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Causal analysis of the impact of the bombing to Japan on social capital and political participation using multi-level data

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K16977
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Politics
Research InstitutionFukuoka University (2016-2018)
National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (2015)

Principal Investigator

Harada Masataka  福岡大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (30738810)

Research Collaborator Ito Gaku  
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords因果推論 / 地理情報システム / 政治的暴力 / リモートセンシング / 社会関係資本 / 感度分析 / データベース
Outline of Final Research Achievements

What kind of legacies does the large-scale war violence leave to the contemporary societies? Despite its academic importance, not many studies have examined the causal impacts of the community-level war destructions. One of the reasons is that a war does not leave random damages. To overcome this challenge, we utilized the naturally occurring variations of war damages from the Bombing of Tokyo in 1945. Due to the indiscriminate nature of the Bombing of Tokyo and many natural factors such as geography and weather, it generated as-if random variations if we observed the damage at micro-level. We developed the neighborhood-level geographic data from the aerial photography after WWII using remote-sensing technique, which is the most disaggregated dataset ever produced. The results indicates that the heavily bombed areas show lower level of contemporary socioeconomic indicators such as higher crime rates, higher unemployment rates, lower average educational attainments.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究では最先端の画像処理技術や因果推論の手法、インターネットサーベイを駆使し、社会のつながりが空襲により破壊されたことによって、どのような長期的影響があるのかを、可能な限り科学的信頼性の高い方法で検証していることが学術的意義である。科学的信頼性の高い研究であるが故に、結果に基づいて政策提言をすることもできる。それが社会的意義である。例えば、災害被災地において、どのレベルの被害の場合、影響がどのような項目に渡りどの程度の期間続くのかの一つの指標となるだろう。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2019 2018 2016 Other

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Open Access: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (8 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Invited: 2 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Measuring Destruction from Above The Long-Term Impact of the WWII Air Raid in Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Masataka Harada and Gaku Ito
    • Journal Title

      CAES Working Paper, Fukuoka University

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 観測不能な交絡因子に対する感度分析について2018

    • Author(s)
      原田勝孝
    • Journal Title

      公共選択

      Volume: 70 Pages: 24-44

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Flexible, interpretable framework for assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding2016

    • Author(s)
      Vincent Dorie, Masataka Harada, Nicole Bohme Carnegie, and Jennifer Hill
    • Journal Title

      Statistics in Medicine

      Volume: 未定

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] On the Community- and Individual-Level Legacies of Indiscriminate Violence: Evidence from the Bombing of Tokyo in the World War II2019

    • Author(s)
      Masataka Harada
    • Organizer
      2019 Asian Polmeth Meeting
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] On the Community- and Individual-Level Legacies of Indiscriminate Violence: Evidence from the Bombing of Tokyo in the World War II2019

    • Author(s)
      Masataka Harada
    • Organizer
      Joint Conference between GSPA, SNU and PSIC
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Measuring Destruction from Above: Long-Term Effects of the WWII Air Raid Damages on Contemporary Sociopolitical Activities in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Masataka Harada and Gaku Ito
    • Organizer
      東京大学ミクロ経済学ワークショップ
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Measuring Destruction from Above: Long-Term Effects of the WWII Air Raid Damages on Contemporary Sociopolitical Activities in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Masataka Harada
    • Organizer
      福岡大学先端経済研究センターセミナー
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Measuring Destruction from Above: Long-Term Effects of the WWII Air Raid Damages on Contemporary Sociopolitical Activities in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Gaku Ito
    • Organizer
      Annual conference of American Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 社会科学研究におけるGIS活用事例2018

    • Author(s)
      原田 勝孝
    • Organizer
      ESRIジャパンGISコミュニティフォーラム
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Measuring Destruction from Above: Long-Term Effects of the WWII Air Raid Damages on Contemporary Sociopolitical Activities in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Masataka Harada
    • Organizer
      2018アジア選挙研究
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Measuring Destruction from Above Long-Term Effects of the WWII Air Raid Damages on Contemporary Sociopolitical Activities in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Masataka Harada, Gaku Ito
    • Organizer
      第55回比較法政シンポジウム 国際研究ワークショップ「計量・数理政治学のフロンティア」
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 個人ホームページ

    • URL

      http://masatakaharada.com/

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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