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Theory and Empirical Analyses of Autocratic Elections

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15H06682
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Politics
Research InstitutionTohoku University (2016)
Waseda University (2015)

Principal Investigator

Higashijima Masaaki  東北大学, 情報科学研究科, 准教授 (10756349)

Project Period (FY) 2015-08-28 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords権威主義体制 / 選挙 / 選挙制度 / 経済政策 / 民主化 / 多国間統計分析 / 中央アジア / 開発途上諸国 / 統計分析 / 選挙不正 / 政治制度 / 政治経済学 / 比較政治学 / 分配政治 / 政治紛争
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This project explored the causes and consequences of autocratic elections. In so doing, I offered a theory of autocratic elections and tested the theory on a battery of cross-national analyses and comparative case studies of the Central Asian Republics. Autocrats are able to manipulate election results in favor of themselves via electoral malpractice and electoral system change. Those measures facilitate overwhelming election victories but they also undermine various informational benefits that elections may bring. Under the constraint of this "electoral dilemma," autocrats design elections. Designed elections then have important implications on economic policy and post-electoral conflicts in the form of political business cycles, popular protests and leadership turnover. Part of the project has been published as book chapters or journal articles and also presented in multiple conferences and invited workshops.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (29 results)

All 2017 2016 2015

All Journal Article (11 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results,  Peer Reviewed: 7 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 7 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (17 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 10 results,  Invited: 9 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 選挙権威主義からの民主化:議院内閣制の脅威?2017

    • Author(s)
      粕谷祐子・東島雅昌
    • Journal Title

      比較政治学会年報

      Volume: 18 Pages: 1-30

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Oil and Civil Conflict: Can Public Spending Have a Mitigation Effect?2016

    • Author(s)
      Bodea, Cristina, Masaaki Higashijima, and Raju Jan Singh
    • Journal Title

      World Development

      Volume: 78 Pages: 1-12

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 中央アジア諸国における選挙制度の『改革』: 選挙権威主義体制下の選挙制度設計とその帰結2016

    • Author(s)
      東島雅昌
    • Journal Title

      『選挙研究』

      Volume: 31-2 Pages: 62-76

    • NAID

      130006647144

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The Peril of Parliamentarism? Executive-Legislative Relations and Democratic Transitions from Electoral Authoritarianism2016

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki and Yuko Kasuya
    • Journal Title

      European University Institute Working Paper Series

      Volume: 2016-1 Pages: 1-41

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Guns, Books, or Doctors? Conflict and Public Spending in Haiti: Lessons from Cross-Country Evidence2016

    • Author(s)
      Singh, Raju Jan, Cristina Bodea, and Masaaki Higashijima
    • Journal Title

      World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series

      Volume: WPS7681 Pages: 1-29

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] The Choice of Electoral Systems in Dictatorships2016

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki and Eric C. C. Chang
    • Journal Title

      WIAS Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 2016-1 Pages: 1-39

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Political Business Cycles in Dictatorships2016

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Journal Title

      WIAS Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 2016-2 Pages: 1-39

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] “Oil and Civil Conflict: Can Public Spending Have a Mitigation Effect?”2016

    • Author(s)
      Bodea, Cristina, Masaaki Higashijima, and Raju Jan Singh
    • Journal Title

      World Development

      Volume: 78 Pages: 1-12

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.09.004

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 「中央アジア諸国における選挙制度の『改革』: 選挙権威主義体制下の選挙制度設計とその帰結」2016

    • Author(s)
      東島雅昌
    • Journal Title

      『選挙研究』

      Volume: 31-2 Pages: 62-76

    • NAID

      130006647144

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] “Elections, Ethnic Parties, and Ethnic Identification in New Democracies: Evidence from the Baltic States.”2015

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki and Ryo Nakai
    • Journal Title

      Studies in Comparative International Development

      Volume: Online first Issue: 2 Pages: 1-23

    • DOI

      10.1007/s12116-015-9187-1

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] “Central Bank Independence and Fiscal Policy: Can the Central Bank Restrain Deficit Balance?”2015

    • Author(s)
      Bodea,Cristina and Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Journal Title

      British Journal of Political Science

      Volume: Online first Issue: 1 Pages: 47-70

    • DOI

      10.1017/s0007123415000058

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Ethnic Inequality and Ethnic Identification in Sub-Saharan Africa2017

    • Author(s)
      東島雅昌
    • Organizer
      JCPS
    • Place of Presentation
      高知県立大学 (高知市)
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-29
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Monetary Constraints, Spending and Autocratic Survival in Party-based Regimes2017

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Organizer
      University of Muenster
    • Place of Presentation
      ミュンスター・ドイツ
    • Year and Date
      2017-02-22
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Monetary Constraints, Spending and Autocratic Survival in Party-based Regimes2017

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Organizer
      Universit of Mannheim
    • Place of Presentation
      マンハイム・ドイツ
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] The Choice of Electoral Systems in Dictatorships2017

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Organizer
      Waseda University
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学 (東京)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Monetary Constraints, Spending and Autocratic Survival in Party-based Regimes2017

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Organizer
      Waseda University
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学 (東京)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Malapportionment and the Value of a Vote: A Cross-National Analysis2016

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Organizer
      Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      上海・中国
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-03
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 一票の格差が選挙不正および選挙暴力に与える影響2016

    • Author(s)
      東島雅昌
    • Organizer
      日本政治学会
    • Place of Presentation
      立命館大学いばらぎキャンパス (大阪)
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-01
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Monetary Constraints, Spending and Autocratic Survival in Party-based Regimes2016

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Organizer
      American Political Science Association
    • Place of Presentation
      フィラデルフィア・アメリカ
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-31
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 東南アジアにおける競争的権威主義-議院内閣制の脅威?-2016

    • Author(s)
      粕谷祐子・東島雅昌
    • Organizer
      日本比較政治学会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都産業大学(京都市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-25
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Political Business Cycles in Dictatorships2016

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Organizer
      The Max Weber Program June Conference, European University Institute
    • Place of Presentation
      フィレンツェ・イタリア
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-07
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] The Choice of Electoral Systems in Dictatorships2016

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki and Eric Chang
    • Organizer
      Southern Political Science Association
    • Place of Presentation
      The Condad Hilton Plaza, プエルトリコ, アメリカ
    • Year and Date
      2016-01-04
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Monetary Constraints, Spending and the Survival of Autocrats in Dominant Party Regimes2016

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Organizer
      The Virtual Workshop on Authoritarian Regimes
    • Place of Presentation
      オンラインワークショップ
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] The Choice of Electoral Systems in Dictatorships2016

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Organizer
      Political Science Colloquium Series, Graduate Institute of Geneva
    • Place of Presentation
      ジュネーブ・スイス
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Monetary Constraints, Spending and Autocratic Survival in Party-based Regimes2016

    • Author(s)
      東島雅昌
    • Organizer
      神戸大学
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸大学(神戸市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Beat Me If You Can: Electoral Dilemma and the Manipulation of Elections under Dictatorship2015

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Organizer
      Electoral Risk Management Conference (hosted by International IDEA)
    • Place of Presentation
      Radison Blue Hotel, アジスアベバ, エチオピア
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-30
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 権威主義体制の選挙と体制の存続: 国際比較の統計分析と中央アジアの事例研究2015

    • Author(s)
      東島雅昌
    • Organizer
      日本政治学会
    • Place of Presentation
      千葉大学、千葉、日本
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-10
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Choice of Electoral Systems in Dictatorships2015

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki and Eric Chang
    • Organizer
      American Political Science Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Hotel Nikko, サンフランシスコ、アメリカ
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-01
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] "Do Contentious Elections Overthrow Leaders?" in Contentious Elections: From Ballots to Barricades edited by Pippa Norris et al.2015

    • Author(s)
      Higashijima, Masaaki
    • Publisher
      Routledge
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2015-08-26   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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