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Constructing a regime-switching macroeconomic model taking into account of financial crisis regime

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K01687
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 07060:Money and finance-related
Research InstitutionKobe University

Principal Investigator

Nishiyama Shin-Ichi  神戸大学, 経済学研究科, 教授 (70614006)

Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Keywordsレジーム転換 / インフレーション / 不良債権 / 利鞘 / レジームスイッチ / 動学的一般均衡 / 貸し出し利鞘 / 金融機関の利益率 / バランスシート / ニューケインジアン / 金融危機 / 利鞘構造 / 金融機関バランスシート / 企業バランスシート / 金融政策 / マクロ経済学
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research project focused on empirically analyzing the impact of the inflationary environment and the bad loan problem on monetary policy and the lending behavior or margin setting of financial institutions, and had three research themes. The first research theme was to construct a macroeconomic model in which long-term inflation can be regime-shifting, and to conduct an empirical analysis of when long-term inflation turned in the Japanese economy. Next, I conducted an empirical analysis of the factors that determine the loan margins of financial institutions based on corporate survey data. Finally, we examine the impact of the non-performing loan problem on the lending behavior of financial institutions in each country.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

経済構造や経済政策の大きなレジーム転換は、インフレ環境などの変化や不良債権の増加によって引き起こされている可能性があり、インフレ環境の変化が金融政策に与える影響や不良債権比率が金融機関の融資行動や利鞘決定に与える影響を分析することは、日本の金融構造のレジーム転換を理解する上で有用であると考えられる。研究テーマとして、1)インフレ環境の変化を許容するマクロ経済モデルを構築し、2)不良債権比率が金融機関の融資行動に与える影響を分析し、3)金融機関の利鞘決定要因を分析することなどを3つの大きな柱として位置づけて研究を行ったが、これは金融構造のレジーム転換を理解する上で新たなエビデンスを提供した。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (16 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results,  Open Access: 8 results,  Peer Reviewed: 4 results) Presentation (5 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Dhaka(バングラデシュ)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Bahria University, Islamabad(パキスタン)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] The Cross-Euler Equation Approach to Testing for the Liquidity Constraint: Evidence from U.S. Macro Data2022

    • Author(s)
      Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    • Journal Title

      国民経済雑誌

      Volume: 225 Pages: 15-29

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Trend Inflation in the Japanese pre-2000s: A Markov-Switching DSGE Estimation2022

    • Author(s)
      Ryo Kato, Junior Maih, Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    • Journal Title

      Kobe University Graduate School of Economics Discussion Paper

      Volume: 2212

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The Effects of Firm and Bank Balance Sheet Conditions to Net Interest Margins: Evidence from Loan-level Firm Survey Data2022

    • Author(s)
      Tomoko Aizawa-Tanemura, Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    • Journal Title

      Kobe University Graduate School of Economics Discussion Paper

      Volume: 2215

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Social Benefit of Inflation in the Presence of Liquidity Trap: An Analysis based on Traditional Keynesian Framework2022

    • Author(s)
      Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    • Journal Title

      国民経済雑誌

      Volume: 225 Pages: 77-97

    • NAID

      40022818291

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Impact of Financial Sector Opacity on the Capital Structure Choice of Asian Banks2021

    • Author(s)
      Khalil Ullah Mohammad, Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    • Journal Title

      Asian Economic and Financial Review

      Volume: 11 Issue: 3 Pages: 219-235

    • DOI

      10.18488/journal.aefr.2021.113.219.235

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The Determinants of Net Interest Margins of Commercial Banks: Panel Evidence from China, India and Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      Md. Shahidul Islam, Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    • Journal Title

      神戸大学Discussion Paper

      Volume: 2014 Pages: 1-54

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Source of the Great Recession2020

    • Author(s)
      Ryo Hasumi, Hirokuni Iiboshi, Tatsuyoshi Matsumae and Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    • Journal Title

      In: Stelios Markoulis (Eds.) Financial Crises, INTECHOPEN LIMITED, London, UK, ISBN 978-1-78923-857-0

      Volume: 1 Pages: 1-21

    • DOI

      10.5772/intechopen.90729

    • ISBN
      9781789238570, 9781789238587
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Non-Performing Loans of Commercial Banks in South Asian Countries: Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard Issues2019

    • Author(s)
      Md. Shahidul Islam, Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    • Journal Title

      Asian Economic and Financial Review

      Volume: 9 Issue: 9 Pages: 1091-1106

    • DOI

      10.18488/journal.aefr.2019.99.1091.1106

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] An Empirical Investigation into the Effect of Explicit Deposit Insurance and Design on the Liability Structure of Banks2019

    • Author(s)
      Khalil Ullah Mohammad, Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice

      Volume: 8 Issue: 3 Pages: 179-206

    • DOI

      10.2478/jcbtp-2019-0030

    • NAID

      120007002616

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 「賃金と物価の好循環のための金融政策」に対するコメント2022

    • Author(s)
      西山慎一
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 「金融機関の準備需要動機は変化したのか?」に対するコメント2022

    • Author(s)
      西山慎一
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会春季大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Effects of Firm and Bank Balance Sheet Conditions on Net Interest Margins: Evidence from Loan-Level Firm Survey Data2021

    • Author(s)
      相澤朋子、西山慎一
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2021年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The Time-Varying Volatility of FinancialShocks in Macroeconomic Fluctuations2018

    • Author(s)
      Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    • Organizer
      Kobe University - University of Hawaii Joint Conference
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The Time-Varying Volatility of FinancialShocks in Macroeconomic Fluctuations2018

    • Author(s)
      Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    • Organizer
      Nangyang, Hangyang, Kobe University Joint Seminar
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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