Applying developed fragility functions for the Global Tsunami Model (GTM)

• Project/Area Number: 16K16371
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
• Allocation Type: Multi-year Fund
• Research Field: Natural disaster / Disaster prevention science
• Research Institution: Tohoku University
• Principal Investigator: Suppasri Anawat 東北大学, 災害科学国際研究所, 准教授 (00648371)
• Project Period (FY): 2016-04-01 – 2020-03-31
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
• Budget Amount: ¥3,120,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥720,000); Fiscal Year 2018: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000); Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000); Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
• Keywords: 津波被害関数 / 津波数値解析 / 東日本大震災 / Global Tsunami Model / 津波 / 建物被害 / 被害予測 / リスク評価 / 東北地方太平洋沖地震津波 / グローバル津波モデル (GTM)

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research developed a new approach for tsunami risk assessment for building with high accuracy using fragility functions (relationship between tsunami force and damage) under the Global Tsunami Model (GTM) project. In brief, the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami was selected as the case study. Tsunami forces were reproduced by numerical simulation, building resistant forces were estimated from building design standard. These forces were analyzed and showed that the new approach could reproduced the actual building damage condition with high accuracy. In addition, building damage data from the 2018 Sulawesi tsunami and 2018 Sunda Strait tsunami were also analyzed and demonstrated characteristics of tsunami fragility functions from non-seismic tsunamis. Results from this research have been published in several high-impact journals.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

これまで、実際の被害データで構築された津波被害関数は域性に依存し、他地域への適用は困難であったが、本研究により新たに提案した方法では、実際の津波被害データがなくても、高い精度で津波による建物被害評価ができることを示した。また、津波による建物被害評価は、津波数値解析及び詳細な建物データがあれば、日本だけではなく世界中に適用することができる。将来の津波によって現実に近い被害実態が想定できることは社会的に政府の防災計画、保険会社等に貢献している。

Research Products

• [Int'l Joint Research] University College London(英国)
• [Int'l Joint Research] Chulalongkorn University/Mahidol University(タイ)
• [Int'l Joint Research] 南洋理工大学(シンガポール)
• [Int'l Joint Research] Syiah Kuala University(インドネシア)
• [Int'l Joint Research] University College London(英国)
• [Int'l Joint Research] 南洋理工大学(シンガポール)
• [Int'l Joint Research] Chulalongkorn University/Thammasart University(タイ)
• [Int'l Joint Research] University College London(英国)
• [Int'l Joint Research] 南洋理工大学(シンガポール)
• [Int'l Joint Research] Chulalongkorn University(タイ)
• [Int'l Joint Research] Thammasart University(タイ)
• [Int'l Joint Research] University College London (UCL)(英国)
• [Int'l Joint Research] 南洋理工大学(NTU)(シンガポール)
• [Journal Article] The 22 December 2018 Mount Anak Krakatau Volcanogenic Tsunami on Sunda Strait Coasts, Indonesia: tsunami and damage characteristics (2020)
  • Author(s): Syamsidik, Benazir, Luthfi, M. Suppasri, A. and Comfort, L. K.
  • Journal Title: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Volume: 20 Issue: 2 Pages: 549-565
  • DOI: 10.5194/nhess-20-549-2020
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] Justification of Possible Casualty-Reduction CountermeasuresBased on Global Tsunami Hazard Assessment for Tsunami-Prone Regions over the Past 400 Years (2020)
  • Author(s): Takuro Otake, Constance Ting Chua, Anawat Suppasri and Fumihiko Imamura
  • Journal Title: Journal of Disaster Research Volume: 15 Pages: 1-13
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] Load-resistance analysis: An alternative approach to tsunami damage assessment applied to the 2011 Great East Japan tsunami (2019)
  • Author(s): Suppasri, A., Pakoksung, K., Charvet, I., Chua, C. T., Takahashi, N., Ornthammarath, T., Latcharote, Pl, Leelawat, N. and Imamura, F.
  • Journal Title: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Volume: 19 Issue: 8 Pages: 1807-1822
  • DOI: 10.5194/nhess-19-1807-2019
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] New Building Damage Assessment Method Based on Numerical Tsunami Simulation and Analytical Force Estimation: Case study of the 2011 Tohoku tsunami (2018)
  • Author(s): Anawat SUPPASRI, Kwanchai PAKOKSUNG, Ingrid CHARVET, Noriyuki TAKAHASHI, Teraphan ORNTHAMMARATH, Fumihiko IMAMURA
  • Journal Title: Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) Volume: 74 Issue: 2 Pages: I_451-I_456
  • DOI: 10.2208/kaigan.74.I_451
  • NAID: 130007504023
  • ISSN: 1883-8944, 1884-2399
  • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] Developing fragility functions for aquaculture rafts and eelgrass in the case of the 2011 Great East Japan tsunami (2018)
  • Author(s): Suppasri, A., Fukui, K., Yamashita, K., Leelawat, N., Hiroyuki, O. and Imamura, F.
  • Journal Title: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Volume: 18 Issue: 1 Pages: 145-155
  • DOI: 10.5194/nhess-18-145-2018
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] Estimation of Fatality Ratios and Investigation of Influential Factors in the 2011 Great East Japan Tsunami (2017)
  • Author(s): Latcharote, P., Leelawat, N., Suppasri, A., Thamarux, P. and Imamura, F.
  • Journal Title: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction Volume: - Pages: 37-54
  • DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.06.024
  • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] The 2016 Fukushima Earthquake and Tsunami: Preliminary research and new considerations for tsunami disaster risk reduction (2017)
  • Author(s): Suppasri, A., Leelawat, N., Latcharote, P., Roeber, V., Yamashita, K., Hayashi, A., Ohira, H., Fukui, K., Hisamatsu, A., Nguyen, D. and Imamura, F.
  • Journal Title: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction Volume: 21 Pages: 323-330
  • DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2016.12.016
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
• [Journal Article] Possible Failure Mechanism of Buildings Overturned during the 2011 Great East Japan Tsunami in the Town of Onagawa (2016)
  • Author(s): Panon Latcharote, Anawat Suppasri, Akane Yamashita, Bruno Adriano, Shunichi Koshimura, Yoshiro Kai, and Fumihiko Imamura
  • Journal Title: Frontiers in Built Environment, Earthquake Engineering Volume: 3 Pages: 1-18
  • DOI: 10.3389/fbuil.2017.00016
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] An Analysis of Fatality Ratios and the Factors That Affected Human Fatalities in the 2011 Great East Japan Tsunami (2016)
  • Author(s): Suppasri, A., Hasegawa, N., Makinoshima, F., Imamura, F., Latcharote, P. and Simon, D.
  • Journal Title: Frontiers in Built Environment, Earthquake Engineering Volume: 2 Pages: 1-13
  • DOI: 10.3389/fbuil.2016.00032
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
• [Journal Article] Improvement of tsunami countermeasures based on lessons from the 2011 great east japan earthquake and tsunami -Situation after five years- (2016)
  • Author(s): Suppasri, A., Latcharote, P., Bricker, J. D., Leelawat, N., Hayashi, A., Yamashita, K., Makinoshima, F., Roeber, V. and Imamura, F.
  • Journal Title: Coastal Engineering Journal Volume: 58 Issue: 4 Pages: 1-30
  • DOI: 10.1142/s0578563416400118
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
• [Journal Article] A proposed methodology for deriving tsunami fragility functions for buildings using optimum intensity measures. (2016)
  • Author(s): Joshua Macabuag, Tiziana Rossetto, Ioanna Ioannou, Anawat Suppasri, Daisuke Sugawara, Bruno Adriano, Fumihiko Imamura, Ian Eames, and Shunichi Koshimura
  • Journal Title: Natural Hazards Volume: 84(2) Issue: 2 Pages: 1257-1285
  • DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2485-8
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Fragility functions of buildings under only tsunami load in Indonesia: A case study of the 2018 Sunda Strait tsunami (2021)
  • Author(s): A. Suppasri, K. Pakoksung, Syamsidik, P. Latcharote, R. Miyamoto, F. Imamura
  • Organizer: 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Tsunami hazard and built environment damage observations from Palu City after the September 28 2018 Sulawesi earthquake and tsunami (2019)
  • Author(s): Ryan Paulik, Aditya Gusman, James H. Williams, Gumbert Maylda Pratama, Sheng-linLin, Alamsyah Prawirabhakti, Ketut Sulendra, Erick Mas, Anawat Suppasri, Luis Angel Moya Huallpa, Shunichi Koshimura, Muhammad Yasser Zachari, Zabin Ellyni Dwi Fortuna, Novita Barrang Pare Layuk, Ni WayanIka Suwarni
  • Organizer: International Symposium on the Lessons Learnt from the 2018 Tsunamis in Palu and Sunda Strait
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Asessment of Impacts of Sunda Strait Tsunami 2018 on Coastal Area in Banten and Lampung of Indonesia (2019)
  • Author(s): Syamsidik, Benazir, Mumtaz Luthfi, Anawat Suppasri, Louise K. Comfort
  • Organizer: International Symposium on the Lessons Learnt from the 2018 Tsunamis in Palu and Sunda Strait
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Proposing tsunami magnitude scale based on a perspective of cascading disasters (2019)
  • Author(s): Anawat Suppasri, Miwako Kitamura, Abdul Muhari, Fumihiko Imamura and David Alexander
  • Organizer: 27th International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics General Assembly
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Tsunami Damage Assessment by Considering Wooden Building's Resistance Force (2018)
  • Author(s): Anawat Suppasri, Kwanchai Pakoksung, Ingrid Charvet, Noriyuki Takahashi, Panon Latcharote, Natt Leelawat and Fumihiko Imamura
  • Organizer: Asia and Oceania Geoscience Society(AOGS)
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Development of Tsunami Damage Fragility Curves for Coastal Infrastructure Based on the 2011 Great East Japan Tsunami (2018)
  • Author(s): Constance Ting Chua, Adam Switzer, Anawat Suppasri, Lin Lin Li, David Lallemant, Nigel Winspear, Susanna Jenkins and Amanda Yee Lin Cheong
  • Organizer: Asia and Oceania Geoscience Society(AOGS)
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] New Building Damage Assessment Method Based on Numerical Tsunami Simulation and Analytical Force Estimation: Case study of the 2011 Tohoku tsunami (2018)
  • Author(s): Anawat SUPPASRI, Kwanchai PAKOKSUNG, Ingrid CHARVET, Noriyuki TAKAHASHI, Teraphan ORNTHAMMARATH, Fumihiko IMAMURA
  • Organizer: 土木学会
• [Presentation] Earthquake and Tsunami Disaster Risk Reduction Perspectives as Lessons from Japan to Thailand (2018)
  • Author(s): Anawat Suppasri, Teraphan Ornthammarat, Pennung Warnitchai and Fumihiko Imamura
  • Organizer: アジア地震工学会
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Is using of maximum flow depth from tsunami fragility functions overestimates wooden housing damage? (2018)
  • Author(s): Suppasri, A., Kwanchai, P., Latcharote, P., Takanashi, N. and Imamura, F.
  • Organizer: 平成29年度 土木学会東北支部 技術研究発表会
• [Presentation] 東日本大震災での建物被害データに基づく建物棟毎の流失確率予測式の提案 (2018)
  • Author(s): 長谷川夏来・サッパシー アナワット・牧野嶋文泰・今村文彦
  • Organizer: 平成30年度 土木学会東北支部 技術研究発表会
• [Presentation] A global assessment of tsunami hazards over the last 400 years (2017)
  • Author(s): Otake, T., Suppasri, A., Latcharote, P., Imamura, F., Leelawat, N. and Nguyen, D.
  • Organizer: JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Tsunami Damage Estimation for Coastal Infrastructure in Macau Based on Damage Fragility Curves Derived from the 2011 Japan Tsunami (2017)
  • Author(s): Chua, C. T., Li, L., Switzer, A., Suppasri, A., Jenkins, S. and Winspear, N.
  • Organizer: 14th Annual Meeting Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS)
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Evaluation of global tsunami hazard for 400 years and future (2017)
  • Author(s): Imamura, F., Suppasri, A., Otake, T. and Latcharote, P.
  • Organizer: International Tsunami Symposium (ITS2017)
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Developing Fragility Functions based on data from aquaculture raft and eelgrass damaged by the 2011 Great East Japan tsunami (2017)
  • Author(s): Suppasri, A., Fukui, K., Yamashita, K., Leelawat, N., Hiroyuki, O. and Imamura, F.
  • Organizer: International Tsunami Symposium (ITS2017)
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Developing Fragility Functions Based on Aquaculture Raft and Eelgrass due to Tsunami Damage: A Case Study of Mangokuura Lake (2017)
  • Author(s): Anawat SUPPASRI, Kentaro FUKUI, Kei YAMASHITA, Hiroyuki OHIRA, Natt LEELAWAT and Fumihiko IMAMURA
  • Organizer: 第64回海岸工学講演会
• [Presentation] 東日本大震災での津波による被害実態に基づく推計曝露人口と人的被害の関係 (2017)
  • Author(s): 長谷川 夏来, サッパシー アナワット, 牧野嶋 文泰, 今村 文彦
  • Organizer: 第64回海岸工学講演会
• [Presentation] 最新400年間の地震記録に基づく過去と将来のグローバル津波ハザード評価 (2017)
  • Author(s): 大竹 拓郎, サッパシー アナワット・Panon LATCHAROTE・今村 文彦
  • Organizer: 第64回海岸工学講演会
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] A Global Assessment of Historical and Future Tsunami Hazards based on Seismic Records over last 400 years (2017)
  • Author(s): Ohtake, T., Suppasri, A., Latcharote, P. and Imamura, F.
  • Organizer: World Bosai Forum 2017
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] 東北地方太平洋沖地震津波による養殖施設・アマモ場への被害関数の推定 (2017)
  • Author(s): 福井謙太朗, Suppasri Anawat, 山下啓, 大平浩之, 今村文彦
  • Organizer: 土木学会東北支部技術研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 東北工業大学八木山キャンパス（仙台市）
• [Presentation] Numerical simulation and field survey of the 2016 Fukushima earthquake and tsunami (2017)
  • Author(s): Suppasri, A., Yamashita, K., Roeber, V., Hayashi, A., Ohira, H., Fukui, K., Hisamatsu, A. and Imamura, F. (2017)
  • Organizer: 土木学会東北支部技術研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 東北工業大学八木山キャンパス（仙台市）
• [Presentation] DamageEstimateApp: A mobile application that estimates building damages from tsunami disasters (2016)
  • Author(s): Leelawat, N., Suppasri, A., Park, J., Charvet, I., Latcharote, P., Imamura, F., Iijima, J. and Abe, Y.
  • Organizer: International Conference on Urban Risks (ICUR2016)
  • Place of Presentation: Lisbon, Portugal
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Analysis of fatality ratio in case of the 2011 Tohoku-Oki tsunami focusing on fine spatial scale (2016)
  • Author(s): Hasegawa, N., Suppasri, A., Imamura, F. and Fumiyasu, M.
  • Organizer: 13th Annual Meeting of Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS2016)
  • Place of Presentation: Beijing, China
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Effect of breakwaters on reduction of fatality ratio during the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake and tsunami (2016)
  • Author(s): Latcharote, P., Suppasri, A., Hasegawa, N., Takagi, H. and Imamura, F.
  • Organizer: 土木学会海岸工学講演会
  • Place of Presentation: 大阪大学中之島センター（大阪府）
• [Presentation] Estimating equation of fatality ratio based on the 2011 Great East Japan tsunami for future tsunami loss assessment (2016)
  • Author(s): Latcharote, P., Leelawat, N., Suppasri, A. and Imamura, F.
  • Organizer: 10th Aceh International Workshop and Expo on Sustainable Tsunami Disaster Recovery (AIWEST-DR 2016)
  • Place of Presentation: Banda Aceh, Indonesia
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Book] Natural Catastrophe risk management and modelling: A practitioners guide (2017)
  • Author(s): Matthew Foote, Rev John Hillier, Kirsten Mitchell-Wallace and Matthew Jones
  • Total Pages: 536
  • Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
  • ISBN: 9781118906040
• [Book] わかる！取り組む！災害と防災 ２ 津波 (2017)
  • Author(s): 今村文彦，佐藤翔輔、サッパシー アナワット，日野亮太
  • Total Pages: 56
  • Publisher: 帝国書院
• [Funded Workshop] AIWEST-DR 2019 (2019)