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Statistical approach for explaining infection systems

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22500260
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Statistical science
Research InstitutionOita University

Principal Investigator

ESHIMA Nobuoki  大分大学, 医学部, 教授 (20203630)

Project Period (FY) 2010 – 2012
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords感染症 / 疫学 / 統計学 / 感染率 / 性差 / 統計解析 / 新型インフルエンザ / 年齢差 / パス解析 / 病原微生物 / 感染システム / インフルエンザ / HTLV-I
Research Abstract

Retrospective analysis of 2,024,367 cases of pdmH1N1 was performed using the national surveillance data from influenza sentinel points in Japan. The male-to-female morbidity ratios (M/F ratios) in nineteen age groups were estimated as the primary outcome. The M/F ratios for pdmH1N1 influenza were >.1 in age groups less than 20 years and greater than 80 years (p< 0.001). This data suggests that males less than 20 years of age may be more likely to suffer from pdmH1N1 influenza than females in the same age categories. When the infection pattern for pdmH1N1was compared with that of seasonal influenza outbreaks between 2000 and 2008, the M/F ratio for pdmH1N1 influenza was higher in ages 3-29 years and lower in ages 40-79 years. Data from the Japanese surveillance system for infectious diseases from 2000 to 2009 were used in the analysis of seven viral and four bacterial infectious diseases with relatively large impact on the Japanese community. The male-to-female morbidity (MFM) ratios in … More different age groups were estimated to compare incidence rates of symptomatic reported infection between the sexes at different ages. MFM ratios were less than 1 for five viral infections out of seven in childhood, i.e. male children were more frequently reported as infected than females with pharyngoconjunctival fever, herpangina, hand-foot-and-mouth disease, mumps, and varicella. More males were also reported to be infected with erythema infectiosum and exanthema subitum, but only in children 1 year of age. By contrast, in adulthood the MFM ratios decreased to less than 1 for all of the viral infections above except varicella, i.e. adult women were more frequently reported to be infected than men. Sex- and age-related differences in reported morbidity were also documented for bacterial infections. Reported morbidity for enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli infection was higher in adult females and females were reportedly more infected with mycoplasma pneumonia than males in all age groups up to 70 years. Less

Report

(4 results)
  • 2012 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (26 results)

All 2012 2011 2010 Other

All Journal Article (9 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 8 results) Presentation (15 results) (of which Invited: 1 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Age-Specific Sex-Related Differences in Infections: A Statistical Analysis of National Surveillance Data in Japan2012

    • Author(s)
      Eshima, N, Tokumaru, O, Hara, S, Bacal, K, Korematsu, S, Karukaya, S, Uruma, K, Okabe, N, Matsuishi, T
    • Journal Title

      PLoS ONE

      Volume: 7, 7, e442261 Issue: 7 Pages: e42261-e42261

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0042261

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report 2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 子どもの感染症の性差:データに記録された潜在現象2012

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興
    • Journal Title

      日本小児科学会誌

      Volume: 116巻 11号 Pages: 1676-1679

    • NAID

      10031130284

    • URL

      http://www.jpeds.or.jp/journal/116-11.html#116111709

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] D.D.S. Structural Stability of a Salivary Bacterial Population against Supragingival Microbiota Shift Following Periodontal Thera2012

    • Author(s)
      Wataru Yamanaka, Toru Takeshita, Ph.D, Yukie Shibata; Kazuki Matsuo; Nobuoki Eshima, Takeshi Yokoyama; Yoshihisa Yamashita, Ph.D.
    • Journal Title

      PLoS ONE

      Volume: 7, 8, e42806 Issue: 8 Pages: e42806-e42806

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0042806

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Three predictive power measures for generalized linear models : Entropy coefficient of determination, entropy correlation coefficient and regression correlation coefficient2011

    • Author(s)
      Nobuoki Eshima, Minoru Tabata
    • Journal Title

      Computational Statistics & Data Analysis

      Volume: 55 Issue: 11 Pages: 3049-3058

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.csda.2011.05.018

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Sex- and age-related differences in risks of infection by 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 virus of swine origin in Japan2011

    • Author(s)
      Eshima, N, Tokumaru, O, Hara, S, Tabata, M, Bacal, K, Korematsu, S, Tabata, M, Karukaya, S, Yasui, Y, Okabe, N, Matsuishi, T
    • Journal Title

      PLoS ONE

      Volume: 6 Pages: 1-7

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Transcranial direct current stimulation decreases convulsions and spatialmemory deficits following pilocarpine-induced status epilepticus in immature rats2011

    • Author(s)
      Tohru Kamida
    • Journal Title

      Behav Brain Res

      Volume: Vol.217 Pages: 99-103

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Sexand age-related differences in morbidity rates of 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 virus of swine origin in Japan2010

    • Author(s)
      Nobuoki Eshima, Osamu Tokumaru, Shohei Hara, Kira Bacal, Seigo Korematsu, Minoru Tabata, Shigeru Karukaya, Yoshinori Yasui, Nobuhiko Okabe, Toyojiro Matsuishi
    • Journal Title

      PLoS ONE

      Volume: 6(4) Issue: 4 Pages: 1261-1293

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0019409

    • URL

      http://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0019409

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Entropy coefficient of determination for generalized linear models2010

    • Author(s)
      Eshima, N & Tabata, M
    • Journal Title

      Computational Statistics and Data Analysis

      Volume: 54 Issue: 5 Pages: 1381-1389

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.csda.2009.12.003

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Hepatocyte grouth factor is a significant risk factor for white matter lesions in Japanese type 2 diabetic patients2010

    • Author(s)
      Futoshi Anan
    • Journal Title

      Eur J Clin Invest.

      Volume: Vol.40 Pages: 585-590

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] エントロピー決定係数のデータ解析への応用2012

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興
    • Organizer
      日本行動計量学会
    • Place of Presentation
      新潟県立大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-09-16
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report 2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 小児の感染症と性差(教育講演)2012

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興
    • Organizer
      第115回日本小児科学会学術集会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡国際センター
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 小児の感染症と性差2012

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興
    • Organizer
      日本小児科学会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡国際センター
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 一般化線形モデルの説明力測度:エントロピー相関係数、エントロピー決定数、回帰相関係数2011

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興
    • Organizer
      日本行動計量学会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山理科大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-09-13
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Path Analysis for Recursive Generalized Linear Model Systems2011

    • Author(s)
      Nobuoki Eshima
    • Organizer
      ISI World Statistics Congress, Dublin 2011
    • Place of Presentation
      Dublin Convention Centre (Dublin, Ireland)
    • Year and Date
      2011-08-25
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Analysis of the infection 2009 pdmH1N1 influenza virus2011

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興、徳丸治
    • Organizer
      2010 年度 第5回日本統計学会春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      立教大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-06
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Path analysis for recursive generalized linear model systems2011

    • Author(s)
      Nobuoki Eshima , Minoru Tabata and Tetsuji Ohyama:
    • Place of Presentation
      Dublin, Island
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 新型インフルエンザ感染の統計解析2011

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興
    • Organizer
      日本計算機統計学会25回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      函館市亀田福祉センター
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 研究分野を超えて:10 年間のリエゾン型研究の実践2011

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興
    • Organizer
      第4回横幹連合コンファレンス
    • Place of Presentation
      北陸先端科学技術大学院大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Path analysis of generalized linear models based on the entropy correlation coefficient2010

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興、大山哲司
    • Organizer
      The 10^<th> China-Japan symposium on Statistics
    • Place of Presentation
      西南経済大学(成都、中国)
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-14
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 一般化線形モデルのパス分析2010

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興、大山哲司
    • Organizer
      2010年度 統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学(東京)
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-15
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] HTLV-I感染者の偏在と古代の人口動態2010

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興
    • Organizer
      第3回HTLV-I研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(東京)
    • Year and Date
      2010-08-25
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Path analysis of generalized linear models based on the entropy correlation coefficient2010

    • Author(s)
      Eshima, N, Ohyama, T, Tabata, M and Asano, C
    • Organizer
      The 10^<th> China-Japan symposium on Statistics
    • Place of Presentation
      Chengdu, China
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] HTLV-I感染者の偏在と古代の人口動態2010

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興, 鬼頭宏, 田畑稔
    • Organizer
      第3回HTLV-I 研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学医科学研究所
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 一般化線形モデルのパス分析2010

    • Author(s)
      江島伸興, 大山哲司
    • Organizer
      2010年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] 読売新聞(くらし面 2011年8月14日)に掲載: 新型インフルエンザのサーベイランスデータを統計解析し、未成年では男児が女児より感染しやすく、成人では逆に女性が男性より感染しやすいことを示した(雑誌論文[4])

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.med.oita-u.ac.jp/IS/eshimahome.htm

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2010-08-23   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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