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2017 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

Applied analysis of ambiguity-augumented mean-variance preferences and its dynamic extension

Research Project

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Project/Area Number 26380235
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic theory
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

Katsutoshi Wakai  京都大学, 経済学研究科, 教授 (80455708)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Keywords理論経済学 / 意思決定論 / 資産価格理論 / 行動ファイナンス
Outline of Final Research Achievements

I have conducted applied research on "ambiguity aversion", that is, a tendency that a decision maker dislikes a situation where a probability of state realization is unknown. In particular, I focus on the robust mean-variance preferences introduced by Maccheroni et al.(2013), which extends the standard mean-variance preferences by including the term that captures the aversion to ambiguity. Assuming the robust mean-variance preferences, I have confirmed that the CAPM type of result holds among equilibrium asset prices, that is, the expected return excess of the risk-free rate is equal to the beta times the expected excess return of the market portfolio. Moreover, by converting this relation into a different formation, I have shown that it is possible to recognize empirically a factor that captures an effect of ambiguity aversion. Furthermore, I have proven theoretically that an expected return of this identified factor must be lower than that of the market portfolio.

Free Research Field

ミクロ経済学

URL: 

Published: 2019-03-29  

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