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An application of ambiguity aversion to asset pricing theory: derivation and estimation of an ambiguity-augmented factor pricing model

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K03622
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic theory
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

Wakai Katsutoshi  京都大学, 経済学研究科, 教授 (80455708)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords理論経済学 / 意思決定論 / 資産価格理論 / 行動ファイナンス / 経済理論
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This project is an applied research on "ambiguity aversion", that is, a tendency that a decision maker dislikes a situation where a probability of state realization is unknown. In particular, I focus on the differentiable utility function as introduced by Klibanoff et al. (2005) that clearly separates the attitude toward ambiguity from the attitude toward risk. By adapting the linearization technique uniquely designed for Klibanoff et al.'s stochastic discount factor, I derive an ambiguity-augmented factor pricing model, which has newly identified factors that capture the variation of returns due to ambiguity aversion, as well as the conventional factors that captures the variation of returns due to risk aversion. In addition, I derive the conditions that can be used to test the empirical implication of this ambiguity-augmented factor pricing model by utilizing the information obtained from the conventional factor pricing model based only on the risk factors.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

資産価格において、客観的確率がわからないという曖昧な状況を回避する傾向(曖昧性回避)による影響を実証的にとらえる研究は黎明期にあり、特に、多数の資産価格を同時に分析する研究はほとんど存在しない。本研究は、実証研究や投資運用で頻繁に用いられている「多因子モデル」を、「曖昧性回避をとらえる因子」を含む形式に拡張した。この結果、曖昧性回避の影響を実証的にとらえることが可能になり、資産価格理論の研究に大きく貢献するとともに、実際の投資運用に対して曖昧性回避にもとづく資産評価を導入する機会を提供した点に重要な社会的意義がある。

Report

(7 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (3 results)

All 2023 2019 2018

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Open Access: 3 results)

  • [Journal Article] A Factor Pricing Model under Ambiguity: A Multi-Period Framework2023

    • Author(s)
      Katsutoshi Wakai
    • Journal Title

      Graduate School of Economics Discussion Paper Series, Kyoto University

      Volume: E-22-012 Pages: 1-16

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] On Identification of Ambiguity Premium2019

    • Author(s)
      若井克俊
    • Journal Title

      Kyoto University, Graduate School of Economics, Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: E-18-009 Pages: 1-14

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A Factor Pricing Model under Ambiguity2018

    • Author(s)
      若井克俊
    • Journal Title

      Kyoto University, Graduate School of Economics, Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: E-17-012 Pages: 1-31

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access

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Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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