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Study on the setting and cancellation timing of the reference rainfall for warning and evacuation after a large-scale earthquake

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K01325
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Natural disaster / Disaster prevention science
Research InstitutionShinshu University

Principal Investigator

HIRAMATSU Shinya  信州大学, 学術研究院農学系, 教授 (70294824)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 小野 裕  信州大学, 学術研究院農学系, 助教 (00231241)
福山 泰治郎  信州大学, 学術研究院農学系, 助教 (60462511)
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Keywords大規模地震 / 警戒避難基準雨量 / 斜面安定 / 土質強度 / 地震後の経過時間 / 加速度 / 開口亀裂 / 斜面崩壊 / 地盤劣化 / 崩壊発生限界雨量 / 地震加速度 / せん断抵抗力 / 熊本地震 / 土砂災害 / 防災 / 減災 / 危機管理
Outline of Final Research Achievements

When an open crack is formed by a large-scale earthquake, the groundwater depth downstream of the open crack increases sharply, and the critical rainfall for landslides decreases by up to 18%.
It became clear that the stability of the slope declines with the increase of the acceleration acting during the earthquake, and the stability of the slope declines more than 30% when the acceleration of 2.2G acts. Furthermore, when 0.85G and 2.2G acceleration was applied to the hillside slope, no clear recovery of the safety factor was confirmed even after 1 to 3 months. On the other hand, when a 3.0 G acceleration was applied to the hillside slope, the safety factor of the slope recovered to the same level as before the earthquake, 3 months after the earthquake .

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

地震規模や地震発生後の時間経過と土質強度さらには斜面の安定性との関係を定量化しようとした点に学術的意義が認められる。
本研究により,地震の規模や地震後の時間経過に対応した斜面の安定性の変化や崩壊発生限界雨量が明らかになった。そして,本研究で得られた知見を活用する事により,土砂災害に対する警戒・避難基準雨量の引き下げ率とその解除時期が明らかになるため,大規模地震発生後の警戒・避難体制の策定に大いに貢献することになり社会的意義は大きい。さらに,本研究成果を活用し発展させていくことにより,大規模地震発生後の流域内での土砂災害危険度評価や望ましい流域管理手法の確立に大きく貢献することが確信される。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (6 results)

All 2019 2018 2016

All Journal Article (1 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Open Access: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (5 results)

  • [Journal Article] 平成28年熊本地震後の降雨による二次土砂移動と二次土砂災害2016

    • Author(s)
      平松晋也ほか
    • Journal Title

      砂防学会誌

      Volume: 69 Pages: 25-36

    • NAID

      130006247812

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] 大規模地震が表層崩壊の発生や崩壊規模に及ぼす影響2019

    • Author(s)
      桑澤昭雄,平松晋也
    • Organizer
      砂防学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大規模地震が火山地域の斜面安定性に及ぼす影響2019

    • Author(s)
      稲垣翔,平松晋也
    • Organizer
      砂防学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大規模地震動が火山地域の土質強度と崩壊発生限界雨量に及ぼす影響に関する一考察2019

    • Author(s)
      稲垣翔,平松晋也
    • Organizer
      日本地すべり学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 阿蘇山周辺斜面の土層構造と地下水深形成過程2018

    • Author(s)
      桑澤昭雄,平松晋也,福山泰治郎
    • Organizer
      砂防学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 地震動が土質強度に及ぼす影響の定量的評価2018

    • Author(s)
      桑澤昭雄,平松晋也,福山泰治郎
    • Organizer
      日本地すべり学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2021-02-19  

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