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Classification and supporting investigation of shooting incidents in Japan based on their dimensional structure

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K04173
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Clinical psychology
Research InstitutionFukuoka University

Principal Investigator

Wataru Oue  福岡大学, 人文学部, 教授 (50551339)

Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Keywords銃撃 / 銃器 / 犯罪者プロファイリング / 捜査 / 犯罪心理学 / 暴力団 / 類型化 / 多変量解析 / 銃 / 銃撃事件 / 発砲事件 / 銃器犯罪 / 射殺 / 発砲 / 行動パターン / 犯行パターン / 犯罪 / コレスポンデンス分析
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study aimed to provide basic information about shooting incidents in Japan. The dimensional structures of shooting incidents were extracted, and the shooting incidents were classified into typical types depending on the dimensional structures. The data used in this study were collected from 1349 samples of solved shooting incidents that occurred in Japan between 1989 and 2016. Multiple correspondence analysis identified two dimensions among ten behavioral variables: "whether or not relation with organized crime group "and "which of target for shooting is person or something else." The object scores obtained by multiple correspondence analysis were analyzed using a hierarchical cluster analysis. The results of cluster analysis indicated that shooting incidents could be classified into four types. The findings of this study will be useful for systematizing shooting incidents and will contribute to crime using firearms and criminal investigations.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

銃撃事件は,例えば,朝日新聞阪神支局襲撃事件(1987年)や八王子スーパーナンペイ強盗殺人事件(1995年)などのように,凶悪さが際立ち,難しい捜査が強いられるにもかかわらず,日本では犯罪心理学的研究はほとんど行われてこなかった。本研究では,犯人の行動情報などに基づき,多重対応分析や階層的クラスター分析などを行い,銃撃事件の次元的構造を明らかにするとともに,典型的な4タイプに分類して,その実態を明らかにした。本研究の結果は,学術面では罪種研究への貢献,また応用・実務面では,銃器犯罪の予防や捜査を行う上で必要となるエビデンスに基づいた着眼点となる。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report

Research Products

(5 results)

All 2018 2017

All Journal Article (1 results) Presentation (4 results) (of which Invited: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] 一般人対象銃撃事件の犯行特徴や犯人特徴に基づいた類型化2017

    • Author(s)
      大上 渉
    • Journal Title

      犯罪心理学研究

      Volume: 55 Pages: 164-165

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 平成29年度法務省式ケースアセスメントツール(MJCA)に係る研修会2018

    • Author(s)
      大上 渉
    • Organizer
      福岡少年鑑別所
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 一般人対象銃撃事件の犯行特徴や犯人特徴に基づいた類型化2017

    • Author(s)
      大上 渉
    • Organizer
      日本犯罪心理学会第55回大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 境界的な組織犯罪に関する基礎的研究2017

    • Author(s)
      大上 渉
    • Organizer
      日本心理学会第81回大会公募シンポジウム「テロリズムに対して心理学は何ができるのか(2)」
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 犯罪捜査における認知心理学の役割2017

    • Author(s)
      大上 渉
    • Organizer
      日本認知心理学会公開シンポジウム「豊かに、良く生きるための認知心理学」
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Invited

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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