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1988 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary

Simulation of the Japanese Beef Economy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 62560218
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Agro-economics
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

MORISHIMA Masaru  The University of Tokyo, Professor, 農学部農業経済学科, 教授 (50113634)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) CHINO Jinjiro  The university of Utsunomiya, Associate Professor, 農学部農業経済学部, 助教授 (40163729)
FUJITA Natsuki  The University of Tokyo, Associate Professor, 農学部農業経済学部, 助教授 (30190044)
Project Period (FY) 1987 – 1988
KeywordsBeef Economy / Import Liberalization / Simulation / Beef Cycle / 子牛市場
Research Abstract

Analytical frameworks have been examined. in addition, basic data have been collected. Based on these data and the analytical frameworks, following results have been derived.
1. Economic Analysis on Calf Market's Cycle
(1) This market is characterized by 7 years period cyclical phenomena.
(2) The cycle can be forcasted to be around the bottom in 1991, when the Japanese beef market is scheduled to remove its import quota.
(3) Thus, price stabilization policies are examined.
2. Input-Output Analysis on Beef Maket Liberalization.
(1) 250,000 of people might lose their job opportunity, in addition, 600,000,000,000 yen of value added.
(2) Agriculture, forestry and fisheries might be seriously damaged, However, 28% of unemployment and 70% of value added loss will be concentrated in other sectors.
(3) Thus enployment stalalization policies are examined.

  • Research Products

    (6 results)

All Other

All Publications (6 results)

  • [Publications] 森島賢: 日本経済新聞1988年7月6日号. 23-23 (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 藤田夏樹: 農業共同組合. 34-2. 52-59 (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 森島賢、藤田夏樹、茅野甚治郎 他: "現代牛肉経済の諸問題" 明文書房, 230 (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] MORISHIMA,Masaru: "Beef and Orange After the Import Liberalization" The Nihon Keizai Shimbun. 1988.7.6. 23-23 (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] FUJITA,Natsuki: "Structural Changes in Agricultural Production and So-called Economic Globalization" The Nogyo Kyodo Kumiai. 34-2. 52-59 (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] MORISHITA, Masaru; FUJITA,Natsuki; CHINO,Jinjiro etc.: Recent Issues of the Japanese Beef Economy. 1-14 32-51 102-128 81-101 (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より

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Published: 1990-03-20  

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