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Empirical study and construction of stochastic processes on the long memory property of the time series of trade signs in a stock market.

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21510146
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionOkayama University

Principal Investigator

MURAI Joshin  岡山大学, 社会文化科学研究科, 教授 (00294447)

Project Period (FY) 2009-04-01 – 2014-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Keywords非整数ブラウン運動 / Hurst指数 / 取引符号 / 長期記憶
Research Abstract

We study the influence of the trader's investment strategy on the long memory property of the time series of trade signs in a stock market, using the stochastic process. We present a discrete time stochastic process for polymer model which describes trader's trading strategy to split his or her order into small pieces, and prove that its scaled process converges to superposition of multiple fractional Brownian motions with different Hurst exponents and a standard Brownian motion. We also show that their Hurst exponents are derived from the distribution of the time interval of split orders.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2013 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2012 Annual Research Report
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (23 results)

All 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

All Journal Article (11 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 7 results) Presentation (10 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Market-wide price co-movement around crashes in Tokyo stock exchange2013

    • Author(s)
      K. Kuroda, J.Maskawa, J. Murai
    • Journal Title

      Evolutionary and In- stitutional Economic Review

      Volume: 10 Issue: 1 Pages: 81-92

    • DOI

      10.14441/eier.a2013005

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report 2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Ap- plication of the cluster expansion to a mathematical model of the long memory phenomenon in a financial market2013

    • Author(s)
      K. Kuroda, J.Maskawa, J. Murai
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Statistical Physics

      Volume: 152 Issue: 4 Pages: 706-723

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10955-013-0783-z

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report 2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Long Memory in Trade Signs and Short Memory in Stock Prices2012

    • Author(s)
      K. Kuroda, J.Maskawa, J. Murai
    • Journal Title

      Progress of Theoretical Physics Sup- plement

      Volume: 194 Pages: 11-27

    • DOI

      10.1143/ptps.194.11

    • NAID

      110009456867

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Stock price process and long mem- ory in trade signs2011

    • Author(s)
      K. Kuroda, J.Maskawa, J. Murai
    • Journal Title

      Advances in Mathematical Economics

      Volume: 14 Pages: 69-92

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Stock price process and long memory in trade signs2011

    • Author(s)
      K.Kuroda, J.Maskawa, J.Murai
    • Journal Title

      Advances in Mathematical Economics

      Volume: 14 Pages: 69-92

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-4-431-53883-7_4

    • ISBN
      9784431538820, 9784431538837
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report 2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 株価変動過程と売買符号のLong Memory2010

    • Author(s)
      黒田耕嗣, 増川純一, 村井浄信
    • Journal Title

      物性研究

      Volume: 93 5 Pages: 633-636

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Long mem- ory in finance and fractional Brow- nian motion2009

    • Author(s)
      K. Kuroda, J. Murai
    • Journal Title

      Progr. Theoret. Phys. Suppl.

      Volume: 179 Pages: 26-37

    • DOI

      10.1143/ptps.179.26

    • NAID

      110007225733

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Graphs for Menshikov- Zuev's Problems onρ-percolation model2009

    • Author(s)
      J. Murai
    • Journal Title

      Okayama economic review

      Volume: 40 4 Pages: 115-125

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Stock price pro- cess and long memory in trade sign2009

    • Author(s)
      K. Kuroda, J. Murai
    • Journal Title

      The Institute of Statistical Mathe- matics Cooperative Research Report

      Volume: 247 Pages: 59-76

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Long memory in finance and fractional Brownian motion2009

    • Author(s)
      K.Kuroda, J.Murai
    • Journal Title

      Progr. Theoret. Phys. 179

      Pages: 26-37

    • NAID

      110007225733

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Graphs for Menshikov-Zuev's Problems on ρ-percolation model.2009

    • Author(s)
      J.Murai
    • Journal Title

      Okayama economic review 40

      Pages: 115-125

    • NAID

      120002308476

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Application of the cluster expansion to a mathematical model of the long memory phenomenon in a financial market2013

    • Author(s)
      J. Murai
    • Organizer
      新潟確率論ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      新潟大学駅南キャンパス「ときめいと」
    • Year and Date
      2013-12-06
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report 2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Market-wide price co- movements around crashes in the Tokyo stock exchange2013

    • Author(s)
      J. Murai
    • Organizer
      Financial Networks and Systemic Risk
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Year and Date
      2013-07-19
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Application of the cluster expansion for financial market2011

    • Author(s)
      J. Murai
    • Organizer
      無限粒子系, 確率場の諸問題VII
    • Place of Presentation
      奈良女子大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-10-16
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Application of the cluster expansion for financial market2011

    • Author(s)
      村井浄信
    • Organizer
      無限粒子系、確率場の諸問題VII
    • Place of Presentation
      奈良女子大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-10-16
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 金融市場における余震の数理モデル2011

    • Author(s)
      J. Murai
    • Organizer
      統数研研究集会「経済物理とその周辺」平成23年度第1回研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      統計数理研究所
    • Year and Date
      2011-09-09
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 金融市場における余震の数理モデル2011

    • Author(s)
      村井浄信
    • Organizer
      統数研研究集会「経済物理とその周辺」
    • Place of Presentation
      統計数理研究所
    • Year and Date
      2011-09-09
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] FinanceにおけるLong Memory Process2011

    • Author(s)
      J. Murai
    • Organizer
      無限粒子系, 確率場の諸問題VI
    • Place of Presentation
      奈良女子大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-02-06
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] FinanceにおけるLong Memory Process2011

    • Author(s)
      村井浄信
    • Organizer
      無限粒子系、確率場の諸問題VI
    • Place of Presentation
      奈良女子大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-02-06
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Long Memory in Finance and fractional Brownian motion2010

    • Author(s)
      J. Murai
    • Organizer
      統数研研究会「経済物理とその周辺」平成22年度第1回研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      統計数理研究所
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-03
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Stock Price Process and Long Memory in Trade Signs2009

    • Author(s)
      J. Murai
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Mathematical Eco- nomics
    • Place of Presentation
      慶応義塾大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-11-13
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Book] 株価の経済物理学2011

    • Author(s)
      増川純一, 水野貴之, 村井浄信, 尹煕元
    • Publisher
      培風館(ISBN-10: 4563062030)
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Book] 株価の経済物理学2011

    • Author(s)
      増川純一, 水野貴之, 村井浄信, 尹煕元
    • Publisher
      培風館
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2009-04-01   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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