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A new fault-valve model based on a geological approach

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19K04046
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 17040:Solid earth sciences-related
Research InstitutionNational Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology

Principal Investigator

Otsubo Makoto  国立研究開発法人産業技術総合研究所, 地質調査総合センター, 研究グループ長 (70443174)

Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Keywords南海トラフ / 地震 / 鉱物脈 / 亀裂 / 流体移動 / 流体圧 / スロー地震 / 海溝型地震 / 流体 / 応力 / 断層 / クラック / 石英 / 間隙水圧 / 沈み込み帯
Outline of Research at the Start

本研究は,①海溝型巨大地震発生前後での断層周辺における間隙水圧の時間変化と②地震発生後のプレート境界に沿った断層強度の回復量を推定し,南海トラフ地震評価のための基礎資料を提供する.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

Using the poroelastic model of quartz veins filling extensional fractures in the Shimanto Belt, the formation of extensional fractures releases at most a few percent of the total pore pressure at depths of up to 8 km, indicating that the pore pressure near giant branch faults was close to lithostatic pressure throughout the entire earthquake cycle. The pore water pressure near the giant bifurcation fault was close to the static rock pressure throughout the entire earthquake cycle. A negative correlation was found between the amount of fluid pressure that exceeded the minimum principal stress and the spacing of mineral veins.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

研究成果は地震後の伸張性亀裂による間隙流体圧の低下が巨大分岐断層の断層強度を増加させるのにほとんど寄与せず,つまり,断層面付近は間隙流体圧が高い状態が維持されている可能性を示す.また,鉱物脈同士の間隔はスロー地震の発生サイクル内での間隙流体圧の過剰分の時間変化の結果である可能性があり,間隙流体圧の過剰分がスロー地震のサイズを規定する可能性がある.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Presentation (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] 米国地質調査所(USGS)(米国)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] 米国地質調査所(米国)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of paleo-permeability around a seismogenic fault based on permeability tensor from observable geometric information of quartz veins2022

    • Author(s)
      Hosono, H., Takemura, T., Asahina, D., Otsubo, M.
    • Journal Title

      Earth, Planets and Space 74

      Volume: 74 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-13

    • DOI

      10.1186/s40623-022-01694-3

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Influence of crustal lithology and the thermal state on microseismicity in the Wakayama region, southern Honshu, Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Maeda, S., Toda, S., Matsuzawa, T., Otsubo, M. and Matsumoto, T.
    • Journal Title

      Earth, Planets and Space

      Volume: 73 Issue: 1 Pages: 173-173

    • DOI

      10.1186/s40623-021-01503-3

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Localized fluid discharge by tensile cracking during the post-seismic period in subduction zones2020

    • Author(s)
      Otsubo Makoto, Hardebeck Jeanne L., Miyakawa Ayumu, Yamaguchi Asuka, Kimura Gaku
    • Journal Title

      Scientific Reports

      Volume: 10 Issue: 1 Pages: 12281-12281

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41598-020-68418-z

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Controls on pore fluid pressure near plate boundaries by fluid discharge and mesoscale mineralization during the seismic cycles of the Nankai Trough2022

    • Author(s)
      Makoto Otsubo, Ayumu Miyakawa, Hanae Saishu, Suguru Yabe, Takahiko Uchide, Kazutoshi Imanishi
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合大会2022年大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] メランジュ面構造に平行な伸長石英脈から見積もられたスロー地震発生サイクル中の間隙流体圧の時間変化2021

    • Author(s)
      大坪 誠, 氏家恒太郎, 最首花恵, 宮川歩夢
    • Organizer
      日本地質学会2021年大会(日本地質学会第128年学術大会)
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Temporal changes in pore fluid pressure during slow earthquake cycle estimated from foliation-parallel extension cracking2021

    • Author(s)
      Otsubo, M., Ujiie, K., Saishu, H., Miyakawa, A., Yamaguchi, A.
    • Organizer
      European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Application of permeability tensor theory to understand paleo-fluid behavior around the out-of-sequence thrust based on observable veins geometric information2021

    • Author(s)
      Hosono, H., Takemura, T., Asahina, D., Otsubo, M.
    • Organizer
      American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 鉱物脈の姿勢情報から推定する分岐断層沿いの流体挙動ー宮崎県延岡衝上断層での透水係数の推定ー2021

    • Author(s)
      細野日向子, 竹村貴人, 朝比奈大輔, 大坪 誠
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2021年大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 分岐断層の陸上アナログから推定するダメージゾーンにおける地震発生後の固有透水係数2021

    • Author(s)
      細野日向子, 竹村貴人, 朝比奈大輔, 大坪 誠
    • Organizer
      日本地質学会2021年大会(日本地質学会第128年学術大会)
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] Makoto Otsubo Web site

    • URL

      https://staff.aist.go.jp/otsubo-m/indexj.html

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] プレスリリース:プレート境界付近に存在する水は地震後も高い圧力を保持(2020/08/03)

    • URL

      https://www.aist.go.jp/aist_j/press_release/pr2020/pr20200803/pr20200803.html

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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