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On the effect of fiscal rules and political factors on fiscal policy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19K01698
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 07050:Public economics and labor economics-related
Research InstitutionOsaka Metropolitan University (2022)
Osaka City University (2019-2021)

Principal Investigator

Okazawa Ryosuke  大阪公立大学, 大学院経済学研究科, 准教授 (30707998)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 小川 亮  大阪公立大学, 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (40707999)
木村 真  兵庫県立大学, シミュレーション学研究科, 教授 (50419959)
水野 伸宏  大阪経済大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (60584505)
Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords政治経済 / 財政政策 / 地方債 / 政治経済学 / 地方分権
Outline of Research at the Start

日本の市区町村データを用いて、財政ルールが自治体の財政政策にどのような影響を与えるのかを明らかにする。具体的には、2006年に行われた地方債の起債制度の変更 (許可制度から協議制度への移行) が、自治体の財政赤字、支出、あるいは政策を通じて地方経済へどのような影響を与えたのかという問題について、新ルールが有している制度的特徴を利用した準実験的な分析アプローチ (quasi experimental approach) を用いて財政制度の因果的効果を推定する。また、得られた推定結果をもとに、財政ルールと財政規律の関係を政治経済学の理論モデルを用いて検証する。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

We were not able to complete all of the planned analyses of the empirical research during the study period. The reason for this is that several econometric problems were found in the implementation of the originally planned research methods, and it took a great deal of time to find ways to overcome these problems. On the other hand, we were able to obtain some results in theoretical analysis, such as the study by Mizuno and Okazawa (2022), which was published in an international academic journal.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

Mizuno and Okazawa (2022) では、なぜ必ずしも有権者が有能な政治家に投票しないのかという問題について理論的な解釈を提示している。この問題は近年のポピュリズム等の問題を考える上でも重要なテーマであり、合理的な有権者があえて有能な政治家を選好しないことの理由を提示している。有能な政治家ほど有権者の意向を配慮することを信頼できる形で約束できないという可能性は既存の先行研究とは異なる指摘であり、ポピュリズムの問題を考察する上で意義のある研究であると思われる。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (19 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (11 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Why do voters elect less qualified candidates?2022

    • Author(s)
      Mizuno Nobuhiro、Okazawa Ryosuke
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Theoretical Politics

      Volume: 34 Issue: 3 Pages: 443-477

    • DOI

      10.1177/09516298221103143

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 地方自治体の「統一的な基準による財務書類」の作成状況に関する分析2022

    • Author(s)
      木村 真
    • Journal Title

      年報 公共政策学

      Volume: 16 Pages: 101-114

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Population Aging and the Impact on Industrial Structure in Japan from a Multi-Sector OLG-CGE Model Perspective2021

    • Author(s)
      Shin Kimura
    • Journal Title

      The Economic Analysis

      Volume: 202 Pages: 101-124

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 人口減少と高齢化が進む中山間地域在住高齢者における訪問看護認知度とその関連項目の検討2021

    • Author(s)
      李錦純, 山本大祐, 眞鍋雅史, 増野園恵, 木村真, 牛尾裕子, 森菊
    • Journal Title

      厚生の指標

      Volume: 68(4) Pages: 17-24

    • NAID

      40022555030

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] マクロ経済スライドの現状と課題(発動と終了の条件)2020

    • Author(s)
      木村 真
    • Journal Title

      社会保障研究

      Volume: 4巻4号 Pages: 470-486

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] マクロ経済スライドの現状と課題(発動と終了の条件)2020

    • Author(s)
      木村 真
    • Journal Title

      社会保障研究

      Volume: 第4巻第4号 Pages: 470-486

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Intergenerational Conflict Over Consumption Tax Hike: Evidence from Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Ryosuke Okazawa and Katsuya Takii
    • Journal Title

      OSIPP Discussion Paper

      Volume: DP-2019-E-009 Pages: 1-62

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 財政検証の見通しと実績値との乖離の要因分析2019

    • Author(s)
      吉田周平,木村 真
    • Journal Title

      日本年金学会誌

      Volume: 38 Pages: 86-91

    • NAID

      130007651039

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] A dynamic theory of meritocratic bureaucracy2023

    • Author(s)
      岡澤亮介
    • Organizer
      人材配置の経済学 コンファレンス
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A dynamic theory of meritocratic bureaucracy2022

    • Author(s)
      岡澤亮介
    • Organizer
      公共選択学会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Investment Risk-taking and Benefit Adequacy under Automatic Balancing Mechanism in Public Pension System in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Shin Kimura, Tomoki Kitamura, Kunio Nakashima
    • Organizer
      ASSA (the Allied Social Science Associations) 2022 Virtual Annual Meeting
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Investment Risk-taking and Benefit Adequacy under Automatic Balancing Mechanism in Public Pension System in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Shin Kimura, Tomoki Kitamura, Kunio Nakashima
    • Organizer
      SEA (Southern Economic Association) 91st Annual Meetings
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Investment Risk-taking and Benefit Adequacy under Automatic Balancing Mechanism in Public Pension System in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Shin Kimura, Tomoki Kitamura, Kunio Nakashima
    • Organizer
      日本財政学会・第78回大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 遠隔による医療・調剤処方のあり方についての研究~オンライン診療の普及について2021

    • Author(s)
      青野赳大, 木村真
    • Organizer
      兵庫県立大学「知の交流」シンポジウム2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 乳幼児医療費助成が医療費に与える影響:釧路市個票デ ータによる実証分析2020

    • Author(s)
      木村 真, 中川史津香
    • Organizer
      日本財政学会第77回大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Local Fiscal Consolidation and Migration: Quasi-experimental Evidence from the Fiscal Rule Reform in Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Ryoh Ogawa, Shin Kimura
    • Organizer
      The 75th IIPF(International Institute of Public Finance) Annual Congress
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Why do voters elect less qualified candidates?2019

    • Author(s)
      Nobuhiro Mizuno
    • Organizer
      PET 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Why do voters elect less qualified candidates?2019

    • Author(s)
      水野伸宏
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会春季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Why do voters elect less qualified candidates?2019

    • Author(s)
      水野伸宏
    • Organizer
      公共選択学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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