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A quantitative analysis of housing demand among Japanese young people

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K17125
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionKanazawa Seiryo University

Principal Investigator

Takuya Ishino  金沢星稜大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (10614034)

Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Keywords世代間移転 / 住宅 / 家族 / 親子 / きょうだい / 期待 / 親子間の資産移転 / 住宅資産の移転 / 遺産 / 相続 / 資産蓄積 / 住宅需要 / 住宅の相続 / 居住形態の選択 / 消費 / 貯蓄 / 都市経済学
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research empirically analyzes how the expectation of parental housing transfers can influence children's housing demand and consumption in Japan. Our empirical analysis has several important findings. Firstly, the expectation of parental housing transfers discourages children from purchasing their own house. Second, the expectation of parental bequest changes locational competition between siblings of children. Third, the recipients tend to leave the same type of wealth to their offspring as they anticipate receiving from their parents. Fourth, the expectation of parental housing transfers may increase in children's consumption. Fifth, contrary to housing transfers, anticipated financial transfers from parents have a positive impact on children's financial wealth accumulation.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究課題による学術的・社会的貢献としては、主に以下の2つのことが挙げられる。
A)本研究では、資産移転が実現する前から、その期待がすでに実体経済に影響を与えていることを示唆している。日本では、高齢化が進展し、近い将来に多くの資産移転が起きることが予想される。本研究は、この将来の資産移転が現在の経済に与えている影響の解明に、つながることが期待される。B)日本ではその税制から、住宅は金融資産よりも遺産相続の際に有利な資産となっており、より住宅が遺産として選ばれていることが示唆されている。このことが近年の若年成人の消費を促進している反面、住宅需要の落ち込みにつながっている可能性がある。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (7 results)

All 2020 2019 2017 2016

All Journal Article (1 results) (of which Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] 親の住居の相続期待と子供の住宅取得行動2019

    • Author(s)
      石野卓也
    • Journal Title

      季刊 個人金融

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] Parental Wealth Transfers and Children’s Wealth Accumulation2020

    • Author(s)
      石野卓也
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Parental Wealth Transfers and Children’s Wealth Accumulation2019

    • Author(s)
      石野卓也
    • Organizer
      Western Economic Association International 15th International Conference
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The effect of housing inheritance on heirs’ tenure choice, consumption, and savings in Japan2017

    • Author(s)
      瀬古美喜、石野卓也
    • Organizer
      アジア不動産学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The Effect of Housing Inheritance on Heirs’ Tenure Choice and Household Wealth Accumulation in Japan2017

    • Author(s)
      石野卓也
    • Organizer
      応用地域学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 住宅の相続の経済分析2016

    • Author(s)
      石野 卓也
    • Organizer
      慶應義塾大学経済研究所
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学(三田キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-08
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 住宅相続の経済分析2016

    • Author(s)
      石野 卓也
    • Organizer
      日本の経済格差のダイナミズム:パネルデータによる実態把握
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学(三田キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-14
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2021-02-19  

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