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The optimum timing of the real estate investment

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24530321
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionMeiji University

Principal Investigator

YAMAMURA Yoshiro  明治大学, その他の研究科, 教授 (60284353)

Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Keywords不動産市場 / 不動産開発 / 複占モデル / リアルオプション / 複占市場 / 投資タイミング
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this study we make the analysis for the timing of the real estate investment. First, we develop the real option models in the duopoly market, where the income variables of the developed real estate are related to the geometric Brownian motion process. Second we consider how the timing of the investment for the real estate is affected by the asymmetry of information about the cost of development between the leader and the follower in the duopoly market. Using the our real option model, we show the relationship for the business cycle of real estate market, the asymmetry of information between the leader/the follower and the market condition. On the other hand, we make the price index and the cap rate model of real estate market of the centre of Tokyo for the numerical analysis of the real option models.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (3 results)

All 2015 2013

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] REA-TOKYO不動産インデックスの開発2015

    • Author(s)
      山村能郎、他
    • Journal Title

      東京都不動産鑑定協会共同研究シリーズ

      Volume: Ⅱ-3 Pages: 1-33

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 個別不動産情報を利用したキャップ・レートモデルの推定2013

    • Author(s)
      山村能郎
    • Journal Title

      明治大学社会科学研究書紀要

      Volume: 52 Pages: 193-208

    • NAID

      40020136860

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] REA-TOKYO不動産価格インデックスおよび賃料インデックスの開発2013

    • Author(s)
      山村能郎他
    • Journal Title

      東京都不動産鑑定士協会 共同研究シリーズII-2

      Volume: II-2 Pages: 1-54

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report

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Published: 2013-05-31   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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