China's GDP statistics - Comparison with Japan -

2016 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

• Project/Area Number: 23530247
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• Allocation Type: Multi-year Fund
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Economic statistics
• Research Institution: Saitama University
• Principal Investigator: LI Jie 埼玉大学, 人文社会科学研究科(経済系), 教授 (10302506)
• Project Period (FY): 2011-04-28 – 2017-03-31
• Keywords: 国民経済計算 / SNA / 中国GDP / 経済成長率 / 名目GDP / 実質GDP / 帰属計算 / シングルデフレーション

Outline of Final Research Achievements

China’s rapid economic growth has been accompanied by a high level of interest in its GDP and rate of economic growth. This research first surveys the arguments concerning China’s GDP statistics and the retroactive GDP revisions by the National Bureau of Statistics spanning from the 1990s until the present day, and subsequently examines the estimation methods for China’s nominal and real GDP in comparison with Japan. It also discusses imputed rents in detail, which is an important cause of underestimation of China’s GDP and, in particular, the GDP of its tertiary industry, while drawing comparisons with Japan. Finally, the book examines the problem of bias in the single deflation approach, which is mainly used for estimating China’s real GDP. These analyses will be especially useful to economists and professionals in the field, in addition to those interested in the Chinese economy and its GDP statistics.

Free Research Field

国民経済計算論