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Elucidating the mechanisms of health impacts due to PM2.5 within the Asian value chain

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16H01797
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Design and evaluation of sustainable and environmental conscious system
Research InstitutionNational Institute for Environmental Studies

Principal Investigator

Nansai Keisuke  国立研究開発法人国立環境研究所, 資源循環・廃棄物研究センター, 室長 (80391134)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 加河 茂美  九州大学, 経済学研究院, 教授 (20353534)
金本 圭一朗  総合地球環境学研究所, 研究部, 准教授 (20736350)
茶谷 聡  国立研究開発法人国立環境研究所, 地域環境研究センター, 主任研究員 (40394837)
近藤 康之  早稲田大学, 政治経済学術院, 教授 (80313584)
東野 達  京都大学, エネルギー科学研究科, 名誉教授 (80135607)
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2021-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2020)
Budget Amount *help
¥40,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥30,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥9,240,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥5,720,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,320,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥5,980,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,380,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥8,580,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,980,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥8,970,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,070,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥10,790,000 (Direct Cost: ¥8,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,490,000)
Keywords消費基準勘定 / サプライチェーン / 早期死亡者 / 大気汚染 / 多地域間産業連関分析 / 健康被害 / シナリオ分析 / 経済損失 / 貿易の不公正 / 相対リスク / 消費基準 / 産業連関分析 / 健康影響 / 曝露評価 / 環境政策 / 大気汚染防止・浄化 / 土木環境システム / 構造経路分析 / 排出インベントリ / 感度解析 / 炭素粒子
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The study reveals that the consumption of the world's top five largest GDP (USA, China, Japan, Germany and the UK) has caused about 1 million premature deaths in Asia in 2010 due to PM2.5 emissions in one year, triggering production activities in Asia, the region with the highest concentration of premature deaths in the world. Their PM2.5 emissions caused about 1 million premature deaths in one year. Looking at early deaths by age group, it was found that although deaths among the elderly (over 80 years old) were high, deaths among infants from diseases caused by lower respiratory tract infections could not be ignored. This is particularly the case in China and India, where consumption in five countries costs 15000 infants under the age of five per year. The economic cost of the nearly one million early deaths was estimated at US$45 billion.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

アジアにおけるPM2.5の暴露を原因とする早期死亡者数を貿易商品の生産国の責任ではなく消費国の責任と考える場合の計算方法とモデル群を開発し,世界の5大消費国を対象に実証分析を行った。これにより,PM2.5による人健康影響を消費国の責任と見ることで,生産国単独では技術的な課題やコスト面で解決できない場合でも,消費国との協働対策を促進するための科学的根拠を提示することが可能となった。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2020 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • 2018 Annual Research Report
  • 2017 Annual Research Report
  • 2016 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (31 results)

All 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results,  Peer Reviewed: 8 results,  Open Access: 5 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 3 results) Presentation (21 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 8 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Sydney(オーストラリア)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Critical Supply Chains for Mitigating PM2.5 Emission-related Mortalities in India,2021

    • Author(s)
      Mitoma, H., Nagashima, F., Kagawa, S. and Nansai, K.
    • Journal Title

      Scientific Reports,

      Volume: forthcoming

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Affluent countries inflict inequitable mortality and economic loss on Asia via PM2.5 emissions2020

    • Author(s)
      Nansai Keisuke、Tohno Susumu、Chatani Satoru、Kanemoto Keiichiro、Kurogi Midori、Fujii Yuta、Kagawa Shigemi、Kondo Yasushi、Nagashima Fumiya、Takayanagi Wataru、Lenzen Manfred
    • Journal Title

      Environment International

      Volume: 134 Pages: 105238-105238

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.envint.2019.105238

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Sources of China’s Fossil Energy-Use Change2019

    • Author(s)
      Han Yawen、Kagawa Shigemi、Nagashima Fumiya、Nansai Keisuke
    • Journal Title

      Energies

      Volume: 12 Issue: 4 Pages: 699-699

    • DOI

      10.3390/en12040699

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 貿易が誘引するPM2.5の健康影響2018

    • Author(s)
      南斉規介
    • Journal Title

      静電気学会誌

      Volume: 42(5) Pages: 218-225

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Industrial clusters with substantial carbon-reduction potential2018

    • Author(s)
      Kanemoto Keiichiro、Hanaka Tesshu、Kagawa Shigemi、Nansai Keisuke
    • Journal Title

      Economic Systems Research

      Volume: 31 Issue: 2 Pages: 248-266

    • DOI

      10.1080/09535314.2018.1492369

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Role of linkage structures in supply chain for managing greenhouse gas emissions2018

    • Author(s)
      Ryoko Morioka, Keisuke Nansai, Koji Tsuda
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Structures

      Volume: 7(7) Issue: 1 Pages: 1-21

    • DOI

      10.1186/s40008-018-0105-3

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Identifying Critical Supply Chain Paths and Key Sectors for Mitigating Primary Carbonaceous PM2.5 Mortality in Asia2017

    • Author(s)
      Fumiya Nagashima, Shigemi Kagawa, Sangwon Suh, Keisuke Nansai, Daniel Moran
    • Journal Title

      Economic Systems Research

      Volume: 29(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 105-123

    • DOI

      10.1080/09535314.2016.1266992

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] The role of primary processing in the supply risks of critical metals2017

    • Author(s)
      Keisuke Nansai, Kenichi Nakajima, Sangwon Suh, Shigemi Kagawa,Yasushi Kondo, Wataru Takayanagi, Yosuke Shigetom
    • Journal Title

      Economic Systems Research

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 3 Pages: 335-356

    • DOI

      10.1080/09535314.2017.1295923

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Economic and social determinants of global physical flows of critical metals2017

    • Author(s)
      Yosuke Shigetomi, Keisuke Nansai, Shigemi Kagawa, Yasushi Kondo, Susumu Tohno
    • Journal Title

      Resources Policy

      Volume: 52 Pages: 107-113

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.resourpol.2017.02.004

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] 石炭火力発電所に由来する大気汚染物質の健康被害評価2020

    • Author(s)
      永島史弥,韓雅文,茶谷聡,金本圭一朗,南斉規介
    • Organizer
      第15回日本LCA学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] インドの発電部門への需要が誘発する健康被害の推定とサプライチェーン分析2020

    • Author(s)
      三苫春香,永島史弥,加河茂美,南斎規介,時任翔平
    • Organizer
      第15回日本LCA学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] PM2.5-driven economic losses generated by the global trade2019

    • Author(s)
      Keisuke Nansai, Susumu Tohno, Satoru Chatani, Keichiro Kanemoto, Shigemi Kagawa, Yasushi Kondo, Wataru Takayanagi, and Manfred Lenzen
    • Organizer
      10th ISIE conference
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 日本の航空会社の国際線運航に付随するCO2排出量に関する要因分解分析2019

    • Author(s)
      鬼頭みなみ, 加河茂美, 永島史弥, 南斉規介
    • Organizer
      環太平洋産業連関分析学会第30回(2019年度)大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 製品価格変化を考慮した製品の長期使用政策が環境と経済に与える影響2019

    • Author(s)
      西嶋大輔, 南斉規介, 加河茂美
    • Organizer
      環太平洋産業連関分析学会第30回(2019年度)大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 中国の火力発電所由来の大気汚染物質に伴う健康被害の空間分布分析2019

    • Author(s)
      永島史弥, 加河茂美, 南斉規介, 茶谷聡
    • Organizer
      第14回日本LCA学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 東アジアの大気質に対する中国省別人為起源排出量の感度解析2018

    • Author(s)
      茶谷聡, 南齋規介, 東野達
    • Organizer
      第59回大気環境学会年会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Economic loss of PM2.5-related mortality in Asia from consumption-based perspectives2018

    • Author(s)
      Y. Fujii, M. Kurogi, S. Tohno, S. Chatani, K. Kanemoto, K. Nansai
    • Organizer
      SETAC Europe 24th LCA Case Study Symposium
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Analyzing consumption-based health impacts associated with ambient air pollution in Asia2018

    • Author(s)
      Fumiya Nagashima, Keisuke Nansai, Satoru Chatani, Shigemi Kagawa
    • Organizer
      The 13th International Conference of EcoBalance
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Analyzing the Asian supply chain structure of health impacts with PM2.5 including secondary particle2018

    • Author(s)
      Nagashima, F., Nansai, K., Chatani, S., Kagawa, S.
    • Organizer
      SETAC Europe 28th Annual Meeting
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Emission Sources, Attributable Mortalities and Supply Chain Structures of Ambient Air Pollution in Asia2018

    • Author(s)
      Nagashima, F., Nansai, K., Chatani, S.
    • Organizer
      World Social Science Forum
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Simulation study for influences of consumptions in major countries on air quality and human health in Asia through global supply chains2018

    • Author(s)
      Chatani S., Kurogi M., Fujii Y., Tohno S., Kanemoto K., Nansai K.
    • Organizer
      17th Annual CMAS Conference
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 国際サプライチェーンが誘因するアジア,欧州,北米におけるPM2.5の健康影響2018

    • Author(s)
      黒木みどり,茶谷聡,金本圭一朗,東野達,南齋規介
    • Organizer
      第13 回日本LCA学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] PM2.5 の健康リスクに対する非線形性を考慮した一次・二次粒子の消費基準による経済損失評価2018

    • Author(s)
      藤井雄太,黒木みどり,茶谷聡,金本圭一朗,南齋規介,東野達
    • Organizer
      第13 回日本LCA学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 二次粒子を含めたPM2.5による健康被害のサプライチェーン構造の解明2018

    • Author(s)
      永島史弥,南齋規介,茶谷聡
    • Organizer
      第13 回日本LCA学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 中国の省別家計消費の将来変化を考慮した消費基準による省別環境負荷量2018

    • Author(s)
      李欣航,南齋規介,東野達
    • Organizer
      第13 回日本LCA学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 中国における省別固定資本形成の将来変化に着目した消費基準環境負荷量の解析2018

    • Author(s)
      林小木,南齋規介,東野達
    • Organizer
      第13 回日本LCA学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Hotspots Analysis for Promoting 3R and Green Procurement2017

    • Author(s)
      Yasushi Kondo and Koichi Tachio
    • Organizer
      3RINCs 2017 (The 4th 3R International Scientific Conference on Material Cycles and Waste Management)
    • Place of Presentation
      New Delhi, India
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-08
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 内生型構造経路分析を用いたアジア地域における炭素質エアロゾルの排出分析2017

    • Author(s)
      永島史弥,加河茂美,南斉規介
    • Organizer
      第12回日本LCA学会研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      産業技術総合研究所(茨城)
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-01
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] グローバルサプライチェーンを通して主要国の消費が東アジアに誘起するPM2.5の健康影響2017

    • Author(s)
      黒木みどり,茶谷聡,金本圭一朗,東野達,南齋規介
    • Organizer
      第58回大気環境学会年会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Analyzing Air Pollution Hotspots within Asian Supply Chain Networks2016

    • Author(s)
      Fumiya Nagashima, Shigemi Kagawa, Keisuke Nansai, Sangwon Suh
    • Organizer
      The 12th International Conference on EcoBalance
    • Place of Presentation
      京都テルサ(京都)
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-03
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2022-01-27  

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