Year and Date
      2011-11-27
  • [Presentation] Particle Filterを用いたMicro simulationの動的パラメータ推定の実ネットワークへの適応2011

    • Author(s)
      藤井涼、大園渉、奥野潤、中辻隆
    • Organizer
      第44回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      岐阜大学、岐阜
    • Year and Date
      2011-11-27
  • [Presentation] Evaluation of Real Time Route Guidance Information to Cargo Trucks Based on Travel Time Estimated by Taxi Probe Data2010

    • Author(s)
      T. Nakatsuji
    • Organizer
      The 3rd ASEAN Civil Engineering Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Shangri-la Hotel, Manila, Philippine
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-11

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Published: 2014-08-29  

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