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Statistical inference for stochastic differential equations from discrete observation and its applications

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21540126
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field General mathematics (including Probability theory/Statistical mathematics)
Research InstitutionOsaka University

Principal Investigator

UCHIDA Masayuki  大阪大学, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 教授 (70280526)

Project Period (FY) 2009 – 2012
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Keywords高頻度データ / 確率方程式 / 最尤型推定量 / 大偏差不等式 / 統計科学 / 確率微分方程式 / モーメント収束 / 高瀕度データ / 非エルゴード的統計 / ベイズ型推定量 / 漸近混合正規性
Research Abstract

We considered statistically asymptotic inference for volatility parameters of stochastic differential equations from high frequency data observed on the fixed interval. By using the polynomial type large deviation inequality for the statistical random field, we showed the asymptotic mixed normality of maximum likelihood type estimator and Bayes type estimator of the volatility parameter and the moments of convergences of the estimators. Under nh^p ->0, where h is the discretization step size, n is the sample size and p is an integer value greater than 2, adaptive maximum likelihood estimators of both drift and volatility parameters for discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes were obtained, and their asymptotic normality and moment convergence wereproved. Moreover, we treated adaptive estimators of drift and volatility parameters for misspecified ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations and their asymptotic properties were shown.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2012 Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (30 results)

All 2012 2011 2010 2009 Other

All Journal Article (9 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 8 results) Presentation (21 results)

  • [Journal Article] Statistical inference for diffusion processes from discrete observations2011

    • Author(s)
      Uchida M.
    • Journal Title

      Sugaku Expositions

      Volume: 24 Pages: 169-181

    • NAID

      130004558871

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Estimation for misspecified ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations2011

    • Author(s)
      Uchida M., and Yoshida N.
    • Journal Title

      European Series in Applied and Industrial Mathematics: Probability and Statistics

      Volume: 15 Pages: 270-290

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Estimation for misspecified ergodic diffusion processes fromdiscrete observations2011

    • Author(s)
      Uchida, M., Yoshida, N.
    • Journal Title

      European Series in Applied and Industrial Mathematics : Probability and Statistics.

      Volume: (印刷中)

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Contrast-based information criterion for ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations2010

    • Author(s)
      Uchida M.
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics

      Volume: 62, no.1 Pages: 161-187

    • NAID

      40016969857

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Contrast-based information criterion for ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations2010

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 62

      Pages: 161-187

    • NAID

      40016969857

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 小さな拡散過程のドリフトパラメータの推定2009

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Journal Title

      統計数理

      Volume: 第57巻 Pages: 67-81

    • NAID

      120006018984

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Parametric estimation for partially hidden diffusion processes sampled at discrete times2009

    • Author(s)
      Iacus S. M., Uchida M., and Yoshida N.
    • Journal Title

      Stochastic Processes and their Applications

      Volume: 119 Pages: 1580-1600

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Parametric estimation for partially hidden diffusion processes sampled at discrete times2009

    • Author(s)
      Iacus, S.M., Uchida, M., Yoshida, N.
    • Journal Title

      Stochastic Processes and their Applications 119

      Pages: 1580-1600

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 小さな拡散過程のドリフトパラメータの推定2009

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Journal Title

      統計数理 57

      Pages: 67-81

    • NAID

      120006018984

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Adaptive estimation for ergodic diffusions under incorrect models2012

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      Statistics for Stochastic Processes:Inference, Limit Theorems, Finance and Data Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      Institut Louis Bachelier in the former Paris bourse building, France
    • Year and Date
      2012-03-12
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Adaptive estimation for misspecified diffusion processes2011

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      Statistical Analysis and Related Topics: Theory, Methodology, and Data Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2011-12-16
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Adaptive ML-type estimators of ergodic diffusion processes2010

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      RIMS 研究集会「諸分野との協働による数理科学のフロンティア」
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学数理解析研究所
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-19
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Adaptive ML-type estimators of ergodic diffusion processes2010

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      RIMS研究集会「諸分野との協働による数理科学のフロンティア」
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学数理解析研究所
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-19
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Adaptive estimation of an ergodic diffusion process from discrete observations2010

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      Korean Statistical Society conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyonggi University, Korea
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-05
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Adaptive estimation of an ergodic diffusion process from discrete observations2010

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      Korean Statistical Society conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyonggi University, Korea(招待講演)
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-05
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Statistical estimation of thevolatility for a stochastic differential equation2010

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      34th Conference on Stochastic Processes and Their Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      Senri life science center building, Osaka
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-09
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Statistical estimation of the volatility for a stochastic differential equation2010

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      34th Conference on Stochastic Processes and Their Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      Senri life science center building, Osaka(招待講演)
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-09
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Adaptive estimation of an ergodic diffusion process based on sampled data2010

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      DYNSTOCH Meeting 2010
    • Place of Presentation
      Bon Pasteur Accueil, Angers, France
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-19
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高頻度データに基づくボラティリティパラメータの推定2010

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      日本数学会2010 年度年会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶応大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-03-26
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高頻度データに基づくボラティリティパラメータの推定2010

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      日本数学会2010年度年会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶応大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-03-26
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Volatility estimation for a stochastic differential equation2010

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      確率解析と統計的推測 V
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-02-22
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Volatility estimation for a stochastic differential equation2010

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      確率解析と統計的推測V
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-02-22
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Parametric estimation of the volatility for a stochastic differential equation2009

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      DYNSTOCH Meeting 2009
    • Place of Presentation
      フンボルト大学, ドイツ
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-10
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Parametric estimation of the volatility for a stochastic differential equation2009

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      DYNSTOCH Meeting 2009
    • Place of Presentation
      フンボルト大学 (ドイツ)
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-10
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Parametric estimation for partially hidden diffusion processes sampled at discrete times2009

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      日本数学会2009 年度秋季総合分科会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-26
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Parametric estimation for partially hidden diffusion processes sampled at discrete times2009

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      日本数学会2009年度秋季総合分科会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-26
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 確率微分方程式のボラティリティの推定2009

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      2009 年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      同志社大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-07
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 確率微分方程式のボラティリティの推定2009

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之
    • Organizer
      2009年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      同志社大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-07
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Adaptive estimation for misspecified diffusion processes

    • Author(s)
      Masayuki Uchida
    • Organizer
      Statistical Analysis and Related Topics: Theory, Methodology, and Data Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Tokyo
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Adaptive estimation for ergodic diffusions under incorrect models

    • Author(s)
      Masayuki Uchida
    • Organizer
      Statistics for Stochastic Processes:Inference, Limit Theorems, Finance and Data Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      Institut Louis Bachelier in the former Paris bourse building, France
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2009-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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