Development of future agro-environment assessment method in river basins using super-high-resolution GCM outputs downscaled by geostatistical approach

• Project/Area Number: 22580273
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Irrigation, drainage and rural engineering/Rural planning
• Research Institution: Kyoto University
• Principal Investigator: HAMAGUCHI Toshio 京都大学, 防災研究所, 助教 (90263128)
• Project Period (FY): 2010 – 2012
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
• Budget Amount: ¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000); Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000); Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000); Fiscal Year 2010: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
• Keywords: 水文 / 超高解像度GCM / 超高解像度GCM出力 / ダウンスケーリング / 地球統計学 / 流域水文シミュレーション / 流域環境評価 / 農業環境評価 / 放射性物質動態 / 流域農地環境評価 / 水文シミュレーション / モデルバイアス / 流出解析 / 空間分布

Research Abstract

The downscaled and model bias corrected GCM outputs not only at outputs points but also at arbitrary points in present and future periods got to be produced through the geostatistical method of kriging interpolation as this research result. Hydrological simulations using the abovementioned GCM outputs in present and future periods are carried out and then the numerical results can be used in the process of agro-environment assessment. The above method is developed and proposed in this research. It can be successfully shown that the agro-environment in space will be greatly changed in future via this agro-environment assessment.

Research Products

• [Journal Article] Mitigation Strategies Based on Flash Floods Simulation Considering Water Resources Management at Wadi El-Arish, Sinai Peninsula, Egypt , ICOLD 2012 KYOTO (2012)
  • Author(s): M. Saber, T. Hamaguchi, K. Tanaka, S. A. Kantoush and T. Sumi
  • Journal Title: International Symposium on DAMS FOR A CHANGING WORLD -Need for Knowledge Transfer across the Generations ￥& the World held on June 5
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Basin-scaled Groundwater Modeling and Fundamental Consideration of Seawater Intrusion (2012)
  • Author(s): T. Hamaguchi, A. Kamal, T. Sumi, M. Saber and T. Kojiri
  • Journal Title: Proc. of The Second JE-HydroNet Symposium on the Nile River System and the Delta of Egypt Pages: 42-43
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Two-dimensional Horizontal Basin-scaled Groundwater Modeling with Moving Boundary of the Nile River Delta (2012)
  • Author(s): A. Kamal, T. Hamaguchi, T. Sumi, K. Tanaka and M. Saber
  • Journal Title: Proc. of The Second JE-HydroNet Symposium on the Nile River System and the Delta of Egypt Pages: 87-88
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Conflict on Water Resources Development between Multiple Nations in the Nile River Basin (2012)
  • Author(s): M. Abe, K. Tanaka, T. Kojiri, T. Hamaguchiand T. Sumi
  • Journal Title: Proc. of The Second JE-HydroNet Symposium on the Ni Pages: 7-8
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 衛星データから作成した農事暦を活用した全球陸域水循環解析 (2012)
  • Author(s): 小槻峻司・田中賢治・小尻利治・浜口俊雄
  • Journal Title: 水文・水資源学会誌 Volume: 25巻 6号 Pages: 373-388
  • NAID: 130004446064
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 群知能最適化手法を用いた分布型流出モデルのパラメーター同定 (2012)
  • Author(s): 小槻峻司・田中賢治・小尻利治・浜口俊雄
  • Journal Title: 土木学会水工学論文集 Volume: 56巻 Pages: 523-528
  • NAID: 130004558008
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 分布型流出モデルに沿ったマクロスケールでの土砂生産・輸送モデリングの基礎的研究 (2012)
  • Author(s): 浜口俊雄・田中拓馬・小槻峻司・田中賢治・峠 嘉哉・安部雅宏
  • Journal Title: 京都大学防災研究所年報 Volume: 第55号 Pages: 501-509
  • NAID: 120004945172
• [Journal Article] Conflict on Water Resources Development between Multiple Nations in the Nile River Basin (2012)
  • Author(s): M. Abe, K. Tanaka, T. Kojiri, T. Hamaguchi and T. Sumi
  • Journal Title: Proc. of The Second JE-HydroNet Symposium on the Nile River System and the Delta of Egypt Volume: 2 Pages: 42-43
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Two-dimensional Horizontal Basin-scaled Groundwater Modeling with Moving Boundary of the Nile River Delta (2012)
  • Author(s): A. Kamal, T. Hamaguchi, T. Sumi, K. Tanaka and M. Saber
  • Journal Title: Proc. of The Second JE-HydroNet Symposium on the Nile River System and the Delta of Egypt Volume: 2 Pages: 7-8
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Mitigation Strategies Based on Flash Floods Simulation Considering Water Resources Management at Wadi El-Arish, Sinai Peninsula, Egypt (2012)
  • Author(s): M. Saber, T. Hamaguchi, K. Tanaka, S. A. Kantoush and T. Sumi
  • Journal Title: Proc. of ICOLD 2012 KYOTO, International Symposium on DAMS FOR A CHANGING WORLD -Need for Knowledge Transfer across the Generations & the World held on June 5 Volume: 1
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Numerical Analysis of Flooding Impacts Using Hydro-BEAM in Red River Basin, Vietnam (2011)
  • Author(s): Mukta SAPKOTA, Toshio HAMAGUCHIand T. Kojiri
  • Journal Title: 京都大学防災研究所年報 Volume: 第54号 Pages: 683-689
  • NAID: 120003551068
• [Journal Article] 分布型流出モデルと統合化可能な内・外水氾濫マクロモデルの開発 (2011)
  • Author(s): 浜口俊雄・小尻利治・Mukta SAPKOTA
  • Journal Title: 京都大学防災研究所年報 Volume: 第54号 Pages: 673-681
  • NAID: 120003551069
• [Journal Article] Flood Inundation Simulation Using Hydro-BEAM in Red River Basin, Vietnam (2011)
  • Author(s): M. Sapkota, Hamaguchi, T.and Kojiri
  • Journal Title: Proc. of 5thInternational Conference on Flood Management (ICFM5)
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Numerical Demonstration of Distributed Hydrological Modelling Performance Based on Super High Resolution GCM Outputs Using Geostatistical Approaches (2011)
  • Author(s): M. Sapkota, Hamaguchi, T.and Kojiri
  • Journal Title: Proc. of the 13thInternational Summer Symposium, The International Activities Committee of JSCE
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Numerical Demonstration of Distributed Hydrological Modelling Performance Based on Super High Resolution GCM Outputs Using Geostatistical Approaches (2011)
  • Author(s): T. Hamaguchi, M. Sapkota, and T. Kojiri
  • Journal Title: Proc. of the 34thCongress of the IAHR
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 灌漑を考慮した陸域水循環モデルの構築 (2011)
  • Author(s): 小槻峻司・田中賢治・小尻利治・浜口俊雄
  • Journal Title: 水工学論文集 Volume: 第55巻
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 灌漑地の拡大の影響を考慮したアラル海流域における水・熱収支の経年変化の再現 (2011)
  • Author(s): 峠 義哉・田中賢治・小尻利治・浜口俊雄
  • Journal Title: 水工学論文集 Volume: 第55巻
  • NAID: 130004557602
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Flood Inundation Simulation Using Hydro-BEAM In Red River Basin, Vietnam (2011)
  • Author(s): Sapkota, M., Hamaguchi, T., Kojiri, T.
  • Journal Title: Proc.of 5th International Conference on Flood Management (ICFM5) Volume: (CD)
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] PROPOSAL OF SCALABLE MODELING OF INUNDATION PROCESS WITH MOVING BOUNDARIES (2011)
  • Author(s): Sapkota, M., Hamaguchi, T., Kojiri, T
  • Journal Title: Proc.of the 13th International Summer Symposium, The International Activities Committee of JSCE Volume: (CD)
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Numerical Demonstration of Distributed Hydrological Modelling Performance Based on Super High Resolution GCM Outputs Using Geostatistical (2011)
  • Author(s): T.Hamaguchi, M.Sapkota, T.Kojiri
  • Journal Title: Proc.of the 34th Congress of the IAHR Volume: (CD)
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 灌漑を考慮した陸域水循環モデルの構築 (2011)
  • Author(s): 小槻峻司・田中賢治・小尻利治・浜口俊雄
  • Journal Title: 水工学論文集,土木学会水工学委員会 Volume: 55
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 灌漑地の拡大の影響を考慮したアラル海流域における水・熱収支の経年変化の再現 (2011)
  • Author(s): 峠義哉・田中賢治・小尻利治・浜口俊雄
  • Journal Title: 水工学論文集,土木学会水工学委員会 Volume: 55
  • NAID: 130004557602
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Numerical Analysis of Flooding Impacts Using Hydro-BEAM in Red River Basin, Vietnam (2011)
  • Author(s): Mukta SAPKOTA・Toshio HAMAGUCHI・Toshiharu KOIIRI
  • Journal Title: 京都大学防災研究所年報 Volume: 54 Pages: 683-689
  • NAID: 120003551068
• [Journal Article] アラル海の縮小や集水域の灌漑地拡大の影響を考慮した水・熱収支の経年変化の再現 (2011)
  • Author(s): 峠義哉・田中賢治・小尻利治・浜口俊雄
  • Journal Title: 京都大学防災研究所年報 Volume: 54 Pages: 691-698
  • NAID: 120003551067
• [Journal Article] 衛星データ解析による農事暦を活用した灌漑必要水量の推定 (2011)
  • Author(s): 小槻峻司・田中賢治・小尻利治・浜口俊雄
  • Journal Title: 京都大学防災研究所年報 Volume: 54 Pages: 645-653
  • NAID: 120003551071
• [Journal Article] Theoretical Approaches to Initial and Transmission Losses in Wadi System Considering the Compatibility with Empirical models (2010)
  • Author(s): T. Hamaguchi, M. Saber and T. Kojiri
  • Journal Title: Proc. of 5thInt. Conf. on Hydrology and Water Resources in Asia Pacific Region
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Geostatistical Bias Correction of Super High Resolution GCM outputs under Climate Change and its application to Runoff Simulations in Red River Basin (2010)
  • Author(s): M. Sapkota, T. Hamaguchi and T. Kojiri
  • Journal Title: Proc. of 5thInt. Conf. on Hydrology and Water Resources in Asia Pacific Region
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] S. Kotsuki, K. Tanaka, T. Kojiri and T.Hamaguchi (2010)
  • Author(s): S. Kotsuki, K. Tanaka, T. Kojiri and T.Hamaguchi
  • Journal Title: Proc. of 5thInt. Conf. on Hydrology and Water Resources in Asia Pacific Region
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Hydrological Simulations in Red River Basin Using Super High Resolution GCM Outputs with Geostatistical Processes (2010)
  • Author(s): Mukta SAPKOTA・浜口俊雄・佐藤嘉展・小尻利治
  • Journal Title: 京都大学防災研究所年報 Volume: 第53号 Pages: 675-682
• [Journal Article] HYDROLOGICAL MODELING OF DISTRIBUTED RUNOFF THROUGHOUT COMPARATIVE STUDY BETWEEN SOME ARABIAN WADI BASINS (2010)
  • Author(s): Mohamed SABER, Toshio HAMAGUCHI, Toshiharu KOJIRI and Kenji TANAKA
  • Journal Title: 水工学論文集 Volume: 第54巻 Pages: 85-90
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 地下水文量分布に関する時空間地球統計学的推定手法の提案 (2010)
  • Author(s): 浜口俊雄・小尻利治
  • Journal Title: 水工学論文集 Volume: 第54巻 Pages: 583-588
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Hydrological Modeling of Distributed Runoff throughout Comparative Study between Some Arabian Wadi Basins (2010)
  • Author(s): M.Saber, T.Hamaguchi, T.Kojiri, K.Tanaka
  • Journal Title: 土木学会 水工学論文集 Volume: 54 Pages: 85-90
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 地下水文量分布に関する時空間地球統計学的推定手法の提案 (2010)
  • Author(s): 浜口俊雄・小尻利治
  • Journal Title: 土木学会 水工学論文集 Volume: 54 Pages: 583-588
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Theoretical Approaches to Initial and Transmission Losses in Wadi System Considering the Compatibility with Empirical models (2010)
  • Author(s): T.Hamaguchi, M.Saber, T.Kojiri
  • Journal Title: Proc.of 5^<th> Int.Conf.on Hydrology and Water Resources in Asia Pacific Region Volume: 5(CD)
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Geostatistical Bias Correction of Super High Resolution GCM outputs under Climate Change and its application to Runoff Simulations in Red River Basin (2010)
  • Author(s): M.Sapkota, T.Hamaguchi, T.Kojiri
  • Journal Title: Proc.of 5^<th> Int.Conf.on Hydrology and Water Resources in Asia Pacific Region Volume: 5(CD)
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] The development of water resources model including irrigation water withdrawal and its application to Chao Phraya River Basin (2010)
  • Author(s): Shunji Kotsuki, Kenji Tanaka, Toshiharu Kojiri, Toshio Hamaguchi
  • Journal Title: Proc.of 5^<th> Int.Conf.on Hydrology and Water Resources in Asia Pacific Region Volume: 5(CD)
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Hydrological Simulations in Red River Basin Using Super High Resolution GCM Outputs with Geostatistical Processes (2010)
  • Author(s): M.Sapkota・浜口俊雄・佐藤嘉展・小尻利治
  • Journal Title: 京都大学防災研究所年報 Volume: 53 Pages: 675-682
• [Journal Article] Flash Flooding Simulation Using Hydrological Modeling of Wadi Basins at Nile River Based on Satellite Remote Sensing Data : ・￥underline{浜口俊雄} (2010)
  • Author(s): Mohamed Saber・浜口俊雄・小尻利治・田中賢治
  • Journal Title: 京都大学防災研究所年報 Volume: 53 Pages: 683-698
• [Journal Article] ワジ洪水の移動通過損失量に関する経験モデルと水文学モデルの理論的整合性評価 (2010)
  • Author(s): 浜口俊雄・Mohamed SABER・小尻利治
  • Journal Title: 京都大学防災研究所年報 Volume: 53 Pages: 737-741
  • NAID: 40019856978
• [Presentation] 地下水涵養量変動による沿岸域帯水層塩水侵入長変化の理論的考察 (2012)
  • Author(s): 浜口俊雄・角 哲也・A. Kamal
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2012 年度研究発表会要旨集
  • Place of Presentation: 広島市西区民文化センター(広島県)
• [Presentation] Two-dimensional Basin-scaled Groundwater Modeling of the Nile Delta (2012)
  • Author(s): A. Kamal, T. Hamaguchi, T. Sumi and K. Tanaka
  • Organizer: Egypt,水文・水資源学会 2012 年度研究発表会要旨集
  • Place of Presentation: 広島市西区民文化センター(広島県)
• [Presentation] 地下水涵養量変動による沿岸域帯水層塩水侵入長変化の理論的考察 (2012)
  • Author(s): 浜口俊雄・角 哲也・A. Kamal
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2012年度研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 広島市西区民文化センター
• [Presentation] Two-dimensional Basin-scaled Groundwater Modeling of the Nile Delta, Egypt (2012)
  • Author(s): A. Kamal, T. Hamaguchi, T. Sumi, K. Tanaka
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2012年度研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 広島市西区民文化センター
• [Presentation] 土砂輸送を考慮した流出モデルの開発と阿武隈川への適用 (2012)
  • Author(s): 田中拓馬・田中賢治・浜口俊雄・小尻利治
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2012年度研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 広島市西区民文化センター
• [Presentation] 流出モデルパラメータの不確定性を考慮した洪水リスクアセスメント (2012)
  • Author(s): 今村公洋・浜口俊雄・・田中賢治小尻利治
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2012年度研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 広島市西区民文化センター
• [Presentation] セシウムが付着した土砂をカテゴリー分けした土砂輸送モデルの開発 (2012)
  • Author(s): 田中拓馬・浜口俊雄・田中賢治・小尻利治
  • Organizer: 平成24年度土木学会関西支部年次学術講演会
  • Place of Presentation: 神戸市立工業高等専門学校
• [Presentation] 流出モデル構造の不確定性評価と洪水リスクアセスメントへの適用 (2012)
  • Author(s): 今村公洋・田中賢治・小尻利治・浜口俊雄
  • Organizer: 平成24年度土木学会関西支部年次学術講演会
  • Place of Presentation: 神戸市立工業高等専門学校
• [Presentation] 特定のデータを除いた年最大日降水量の非定常頻度分析 (2012)
  • Author(s): 草刈智一・寒川典昭・中屋眞司・浜口俊雄・越洋之
  • Organizer: 土木学会第67回年次学術講演会講演会
  • Place of Presentation: 名古屋大学
• [Presentation] 流出解析に利用するための内・外水氾濫水伝播モデルの提案 (2011)
  • Author(s): 浜口俊雄・小尻利治・Mukta SAPKOTA
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2011年度研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 京大宇治キャンパス宇治おうばくプラザきはだホール
  • Year and Date: 2011-08-31
• [Presentation] Effects of Climate Change in Red River Discharges and Flooding Risk in Hanoi, Vietnam (2011)
  • Author(s): Mukta SAPKOTA, Toshio HAMAGUCHI, Toshiharu KOIIRI
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2011年度研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 京大宇治キャンパス宇治おうばくプラザきはだホール
  • Year and Date: 2011-08-30
• [Presentation] 流出解析に利用するための内・外水氾濫水伝播モデルの提案 (2011)
  • Author(s): 浜口俊雄・小尻利治・Mukta SAPKOTA
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会 2011年度研究発表会要旨集
  • Place of Presentation: 京都大学宇治キャンパス(京都府)
• [Presentation] Effects of Climate Change in Red River Discharges and Flooding Risk in Hanoi (2011)
  • Author(s): M. Sapkota, T. Hamaguchi and T. Kojiri
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会 2011 年度研究発表会要旨集
  • Place of Presentation: 京都大学宇治キャンパス(京都府)
• [Presentation] Generalized Groundwater Modeling (2010)
  • Author(s): T.Hamaguchi, T.Kojiri
  • Organizer: UNESCO IHP Expert Meeting
  • Place of Presentation: 総合地球環境研究所
  • Year and Date: 2010-11-11
• [Presentation] Geostatistical Bias Correction of Super High Resolution GCM Outputs and its Application to Runoff Simulations in Red River Basin (2010)
  • Author(s): M.Sapkota, T.Hamaguchi, T.Kojiri
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2010年度研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 法政大学市ヶ谷キャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2010-09-08
• [Presentation] Application of GSMaP Precipitation to Flash Flood Simulation at the Nile River Basin Considering Wadi System (2010)
  • Author(s): M.Saber, T.Hamaguchi, T.Kojiri, Kenji Tanaka
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2010年度研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 法政大学市ヶ谷キャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2010-09-08
• [Presentation] NDVI及び分光反射率の時系列解析による全球1kmメッシュ作物分類図の作成 (2010)
  • Author(s): 北宅洋・田中賢治・小尻利治・浜口俊雄
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2010年度研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 法政大学市ヶ谷キャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2010-09-08
• [Presentation] 灌漑地の開発を考慮したアラル海流域における水・熱収支の経年変化の再現 (2010)
  • Author(s): 峠義哉・田中賢治・小尻利治・浜口俊雄
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2010年度研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 法政大学市ヶ谷キャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2010-09-08
• [Presentation] ワジ流出機構での移動通過損失量に関する理論的解釈 (2010)
  • Author(s): 浜口俊雄・M.Saber・小尻利治
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2010年度研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 法政大学市ヶ谷キャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2010-09-08
• [Presentation] 陸面過程モデルによるチャオプラヤ川流域における水収支解析に関する研究 (2010)
  • Author(s): 小槻峻司・田中賢治・小尻利治・浜口俊雄
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会2010年度研究発表会
  • Place of Presentation: 法政大学市ヶ谷キャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2010-09-08
• [Presentation] M. Sapkota, T. Hamaguchiand T. Kojiri: Geostatistical Bias Correction of Super High Resolution GCM Outputs and its Application to Runoff Simulations in Red River Basin (2010)
  • Author(s): M. Sapkota, T. Hamaguchiand T. Kojiri
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会 2010 年度研究発表会要旨集
  • Place of Presentation: 法政大学市ヶ谷キャンパス(東京都)
• [Presentation] Application of GSMaP Precipitation to Flash Flood Simulation at the Nile River Basin Considering Wadi System (2010)
  • Author(s): M. Saber, T. Hamaguchiand T. Kojiri and Kenji Tanaka
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会 2010 年度研究発表会要旨集
  • Place of Presentation: 法政大学市ヶ谷キャンパス(東京都)
• [Presentation] ワジ流出機構での移動通過損失量に関する理論的解釈 (2010)
  • Author(s): 浜口俊雄・M. Saber・小尻利治
  • Organizer: 水文・水資源学会 2010 年度研究発表会要旨集
  • Place of Presentation: 法政大学市ヶ谷キャンパス(東京都)
• [Book] その実態から取り組みまで- (2010)
  • Author(s): 田中賢治・浜口俊雄
  • Publisher: 地球の水 SOS 図鑑
• [Book] 地球の水SOS図鑑～その実態から取り組みまで～ (2010)
  • Author(s): 田中賢治・浜口俊雄
  • Total Pages: 80
  • Publisher: PHP研究所