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Analysis of Correlation between Estimated Apartment Vacancy Rate and Housing Characteristics

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20K14898
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 23030:Architectural planning and city planning-related
Research InstitutionHitotsubashi University (2023)
Kyoto University (2020-2022)

Principal Investigator

BABA Hiroki  一橋大学, 大学院ソーシャル・データサイエンス研究科, 特任准教授 (60869121)

Project Period (FY) 2020-04-01 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Keywords住宅 / GIS / 空き家 / 人口減少 / スマートメーター / 電力消費量 / マンション / アパート / スマートメータ / 地理情報システム / 統計 / 住宅政策 / 空室 / スマートシティ / 空間統計 / 不動産 / 都市計画 / 共同住宅 / 戸建て住宅
Outline of Research at the Start

住宅供給において重要な役割を果たす共同住宅は、その全数について正確に把握されておらず、どの程度空室が存在するのか明らかではない。共同住宅の地理的分布や空室率は建替えを始め多くの面で重要であるが、十分に整備されていない。
そこで、本研究は既存の共同住宅ストック及び共同住宅空き家率の推定、共同住宅空き家率の多寡が中古市場価格や周辺環境に与える影響に対して分析を行う。その際、民間企業から提供されたデータを活用して共同住宅データベースを構築する。このようなデータベースの構築は、非集計での共同住宅空き家率の影響分析や地理的な傾向把握を可能とし、証拠に基づく政策立案に資するものである。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study estimated the vacancy rate from electricity consumption using electricity smart meter and analyzed the relationship with housing characteristics including rent and the surrounding environment. During the period of the research fund, the vacancy rate of apartment buildings estimated mainly from electricity consumption was analyzed in correlation with rents, including the impact on the surrounding area, and the detached housing vacancy rate per grid area was analyzed in correlation with location characteristics. The results showed that a significant negative correlation existed between apartment rents and building vacancy periods. In addition, structural differences were found between vacant houses and location characteristics divided by city region.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究では、これまで利用されてこなかった電力スマートメータを利用し、現地調査で把握困難であった共同住宅空き家率を長期間でデータ収集し、そのデータを活用したことに意義があるといえる。データ活用の点では、共同住宅空き家率と家賃との関連を分析することで、空室期間に基づく累進的な空き家税の導入など、空き家物件の市場参入を促す施策を検討でき、政策的な議論を活性化できると考えられる。さらに、スマートメータを利用したメッシュ単位での空き家率のデータを用いることで、これまで都市・不動産部門で利用されなかったスマートメータ情報の有用性を示すとともに、空き家期間と包括的な地域特性との関係性を明らかにしたといえる。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (49 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 Other

All Journal Article (22 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 16 results,  Open Access: 17 results) Presentation (24 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 8 results,  Invited: 3 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Entrepreneurial Ecosystems of Local Entrepreneurs and a Social Enterprise to Regenerate Existing Urban Areas2023

    • Author(s)
      Nakajima Hiroki、Baba Hiroki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the City Planning Institute of Japan

      Volume: 58 Issue: 3 Pages: 719-726

    • DOI

      10.11361/journalcpij.58.719

    • ISSN
      0916-0647, 2185-0593
    • Year and Date
      2023-10-25
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The relationship of single-family detached house prices with neighborhood walkability and disaster risk2023

    • Author(s)
      Kim Hongjik, Baba Hiroki, Shimizu Chihiro, Hino Kimihiro
    • Journal Title

      PLOS ONE

      Volume: 18 Issue: 10 Pages: 0292657-0292657

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0292657

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Measurement of spatial inequality using micro-spatial data in Thailand2023

    • Author(s)
      Baba Hiroki
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 1st ACM SIGSPATIAL International Workshop on Geocomputational Analysis of Socio-Economic Data

      Volume: 1 Pages: 1-4

    • DOI

      10.1145/3615892.3628476

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Land and location trends of low-priced sales properties focusing on seller and buyer attributes2022

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹, 清水千弘
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the City Planning Institute of Japan

      Volume: 57 Issue: 3 Pages: 792-799

    • DOI

      10.11361/journalcpij.57.792

    • ISSN
      0916-0647, 2185-0593
    • Year and Date
      2022-10-25
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Accuracy of vacant housing detection models: an empirical evaluation using municipal and national census datasets2022

    • Author(s)
      Sayuda, K., Hong, E., Akiyama, Y., Baba, H., Tokudomi, T., Akatani, T.
    • Journal Title

      Transactions in GIS

      Volume: forthcoming Issue: 7 Pages: 3003-3027

    • DOI

      10.1111/tgis.12992

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Scalable spatiotemporal regression model based on Moran’s eigenvectors2022

    • Author(s)
      Nishi, H., Asami, Y., Baba, H., Shimizu, C.
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Geographical Information Science

      Volume: forthcoming Issue: 1 Pages: 162-188

    • DOI

      10.1080/13658816.2022.2100891

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] <b>Policies and Tax Systems for Regulating Vacant Houses</b>2022

    • Author(s)
      Baba, H., Ruiz-Varona, A., Asami, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Urban and Regional Planning Review

      Volume: 9 Issue: 0 Pages: 153-166

    • DOI

      10.14398/urpr.9.153

    • ISSN
      2187-3399
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The impact of apartment vacancies on nearby housing rents over multiple time periods: Application of smart meter data2022

    • Author(s)
      Baba, H., Shimizu, C.
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis

      Volume: forthcoming Issue: 7 Pages: 27-41

    • DOI

      10.1108/ijhma-03-2022-0035

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 所有権移転の把握に向けた階層的マンションデータベースの構築?東京都世田谷区での不動産流動の把握2022

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹
    • Journal Title

      地理情報システム学会講演論文集

      Volume: 31

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] スマートメータを利用した空き家期間と地域特性との関係分析―群馬県前橋市を対象として2022

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹, 秋山祐樹, 清水千弘
    • Journal Title

      GIS-理論と応用

      Volume: 30(1)

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] SOPHISTICATION OF MONITORING METHOD FOR SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF VACANT HOUSES USING MACHINE LEARNING2021

    • Author(s)
      秋山祐樹, 馬場弘樹, 大野佳哉, 髙岡英生
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Architecture and Planning (Transactions of AIJ)

      Volume: 86 Issue: 786 Pages: 2136-2146

    • DOI

      10.3130/aija.86.2136

    • NAID

      130008080506

    • ISSN
      1340-4210, 1881-8161
    • Year and Date
      2021-08-30
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Attitudes of parents and children toward housing inheritance in a Tokyo suburb2021

    • Author(s)
      Hino Kimihiro、Mizutani Kyoya、Asami Yasushi、Baba Hiroki、Ishii Norimitsu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering

      Volume: - Issue: 5 Pages: 1-10

    • DOI

      10.1080/13467581.2021.1964976

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] DEVELOPING PREDICTIVE MODEL FOR VACANT HOUSING DISTRIBUTION USING MUNICIPALITY-OWNED DATA —CASE STUDY IN MAEBASHI CITY—2021

    • Author(s)
      馬場弘樹, 秋山祐樹, 谷内田修
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 2 Pages: 62-71

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.77.2_62

    • NAID

      130008040583

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 所有権移転登記情報からみた不動産市場の流動性 -不動産流動統計を用いた分析-2021

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹, 眞木仁, 高野佳佑, 清水千弘
    • Journal Title

      CSIS Discussion Paper (The Universit

      Volume: 173

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 気候変動と不動産取引 ― 不動産価格に対する洪水のインパクト2021

    • Author(s)
      清水勇蔵, 馬塲弘樹
    • Journal Title

      日本不動産学会誌

      Volume: 35(1) Pages: 112-117

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Cost-efficient factors in local public spending: Detecting relationships between local environments, population size and urban area category2021

    • Author(s)
      Baba Hiroki、Asami Yasushi
    • Journal Title

      Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science

      Volume: 154 Issue: 1 Pages: 883-883

    • DOI

      10.1177/23998083211003883

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 不動産取引データベースの網羅性向上を目的とした不動産募集広告情報のレコード同定2021

    • Author(s)
      馬場弘樹、関口知子、清田陽司、清水千弘
    • Journal Title

      情報処理学会論文誌データベース (TOD)

      Volume: 14(1) Pages: 18-29

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Factors and spatial distribution of rebuilding of old condominium2020

    • Author(s)
      馬場 弘樹、清水 千弘、浅見 泰司
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the City Planning Institute of Japan

      Volume: 55 Issue: 3 Pages: 1143-1150

    • DOI

      10.11361/journalcpij.55.1143

    • NAID

      130007930019

    • ISSN
      0916-0647, 2185-0593
    • Year and Date
      2020-10-25
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] LEARNING GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION OF VACANT HOUSES USING CLOSED MUNICIPAL DATA: A CASE STUDY OF WAKAYAMA CITY, JAPAN2020

    • Author(s)
      Baba H., Akiyama Y., Tokudomi T., Takahashi Y.
    • Journal Title

      ISPRS Annals of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences

      Volume: VI-4/W2-2020 Pages: 1-8

    • DOI

      10.5194/isprs-annals-vi-4-w2-2020-1-2020

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 高経年マンションの地理的分布とその集積傾向2020

    • Author(s)
      馬場弘樹
    • Journal Title

      地理情報システム学会講演論文集

      Volume: 29 Pages: 1-6

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Dynamic Hedonic Analysis Using Time-Varying Coefficients: Application to Dubai’s Housing Market2020

    • Author(s)
      Baba H., Nishi H., Seetharamapura AM., Shimizu, C.
    • Journal Title

      CSIS Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 170 Pages: 1-17

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Walkabilityと不動産価値: Walkability Indexの開発2020

    • Author(s)
      清水千弘、馬場弘樹、川除隆広、松縄暢
    • Journal Title

      CSIS Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 163 Pages: 1-15

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] Creating indicators for accessibility inequality from micro-spatial data: A case study of Thailand2023

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Baba
    • Organizer
      IGARSS 2023
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Characteristics of Low-Priced Sales Properties Focusing on the Attributes Between Sellers and Buyers2023

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Baba, Chihiro Shimizu
    • Organizer
      Asian-Pacific Planning Societies 2023
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Japan's housing problems caused by sluggish housing demand2023

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Baba
    • Organizer
      國立政治大學地政學系不動産發展論壇
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Measurement of spatial inequality using micro-spatial data in Thailand2023

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Baba
    • Organizer
      1st ACM SIGSPATIAL International Workshop on Geocomputational Analysis of Socio-Economic Data
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 地域起業家と社会的企業を主とする起業エコシステムを通じた既成市街地の再生2023

    • Author(s)
      中島弘貴, 馬塲弘樹
    • Organizer
      日本都市計画学会2023年度全国大会
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 旧耐震分譲マンションの管理に関する意向調査とその傾向-首都圏一都三県を対象として-2023

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会第32回学術研究発表大会
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 統計データを活用した空き家対策重点地域の推定2023

    • Author(s)
      水谷昂太郎, 秋山祐樹, 馬塲弘樹
    • Organizer
      CSIS DAYS 2023
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Estimating the spatial distribution of vacant houses with machine learning using municipal data2022

    • Author(s)
      Kento Tomita, Yuki Akiyama, Hiroki Baba, Osamu Yachida
    • Organizer
      IGARSS 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 売り手と買い手の属性に着目した低額売買物件の土地・立地傾向2022

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹, 清水千弘
    • Organizer
      日本都市計画学会2022年度全国大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 自治体保有データ用いた機械学習による空き家の分布推定手法2022

    • Author(s)
      冨田健人, 秋山祐樹, 馬塲弘樹, 谷内田修
    • Organizer
      第65回土木計画学研究発表会・春大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 地理情報から住みよいまちを考える: Walkability indexの開発と賃貸住宅との関係2022

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹
    • Organizer
      2022年度 人工知能学会全国大会(第36回)
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] スマートメータを利用した空き家期間と地域特性との関係分析2022

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹
    • Organizer
      第31回地理情報システム学会研究発表大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 所有権移転の把握に向けた階層的マンションデータベースの構築2022

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹, 眞木仁, 清水千弘
    • Organizer
      第31回地理情報システム学会研究発表大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] スマートメータからみた空き家の立地と地域特性との関連2022

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹
    • Organizer
      CSIS DAYS 2022 特別セッション
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Scalable Spatio-Temporal Regression Model using Moran’s Eigenvector and Its Application to the Housing Market2021

    • Author(s)
      Hayato Nishi, Yasushi Asami, Chihiro Shimizu, Hiroki Baba
    • Organizer
      XV World Conference of Spatial Econometrics Association
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 不動産取引データベースの網羅性向上を目的とした不動産募集広告情報のレコード同定2021

    • Author(s)
      馬塲 弘樹, 関口 知子, 清田 陽司, 清水 千弘
    • Organizer
      2021年度人工知能学会全国大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Efficient population size of fire protection services considering intermunicipal cooperation2021

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会第58回(2021年)年次大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 新たなデータ資源に着目した空き家推定の展開2021

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹
    • Organizer
      都市計画学会2021年度全国大会(第56回論文発表会)
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Spatial Inequality in Accessibility of Urban Facilities in Thailand2021

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Baba
    • Organizer
      KASEAS-CSEAS Joint Conference 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] バンコクにおける都市施設へのアクセシビリティとその格差2021

    • Author(s)
      馬塲弘樹
    • Organizer
      CSIS DAYS 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Learning Geographical Distribution of Vacant Houses Using Closed Municipal Data: A Case Study of Wakayama City, Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      Baba, H., Akiyama, Y., Tokudomi, T., and Takahashi, Y.
    • Organizer
      5th International Conference on Smart Data and Smart Cities
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 高経年マンションにおける集積傾向と建物特性との関係2020

    • Author(s)
      馬場弘樹
    • Organizer
      CSIS DAYS 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 旧耐震マンションの建替え要因の傾向と建替え予測の空間分布: 首都圏を対象として2020

    • Author(s)
      馬場弘樹、清水千弘、浅見泰司
    • Organizer
      日本都市計画学会2020年度全国大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 高経年マンションの地理的分布とその集積傾向2020

    • Author(s)
      馬場弘樹
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会第29回学術研究発表大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 不動産テック2020

    • Author(s)
      清水千弘編著
    • Total Pages
      216
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
    • ISBN
      9784254275872
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] Home

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/view/hbaba/

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Researchmap

    • URL

      https://researchmap.jp/hbaba

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2020-04-28   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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