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Statistical Estimation of Optimal Portfolios for Dependent Returns of Assets

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20730147
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionJikei University School of Medicine (2009-2011)
Waseda University (2008)

Principal Investigator

SHIRAISHI Hiroshi  東京慈恵会医科大学, 医学部, 講師 (90454024)

Project Period (FY) 2008 – 2011
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2011)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Keywords計量経済学 / 経済統計学 / 統計数学 / 時系列解析 / 統計的推測 / モデル選択 / 数理ファイナンス / 多変量解析 / データマイニング
Research Abstract

(1) When the financial returns are the ARMA-GARCH process or the time-varying ARCH process, proper resampling(bootstrap) procedures and the optimal portfolio weight estimators are proposed. Moreover, the asymptotic property of these estimators are investigated. Furthermore, the practical use possibility of these techniques are verified using experience data.
(2) Various portfolios other than mean-variance portfolio and the asymptotic property of these estimators are investigated. Especially, investigation of "Pessimistic Portfolio" which optimize the lower partial moment accomplished. Moreover the optimization algorithm in the multi-period problem under a discrete time model and a procedure of ALM(asset and liability management) in pension insurance are proposed.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2011 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2010 Annual Research Report   Self-evaluation Report ( PDF )
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (21 results)

All 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 Other

All Journal Article (13 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 11 results) Presentation (7 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Optimal Portfolios with End-of-Period Target2012

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Shiraishi
    • Journal Title

      Advances in Decision Sciences

      Volume: Volume 2012 Pages: 1-13

    • DOI

      10.1155/2012/703465

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report 2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Resampling procedure to construct estimation error efficient portfolios for stationary returns of assets2010

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Shiraishi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japan Statistical Society

      Volume: 40 Pages: 189-206

    • NAID

      10028089163

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Resampling Procedure to Construct Estimation Error Efficient Portfolios for Stationary Returns of Assets2010

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi, Shiraishi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of The Japan Statistical Society 40

      Pages: 189-206

    • NAID

      10028089163

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Cluster analysis for stable processes2010

    • Author(s)
      Watanabe T, Shiraishi H, Taniguchi M
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Statistics.Theory and Methods

      Volume: 39 Pages: 1630-1642

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Statistical testing for asymptotic no-arbitrage in financial markets.2010

    • Author(s)
      Hatai I, Shiraishi H, Taniguchi M
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Statistics : Advances in Theory and Applications

      Volume: 3 Pages: 27-42

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Statistical estimation of optimal portfolios depending on higher order cumulants2009

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Shiraishi and Masanobu Taniguchi
    • Journal Title

      Annales del' I. S. U. P.

      Volume: 53 Pages: 3-18

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Statistical Estimation of Optimal Portfolios Depending on Higher Order Cumulants2009

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi, Shiraishi, Masanobu, Taniguchi
    • Journal Title

      Annales De L'Institute de Statistique de L'Universite de Paris. 53

      Pages: 3-18

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Statistical Estinlation of Optimal Portfblios depending on Higher Order Cumulants.2009

    • Author(s)
      Taniguchi, Masanobu
    • Journal Title

      Annales de L'I.S.U.P. 1

      Pages: 3-18

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Statistical estimation of optimal portfolios for non-Gaussian dependent returns of assets2008

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Shiraishi and Masanobu Taniguchi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Forecasting

      Volume: 27 Pages: 193-215

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Statistical Estimation of Optimal Portfolios for Non-Gaussian Dependent Returns of Assets2008

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi, Shiraishi, Masanobu, Taniguchi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Forecasting. 27

      Pages: 193-215

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Statistical estimation of optimal portfolios for non-Gaussian dependent returns of assets2008

    • Author(s)
      Shiraishi.H. and Taniguchi, M
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Forecasting 27

      Pages: 193215-193215

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] RESAMPLING PROCEDURE IN ESTIMATION OF OPTIMAL PORTFOLIOS FOR TIME-VARYING ARCH PROCESSES

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Shiraishi
    • Journal Title

      To appear in Scientiae Mathematicae Japonicae

    • NAID

      130007670105

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A Simulation Approach to Statistical Estimation of Multiperiod Optimal Portfolios

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Shiraishi
    • Journal Title

      To appear in Advances in Decision Sciences

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Optimal statistical estimation of portfolios for non-Gaussian dependent returns.2011

    • Author(s)
      Shiraishi H, Taniguchi M
    • Organizer
      Theory and Applications for Time Series Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      Waseda University
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Resampling procedure to construct Value at Risk efficient portfolio for ARMA-GARCH returns of assets2009

    • Author(s)
      白石博
    • Organizer
      日本数学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-28
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Resampling procedure to construct value at risk efficient portfolios for ARMA-GARCH returns of assets.2009

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi, Shiraishi
    • Organizer
      日本数学会2009年度年会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-28
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Presentation] Resampling Procedure to Construct Value at Risk Efficient Portfolios for ARMA-GARCH Returns of Assets2009

    • Author(s)
      白石博
    • Organizer
      日本数学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-28
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Statistical Estimation of Optimal Portfolios for Dependent Returns of Assets2008

    • Author(s)
      白石博
    • Organizer
      日本数学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学(特別講演)
    • Year and Date
      2008-09-26
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Statistical estimation of optimal portfolios for Dependent Returns of Assets2008

    • Author(s)
      白石博
    • Organizer
      日本数学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2008-09-24
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Statistical Estimation of Optimal Portfolios for Dependent Returns of Assets.2008

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi, Shiraishi
    • Organizer
      日本数学会2008年度秋期総合分科会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-09-24
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.hindawi.com/journals/ads/2012/703465/

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2008-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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