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Empirical Analysis on Fiscal Consolidation of Local Governments

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19H01500
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 07050:Public economics and labor economics-related
Research InstitutionKeio University

Principal Investigator

DOI TAKERO  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部(三田), 教授 (60302783)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 広田 啓朗  武蔵大学, 経済学部, 教授 (10553141)
別所 俊一郎  東京大学, 大学院経済学研究科(経済学部), 准教授 (90436741)
Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥10,920,000 (Direct Cost: ¥8,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,520,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Keywords地方財政 / 財務書類 / 公会計改革 / 財政ルール / 個人住民税 / 財政健全化 / 地方税 / 地方分権改革 / 公会計
Outline of Research at the Start

本研究の概要は,財政を規律付ける仕組みとして何が有効か,有効性を左右する政治的・社会経済的要因は何か,その程度はどれほどか,ということである.そのために本研究では日本の地方政府を題材に採る.日本では中央・地方政府とも公債残高が累増し,その政治的原因についても多く論じられてきたが,財政を規律付ける仕組みの効果や副作用について学術的に検討した研究はそれほど多くない.本研究では,説明責任や情報公開に関して地方公会計の整備,財政ルールの回避に関連して予算と決算の乖離に注目する.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

The purpose of this research was to conduct a quantitative analysis of the mechanisms of fiscal consolidation using data from Japanese local governments. The results of this research are as follows. We obtained the results of the analysis on the impact of the creation of new financial statements under the local public accounting reform, are that the creation of financial statements has no impact on total expenditure, but has a negative impact on social assistance expenses. We also conducted a microsimulation analysis of the impact of the individual inhabitant tax, a local tax, on households using the Japan Household Panel Survey, and analyzed the impact of a series of individual income tax reforms in Japan in the 2010s on the tax burden and disposable income of households. The results of the analysis suggest the importance of securing tax revenue to improve fiscal consolidation of local governments by understanding the status of household tax burden and income.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

財政赤字が常態化し政府債務が累増しているわが国において、財政健全化に向けた効果的な取組について、次のような学術的意義と社会的意義があったと考えられる。学術的意義としては、2010年代までに実施された地方公会計改革の効果を適切な分析手法を用いて、国際的な査読誌に掲載される形でその効果を明らかにした。また、2010年代に実施された一連の所得税改革が、個人住民税等を通じて与えた所得再分配効果を、初めて明らかにした。これは、今後の財政健全化のために必要な税制改革を考える上で有益な示唆を与えるものとして、社会的に意義があると考えられる。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2022 Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (29 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019

All Journal Article (12 results) (of which Open Access: 4 results,  Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (16 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 7 results,  Invited: 1 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 2010年代における所得税改革の所得再分配効果-各税制改正が与えた影響のマイクロシミュレーション分析-2022

    • Author(s)
      土居丈朗
    • Journal Title

      PRI Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 22A-05

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Fiscal rules and creative accounting: Evidence from Japanese municipalities2022

    • Author(s)
      Hirota Haruaki、Yunoue Hideo
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 63 Pages: 101172-101172

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jjie.2021.101172

    • NAID

      210000183116

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Do public account financial statements matter?: Evidence from Japanese municipalities2021

    • Author(s)
      Shun-ichiro Bessho and Haruaki Hirota
    • Journal Title

      CIRJE Discussion paper

      Volume: CIRJE-F-1172

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 地域財政乗数と高齢化2021

    • Author(s)
      別所俊一郎
    • Journal Title

      フィナンシャル・レビュー

      Volume: 145 Pages: 15-31

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Public investment and the fiscal common pool problem on municipal mergers in Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      Hirota Haruaki、Yunoue Hideo
    • Journal Title

      Economic Analysis and Policy

      Volume: 67 Pages: 124-135

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.eap.2020.07.001

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 2020年代の税財政の課題2020

    • Author(s)
      土居丈朗
    • Journal Title

      日経研月報

      Volume: 502 Pages: 4-16

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] "The effects of the new fiscal rule and creative accounting: Empirical evidence from Japanese municipalities"2020

    • Author(s)
      Haruaki Hirota and Hideo Yunoue
    • Journal Title

      MPRA paper

      Volume: 98861

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] "Public investment and the fiscal common pool problem on municipal mergers in Japan"2020

    • Author(s)
      Haruaki Hirota and Hideo Yunoue
    • Journal Title

      MPRA paper

      Volume: 98862

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 「平成の大合併から15年 地方財政の行方は?」2019

    • Author(s)
      広田啓朗
    • Journal Title

      週刊東洋経済

      Volume: 2019年11月30日号 Pages: 102-103

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 「消費増税後の財政と社会保障」2019

    • Author(s)
      土居丈朗
    • Journal Title

      日経研月報

      Volume: 2019年5月号 Pages: 4-15

    • NAID

      40021908606

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 「デジタル課税の経済学的性質」2019

    • Author(s)
      土居丈朗
    • Journal Title

      租税研究

      Volume: 839 Pages: 14-18

    • NAID

      40021993663

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 「財政のフューチャー・デザイン 最後の機会」2019

    • Author(s)
      和泉徹彦、駒村康平、土居丈朗、林正義、小澤太郎
    • Journal Title

      日本租税研究協会第71回(創立70周年)租税研究大会記録

      Volume: 71 Pages: 80-124

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] Income redistribution effects of the Japanese personal income tax reforms in the 2010s2023

    • Author(s)
      Takero Doi
    • Organizer
      Irvine-Japan Conference on Public Policy 2023
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Under control vs self-reconstruction after fiscal bankruptcy on municipalities2022

    • Author(s)
      Haruaki Hirota and Hideo Yunoue
    • Organizer
      六甲台財政・公共経済セミナー
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Fiscal rules and creative accounting: Evidence from Japanese municipalities2021

    • Author(s)
      Haruaki Hirota and Hideo Yunoue
    • Organizer
      東京大学CIRJE財政ワークショップ
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Do public account financial statements matter? Evidence from Japanese municipalities2021

    • Author(s)
      Shun-ichiro Bessho and Haruaki Hirota
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2021年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] "Do public account financial statements matter? Evidence from Japanese municipalities"2020

    • Author(s)
      Shun-ichiro Bessho and Haruaki Hirota
    • Organizer
      日本財政学会第77回大会,オンライン
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] "Do public account financial statements matter? Evidence from Japanese municipalities"2020

    • Author(s)
      Shun-ichiro Bessho and Haruaki Hirota
    • Organizer
      76th Annual Congress of the International Institute of Public Finance,オンライン
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Under control vs self-reconstruction after fiscal bankruptcy on municipalities"2020

    • Author(s)
      Haruaki Hirota and Hideo Yunoue
    • Organizer
      76th Annual Congress of the International Institute of Public Finance,オンライン
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Do public account financial statements matter? Evidence from Japanese municipalities"2020

    • Author(s)
      Shun-ichiro Bessho and Haruaki Hirota
    • Organizer
      5th Belgian-Japanese Public Finance Workshop
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Under control vs self-reconstruction after fiscal bankruptcy on municipalities"2019

    • Author(s)
      Haruaki Hirota and Hideo Yunoue
    • Organizer
      慶応義塾大学経済研究所応用経済学ワークショップ
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 財政学・公共経済学分野における疑似実験手法の適用について2019

    • Author(s)
      広田啓朗
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会第1回秋季研究大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] "Under control vs self-reconstruction after fiscal bankruptcy on municipalities"2019

    • Author(s)
      Haruaki Hirota and Hideo Yunoue
    • Organizer
      2019 Australasian Public Choice Conference
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Under control vs self-reconstruction after fiscal bankruptcy on municipalities"2019

    • Author(s)
      Haruaki Hirota and Hideo Yunoue
    • Organizer
      2019年度第1回地方財政研究会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] "Income redistribution effect of sequential personal income tax reforms ―A microsimulation analysis in Japan―"2019

    • Author(s)
      Takero Doi and Hiroaki Kurita
    • Organizer
      75th Annual Congress of the International Institute of Public Finance
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Income redistribution effect of sequential personal income tax reforms ―A microsimulation analysis in Japan―"2019

    • Author(s)
      Takero Doi and Hiroaki Kurita
    • Organizer
      72nd European Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Income redistribution effect of sequential personal income tax reforms ―A microsimulation analysis in Japan―"2019

    • Author(s)
      Takero Doi and Hiroaki Kurita
    • Organizer
      日本財政学会第76回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] "Income redistribution effect of sequential personal income tax reforms ―A microsimulation analysis in Japan―"2019

    • Author(s)
      Takero Doi and Hiroaki Kurita
    • Organizer
      財政学に関するコンファレンス
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 平成の経済政策はどう決められたか2020

    • Author(s)
      土居丈朗
    • Total Pages
      352
    • Publisher
      中央公論新社
    • ISBN
      9784121101075
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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