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Estimation of Treatment Effects in the Presence of Interference

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K17039
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionWaseda University (2015, 2018-2019)
Tokyo University of Science (2016-2017)

Principal Investigator

Hoshino Tadao  早稲田大学, 政治経済学術院, 准教授 (80726430)

Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords社会的相互作用 / トリートメント効果 / 戦略的相互依存 / 空間的自己相関 / セミパラメトリックモデル / 回帰分析 / 空間的内生性 / 統計学 / 計量経済学 / 因果推論
Outline of Final Research Achievements

There are many situations in which one's choice of treatment status is interdependent with the treatment choices of others. For example, focusing on smoking behavior as a treatment of interest, it would be natural that the decision to smoke or not is dependent on her partner's smoking habit. In such cases, it is known that it is difficult to identify the causal impact of smoking on one's outcome variable (e.g., health status) using conventional treatment evaluation methods. In this study, we developed a method for estimating the treatment effects from one's own treatment and that from the others separately.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

これまでトリートメント効果の推定に関する研究の多くは,医療や生物学などにおける応用を期待されて発展してきた.そのため,経済学などの社会科学においては人々や企業の相互関係が非常に重要であるが,そういった要素は従来のトリートメント効果の研究で捨象されがちであった.本研究ではこの問題について新たな分析手法を開発し,一定の解答を示した.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2019 2017 2016 2015

All Journal Article (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 5 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 3 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results)

  • [Journal Article] SEMIPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF CENSORED SPATIAL AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS2019

    • Author(s)
      Hoshino Tadao
    • Journal Title

      Econometric Theory

      Volume: - Issue: 1 Pages: 1-38

    • DOI

      10.1017/s0266466618000488

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Two-Step Estimation of Incomplete Information Social Interaction Models with Sample Selection2017

    • Author(s)
      Tadao Hoshino
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Business & Economic Statistics

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 4 Pages: 598-612

    • DOI

      10.1080/07350015.2017.1394861

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Semiparametric Spatial Autoregressive Models with Endogenous Regressors: With an Application to Crime Data2016

    • Author(s)
      Tadao Hoshino
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Business and Economic Statistics

      Volume: - Issue: 1 Pages: 160-172

    • DOI

      10.1080/07350015.2016.1146145

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report 2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Sieve Instrumental Variable Quantile Regression Estimation of Functional Coefficient Models2016

    • Author(s)
      Liangjun Su, Tadao Hoshino
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Econometrics

      Volume: 191 Issue: 1 Pages: 231-254

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.10.006

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] The effect of seismic hazard risk information on property prices: Evidence from a spatial regression discontinuity design2015

    • Author(s)
      Noboru Hidanoa, Tadao Hoshino, Ayako Sugiura
    • Journal Title

      Regional Science and Urban Economics

      Volume: 53 Pages: 113-122

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2015.05.005

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Sieve IV Estimation of Cross-Sectional Interaction Models with Nonparametric Endogenous Effect.2019

    • Author(s)
      Tadao Hoshino
    • Organizer
      World Conference of the Spatial Econometrics Association
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Treatment Effect Models with Strategic Interaction in Treatment Decisions2019

    • Author(s)
      Tadao Hoshino
    • Organizer
      International Association for Applied Econometrics
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Treatment Effect Models with Strategic Interaction in Treatment Decisions2019

    • Author(s)
      Tadao Hoshino
    • Organizer
      International Symposium on Econometric Theory and Applications
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Treatment Effect Models with Strategic Interaction in Treatment Decisions2019

    • Author(s)
      Tadao Hoshino
    • Organizer
      関西計量経済学研究会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Simultaneous Binary Choice Models with Social Interactions: An Empirical Application to Youth Delinquency2017

    • Author(s)
      Tadao Hoshino
    • Organizer
      Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Semiparametric Estimation of Censored Spatial Autoregressive Models2016

    • Author(s)
      Tadao Hoshino
    • Organizer
      European Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Switzerland
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-22
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Semiparametric Spatial Autoregressive Models with Endogenous Regressors: With an Application to Crime Data2015

    • Author(s)
      Tadao Hoshino
    • Organizer
      International Association for Applied Econometrics
    • Place of Presentation
      ギリシャ
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-25
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2022-11-04  

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