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Long-period ground motion of M9 megathrust earthquake: Construction of integrated model based on wave physics and fusion of observation and computation

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K01322
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Natural disaster / Disaster prevention science
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

Furumura Takashi  東京大学, 地震研究所, 教授 (80241404)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords長周期地震動 / 巨大地震 / 深発地震 / 2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震 / 南海トラフ巨大地震 / 地震波伝播 / 東北地方太平洋沖地震 / 超巨大地震 / 太平洋プレート / 異常震域 / PL波 / 強震動 / 地震 / 差分法
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In order to evaluate the risk of long-period ground motions of M9-scale large earthquakes, the generation process of long-period ground motions of the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake was evaluated from strong motion observation data analysis and seismic wave propagation simulation. During the off Tohoku earthquake, the long-period ground motion level of the Kanto basin becomes smaller than the inland earthquake and the Nankai Trough earthquake, and the cause is the S-wave radiation characteristics of the off Tohoku earthquake and the directional characteristics of the three-dimensional basement structure of the Kanto basin. It was confirmed that Long-period ground motion can be also generated even in deep-focus M8-class earthquakes such as the 2008 Okhotsk Sea Deep Earthquake and the 2015 Ogasawara Earthquake, which are generated from S waves incident on the ground surface at a critical angle, and sP conversion and sS reflected wave generated at large distances.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究により、南海トラフ沿いや日本海溝沿いで発生が心配されるM9規模の海溝型の超巨大地震や、太平洋プレート内で発生するM8規模の巨大深発地震による長周期地震動の生成過程が明らかとなり、そして地殻・マントル不均質構造を組み込んだ地震波伝播シミュレーションによる予測手法が確立されたことで、M9超巨大地震のリスク評価と災害軽減に大きく貢献することが期待できる。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (11 results)

All 2020 2019 2018 2017

All Journal Article (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Propagation of distinct Love-wave pulses from regional to teleseismic distances in continental and oceanic environments2020

    • Author(s)
      Furumura, T. and BLN Kennett
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Journal International

      Volume: 221 Issue: 1 Pages: 665-692

    • DOI

      10.1093/gji/ggaa028

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The Significance of Long‐Period Ground Motion at Regional to Teleseismic Distances From the 610‐km Deep Mw 8.3 Sea of Okhotsk Earthquake of 24 May 20132019

    • Author(s)
      Furumura, T. and B.L.N. Kennett
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research

      Volume: 24 Issue: 8 Pages: 9075-9094

    • DOI

      10.1029/2019jb018147

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Significant P wave conversions from upgoing S waves generated by very deep earthquakes around Japa2019

    • Author(s)
      Kennett, B.L.N. and T. Furumura
    • Journal Title

      Progress in Earth and Planetary Science

      Volume: 6 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-10

    • DOI

      10.1186/s40645-019-0292-z

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 関東平野における長周期地震動強度の特徴的方位依存性とその要因2019

    • Author(s)
      向井優理恵・古村孝志・前田 拓人
    • Journal Title

      東京大学地震研究所彙報

      Volume: 93 Pages: 32-48

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] egional distance PL phase in the crustal waveguide - An analog to the teleseismic W phase in the upper-mantle waveguide2018

    • Author(s)
      Furumura T. and B.L.N. Kennett
    • Journal Title

      J. Geophys. Res.

      Volume: 123 Issue: 5 Pages: 1-18

    • DOI

      10.1029/2018jb015717

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Regional to teleseismic strong ground motions from a 610 km deep 24 May 2013 Sea of Okhotsk earthquake2019

    • Author(s)
      Furumura, T. and B.L.N. Kennett
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2019年大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Propagation of distinctive Love-wave pulses in continental and oceanic environment2019

    • Author(s)
      古村孝志、ブライアン・ケネット
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2019年秋期大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Regional to teleseismic distance propagation of distinctive Love-wave pulses in continental and oceanic environments2019

    • Author(s)
      Furumura, T. and B.L.N. Kennett
    • Organizer
      AGU 2019 Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Similarity of the regional PL waves in the crustal waveguide and the teleseismic W-phase in the upper-mantle waveguide,2018

    • Author(s)
      古村孝志・Brian Kennett
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2018年大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 地殻内地震のPL波がもたらす大振幅の長周期地震動2017

    • Author(s)
      古村孝志・Brian LN Kennett
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2017年秋期大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Long-period ground motions at near-regional distances caused by the PL wave from, inland earthquakes: Observation and numerical simulation of the 2004 Mid-Niigata, Japan, Mw6.6 earthquake2017

    • Author(s)
      Furumura, T. and BLN Kennett
    • Organizer
      AGU 2017 Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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