1988 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary
Causes of the Current Deficit in the Public Bus Enterprise
| Project/Area Number |
61550389
|
|---|
| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)
|
| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
|---|
| Research Field |
交通工学・国土計画
|
|---|
| Research Institution | Gifu National College of Technology |
|---|
Principal Investigator |
WATANABE Chikae Gifu National College of Technology; Assistant professor, 土木工学科, 助教授 (90029330)
|
|---|
| Project Period (FY) |
1986 – 1988
|
| Keywords | Bus / Deficit / Passenger decrease / Fare / 値上げ / 需要予測 |
|---|
| Research Abstract |
The following matters became clear on the bus passengers decrease by the study for three years.
1) The decrease consists of the passing one and the con-tinuous one. It is necessary for analisis to treat them se-parately, because they have their own mechanism.
2) The continuous decrease, which is called a "leaved bus" phenomenon in JAPAN, has begun in the "overtaking year" when the bus fare level got higher than the consumer price level.
3) In the present stage of the "leaved bus" process, there are the differences among the enterprises. These differences are due to the shift of "overtaking years".
4) If taking no notice of this, we can not find out the correlation between the ratio of fare rise (X) and the ratio of passengers decrease (Y).
5) If setting the each overaking year as the each start-ing point, we can gain the following correlation equation, that is, y=1-exp[-0.47X]. The fare rise has effect on the passengers through this equation.
|
