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Voting behavior in a predominant party system: Macro- and micro-analysis

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K03574
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Politics
Research InstitutionInstitute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization

Principal Investigator

Hazama Yasushi  独立行政法人日本貿易振興機構アジア経済研究所, 地域研究センター, 主任研究員 (70401429)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywordspredominant party system / voting behavior / democracy / authoritarianism / Turkey / 投票行動 / 一党優位制 / 経済業績 / トルコ / 経済業績投票 / 大統領制 / 政治学
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research analyzed the factors contributing to the establishment and decline of one-party dominance, using Turkey as a case study. Utilizing diverse public opinion survey data and qualitative data, the study examined the impact of economic performance, anti-corruption efforts, and social cleavages on one-party dominance. The results revealed that the long-term one-party dominance of the ruling AKP was maintained through the halo effect of economic growth and social welfare policies, mobilization of the public through populist discourse, and the exploitation of the failed coup attempt as an opportunity for authoritarianism. However, the study concluded that the introduction of the presidential system, which led to a decline in organizational functionality, and economic mismanagement brought about the decline of one-party dominance.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

この研究は、民主主義体制下で無視できない存在でありながら、これまで見落とされてきた一党優位制における投票行動の要因を明らかにした。トルコを事例とした実証分析により、経済業績、反汚職、社会的亀裂が投票行動に与える影響とその変化を明らかにしたことは、投票行動論と民主主義論に大きく貢献すると考えられる。また、一党優位制の成立と衰退のメカニズムを解明したことで、日本や新興民主主義諸国における一党優位制の理解と分析に役立つであろう。さらに、この研究は、一党優位制の下での政治的意思決定や経済政策の問題点を浮き彫りにし、民主主義の質を向上させるための示唆を与えると思われる。

Report

(8 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results) Book (6 results)

  • [Journal Article] From activism to resilience: the Turkish constitutional court in comparative perspective2023

    • Author(s)
      Hazama Yasushi
    • Journal Title

      Turkish Studies

      Volume: Online first Issue: 3-4 Pages: 1-23

    • DOI

      10.1080/14683849.2023.2173069

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Conservatives, nationalists, and incumbent support in Turkey2021

    • Author(s)
      Hazama Yasushi
    • Journal Title

      Turkish Studies

      Volume: forthcoming Issue: 5 Pages: 1-27

    • DOI

      10.1080/14683849.2020.1858814

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Informal Social Capital and Infection Prevention Behavior2022

    • Author(s)
      間 寧
    • Organizer
      International Studies Association Annual Convention
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Taming Economic Voting: By Social Security or Corruption Control2021

    • Author(s)
      間 寧
    • Organizer
      International Political Science Association World Congress
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Informal Social Capital and Infection Prevention Behavior2021

    • Author(s)
      間 寧
    • Organizer
      American Political Science Association Annual Meeting
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Taming Economic Voting: Does Social Security Moderate Punishment or Reward?2021

    • Author(s)
      Yasushi Hazama
    • Organizer
      European Consortium for Political Research
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Social capital and willingness to pay for public healthcare: The case of Turkey2020

    • Author(s)
      Yasushi Hazama
    • Organizer
      International Studies Association, cancelled because of COVID-19
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] Reflections on the Centenary of the Republic of Turkey2023

    • Author(s)
      Paul Kubicek
    • Total Pages
      336
    • Publisher
      Routledge
    • ISBN
      9781032563763
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] エルドアンが変えたトルコ2023

    • Author(s)
      間 寧
    • Total Pages
      320
    • Publisher
      作品社
    • ISBN
      4861829720
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Prof. Ersin Kalaycioglu'na Armagan2022

    • Author(s)
      Ali Carkoglu et al.
    • Publisher
      Istanbul Bilgi University
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Book] トルコ2019

    • Author(s)
      中村 覚、間 寧
    • Total Pages
      256
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • ISBN
      9784623085194
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 「ポピュリズム」の政治学: 深まる政治社会の亀裂と権威主義化2018

    • Author(s)
      村上勇介、岡田勇、新木秀和、大津留(北川)智恵子、仙石学、 玉田芳史、日下渉、間寧
    • Total Pages
      296
    • Publisher
      国際書院
    • ISBN
      9784877912871
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 後退する民主主義2018

    • Author(s)
      川中 豪、湊 一樹、間 寧、牧野 久美子、馬場 香織、菊池 啓一、重冨 真一、大串 敦
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report

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Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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