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Creative Destruction in the International State System

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19K01605
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

Weese Eric  東京大学, 社会科学研究所, 准教授 (50777844)

Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
KeywordsBalance of power / Creative destruction / War / Alliances / Territorial change / Coalition formation / Balance of Power / Country dyads / Political boundaries / Boundary changes / Historical GIS / Schumpeterian growth
Outline of Research at the Start

Competition between firms is regarded as beneficial, as more productive firms take market share from less productive firms. Does the same thing happen with countries? Over 850 years of european history, have better managed countries expanded, taking over territory from less well-run neighbours?

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research project focussed mainly on analyzing all changes in European boundaries over roughly the past 1000 years. Our first set of results examined cities that switched control between different European states. The switch was destructive in the short term but in the long term increased the size of the cities as switches tended to be towards more productive states.
Our second set of results concerns when territorial transfers between states involve war. Our data shows that the vast majority of these transfers are peaceful. A war is more likely to occur when the sides to the dispute are more evenly matched. This may be because this is when the outcome is uncertain: in cases where the sides are unevenly matched, war will generally not occur because the winner could be predicted in advance.
A final aspect of this research project looked at the UN security council. We found that states that were asked to (and did) comply with resolutions were more likely to be elected.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

The relative power of different countries changes over time. Are some changes or configurations particularly likely to lead to war? Is the rise of China likely to lead to military conflict? Based on the last 1000 years of European history, wars are more likely when powers are evenly matched.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (7 results)

All 2021 2020 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (1 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (1 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Stockholm University(スウェーデン)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Stockholm University(スウェーデン)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Insurgent Learning2020

    • Author(s)
      Trebbi Francesco、Weese Eric、Wright Austin L.、Shaver Andrew
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy

      Volume: 1 Issue: 3 Pages: 417-448

    • DOI

      10.1561/113.00000013

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Inefficiency and Self-Determination2021

    • Author(s)
      Eric Weese
    • Organizer
      Osaka University ISER seminar series
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Personal website

    • URL

      https://www.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/mystaff/weese_e.html

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Coauthor website

    • URL

      https://johanncaroburnett.com/

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Coauthor website

    • URL

      https://www.davidschonholzer.com/

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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