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Modeling and Forecasting Realized Covariance

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23730218
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionSoka University

Principal Investigator

ASAI Manabu  創価大学, 経済学部, 教授 (90319484)

Project Period (FY) 2011 – 2012
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥260,000 (Direct Cost: ¥200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥60,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywords実現ボラティリティ / 実現共分散 / 予測力 / 動的相関係数行列 / 非対称
Research Abstract

Recent years, there has been growing attentions on the analysis of realized volatility. Regarding realized covariance, which is the multivariate version of realized variance, I suggested several new models and compared forecasting performances with existing models. I found that the new models improve the predictability of portfolio risk of financial assets.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2012 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2011 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (9 results)

All 2013 2012 2011

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (7 results)

  • [Journal Article] Heterogeneous Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation Model with Stock Return and Range2013

    • Author(s)
      Manabu Asai
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Forecasting

      Volume: 32 Issue: 5 Pages: 469-480

    • DOI

      10.1002/for.2252

    • Year and Date
      2013-06-07
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Asymmetric Processes2011

    • Author(s)
      Manabu Asai and Michael McAleer
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japan Statistical Society

      Volume: 41 Pages: 143-157

    • NAID

      10030497251

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Asymmetry and Long Memory in Realized Covariance2013

    • Author(s)
      Manabu Asai
    • Organizer
      59th World Statistics Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      Hong Kong
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Long memory and asymmetry for matrix-exponential dynamic correlation processes2012

    • Author(s)
      Manabu Asai
    • Organizer
      The 6th International Conference on Computational and Financial Econometrics
    • Place of Presentation
      the Conference and ExhibitionCentre "Ciudad de Oviedo", Oviedo, Spain
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Extracting Dynamic Correlations from Stock Return and Realized Volatility2012

    • Author(s)
      Manabu Asai
    • Organizer
      The 32nd Annual International Symposium on Forecasting
    • Place of Presentation
      Boston, USA
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report 2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Long memory and asymmetry for matrix-exponential dynamic correlation processes2012

    • Author(s)
      Manabu Asai
    • Organizer
      The 6th International Conference on Computational and Financial Econometrics
    • Place of Presentation
      Oviedo, Spain
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Heterogeneous Markets Effects for Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation Model with Stock Return and Range2011

    • Author(s)
      Manabu Asai
    • Organizer
      5th CSDA International Conference on Computational and Financial Econometrics
    • Place of Presentation
      University of London, London, UK
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Continuous Time Dynamic Correlation Model2011

    • Author(s)
      Manabu Asai
    • Organizer
      Singapore Economic Review Conference 2011
    • Place of Presentation
      シンガポール, Mandarin Orchard Hotel
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Continuous Time Dynamic Correlation Model2011

    • Author(s)
      Manabu Asai
    • Organizer
      The 31st Annual International Symposium on Forecasting
    • Place of Presentation
      チェコ経済大学
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report

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Published: 2011-08-05   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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