• Search Research Projects
  • Search Researchers
  • How to Use
  1. Back to previous page

INTEGRATED RISK ASSESSMENT AND COUNTERMEASURE METHOD FOR TSUNAMI AND STORM SURGE USING SURVIVAL PROBABILITY

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K04652
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 25030:Disaster prevention engineering-related
Research InstitutionIbaraki University

Principal Investigator

Nobuoka Hisamichi  茨城大学, 理工学研究科(工学野), 教授 (00250986)

Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords生存確率 / リスクマップ / ハザードマップ / 津波 / 高潮 / 統合リスク / リスク低減 / 減災 / ハード対策 / ソフト対策 / リスク評価 / 地域強靭化 / リスク / 極値 / 確率 / 地震
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study proposes an evaluation method including the countermeasures to secure an acceptable survival probability against natural disasters those were tsunami and storm surge along coastal zones. This study showed that the integrated mortality risk can be calculated for multiple water disasters of a wide range by using the method proposed in this study, and the effectiveness of risk integration can be also expressed. In addition, we confirmed that it is possible to set an acceptable risk as a reduction target for integrated risk and to consider appropriate disaster reduction countermeasures according to the reduction target.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

平成23年(2011年)東北地方太平洋沖地震津波による原子力発電所事故を受け,科学にはあらゆるリスクの想定と対処が求められた.2020年から世界を襲った疫病であるCovid-19においては、社会にリスクがないゼロリスクと通常の社会活動との両立は困難であるとの認識が世の中に広まった.
これらに対して沿岸域の巨大災害である津波と高潮を統合したリスクの提示、評価方法および社会が許容できるレベルまでリスクを低下させる施策に対する評価までを行える手法を本研究で構築した点が学術的に新しく、また社会からの科学への要請に応えた点でもある.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (17 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 8 results) Presentation (9 results)

  • [Journal Article] INTEGRATED RISK ASSESSMENT METHOD FOR TSUNAMI AND STORM SURGE USING SURVIVAL PROBABILITY2022

    • Author(s)
      小林 道彰, 信岡 尚道
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

      Volume: 78 Issue: 2 Pages: I_289-I_294

    • DOI

      10.2208/kaigan.78.2_I_289

    • ISSN
      1883-8944, 1884-2399
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] PROBABILISTIC TYPHOON MODEL BASED ON THE PASSED TYPHOON TRACK DATA WITH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE2021

    • Author(s)
      信岡 尚道, 笹生 凌太郎
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 2 Pages: I_61-I_66

    • DOI

      10.2208/kaigan.77.2_I_61

    • NAID

      130008113316

    • ISSN
      1883-8944, 1884-2399
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A BASIC STUDY ON INTEGRATED RISK ASSESSMENT ON TSUNAMI AND STORM SURGE2020

    • Author(s)
      小林 道彰, 信岡 尚道
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

      Volume: 76 Issue: 2 Pages: I_1243-I_1248

    • DOI

      10.2208/kaigan.76.2_I_1243

    • NAID

      130007935801

    • ISSN
      1883-8944, 1884-2399
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A BASIC STUDY ON STOCHASTIC TYPHOON MODEL BASED ON SELECTION OF DATA FOCUSING ON A TARGET AREA2020

    • Author(s)
      信岡 尚道, 佐藤 直宗
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

      Volume: 76 Issue: 2 Pages: I_1225-I_1230

    • DOI

      10.2208/kaigan.76.2_I_1225

    • NAID

      130007935746

    • ISSN
      1883-8944, 1884-2399
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Residual Tsunami Risk After the Reconstruction Projects in Fukushima Prefecture, Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      H. Nobuoka and T. Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Asian and Pacific Coasts

      Volume: 10 Pages: 1359-1365

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-981-15-0291-0_184

    • ISBN
      9789811502903, 9789811502910
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] STORM SURGE BY STOCHASTIC CYCLONE MODEL BASED ON LOCAL MAXIMUM DATA OF EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM2019

    • Author(s)
      信岡 尚道, 海老根 尚之
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

      Volume: 75 Issue: 2 Pages: I_253-I_258

    • DOI

      10.2208/kaigan.75.I_253

    • NAID

      130007730197

    • ISSN
      1883-8944, 1884-2399
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] BASIC EXAMINATION OF APPLICABILITY OF GR LAW IN PROBABILISTIC TSUNAMI HAZARD ASSESSMENT2018

    • Author(s)
      NOBUOKA Hisamichi、KONISHI Youtarou
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

      Volume: 74 Issue: 2 Pages: I_433-I_438

    • DOI

      10.2208/kaigan.74.I_433

    • NAID

      130007504024

    • ISSN
      1883-8944, 1884-2399
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] THE BASIC STUDY ON TSUNAMI DISASTER MITIGATION MEASURES BASED ON SURVIVAL PROBABILITY2018

    • Author(s)
      NOBUOKA Hisamichi、KAMAYA Hideaki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

      Volume: 74 Issue: 2 Pages: I_481-I_486

    • DOI

      10.2208/kaigan.74.I_481

    • NAID

      130007504002

    • ISSN
      1883-8944, 1884-2399
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 巨大津波の河川遡上対策に関する基礎的研究2023

    • Author(s)
      桧山あみ,信岡尚道
    • Organizer
      土木学会関東支部 第50回技術研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 福島県いわき市新舞子浜海岸林による津波減衰効果2023

    • Author(s)
      塚越 大地,信岡尚道
    • Organizer
      土木学会関東支部 第50回技術研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 閖上地区の津波防災移転事業における費用便益分析2023

    • Author(s)
      本郷 真子,信岡尚道
    • Organizer
      土木学会関東支部 第50回技術研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大洗町旧堤防の津波減災効果の検証2023

    • Author(s)
      佐々木 花衣,信岡尚道
    • Organizer
      土木学会関東支部 第50回技術研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 津波の減衰効果に関わる砂丘の価値の試算2023

    • Author(s)
      板谷 智仁,信岡尚道
    • Organizer
      土木学会関東支部 第50回技術研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 領域を拡大させ適用したG-R則を用いた確率津波評価の検討2019

    • Author(s)
      小西庸太郎,信岡尚道
    • Organizer
      第46回土木学会関東支部技術研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 多角的な費用便益に基づく津波減災におけるハード対策の選択に関する検討2019

    • Author(s)
      中野敬太,信岡尚道
    • Organizer
      第46回土木学会関東支部技術研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 確率的低気圧モデルの季節属性が高潮偏差に及ぼす影響2019

    • Author(s)
      海老根尚之,信岡尚道
    • Organizer
      第46回土木学会関東支部技術研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 津波減衰に及ぼす盛土幅と底面摩擦に関する考察2019

    • Author(s)
      張瑞豊,信岡尚道
    • Organizer
      第46回土木学会関東支部技術研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2024-01-30  

Information User Guide FAQ News Terms of Use Attribution of KAKENHI

Powered by NII kakenhi